The latest on the presidential horse race.

Cruz Edges out Trump in Iowa Ahead of the Caucuses

With the Iowa caucuses fast approaching, Ted Cruz has managed to narrowly defeat his opponent Donald Trump in the latest DM Register/Bloomberg poll.

Which Republican candidate would you vote for?

  • Ted Cruz – 25%
  • Donald Trump – 22%
  • Marco Rubio – 12%
  • Ben Carson – 11%

It is hard to predict who will win the Republican nomination. Trump is the longtime favorite, winning the most polls, and often generating the most support through his rallies.

Cruz continues to remain relevant and managed to defeat Trump in this poll. He isn’t as flashy as Trump, and while Cruz says crazy things, he doesn’t reach Trump’s level of craziness. Still, for most voters, he is a safe choice for the far right Republican movement and he still goes against the classical establishment style of Republican that candidates like Marco Rubio and Jeb Bush represent.

Rubio and Ben Carson are still barely holding on. Carson hasn’t been relevant in over two months, but he refuses to cave in. For both Rubio and Carson, the survival of their campaigns will rely on the collapse of either Trump or Cruz, but that seems unlikely as Trump has already pushed the envelope so far that a potential collapse seems impossible at this point.

As for Jeb Bush, who we chose not to represent in this poll due to his lowly 4 percent of the vote, he is hanging on the fringes of public opinion and hoping to catapult up the rankings when the other candidates start to sputter out. Unfortunately for Bush, his stances on major issues are nothing groundbreaking and most voters are looking for a radical change in ideology, something that both Trump and Cruz represent in their commitment to ending the status quo.

Photo credit: WNCN.