The latest on the presidential horse race.

Cruz Narrowly Beats Trump in California

The latest California Republican poll by Field has broken the status quo and revealed that Ted Cruz is leading the Republicans with Donald Trump coming in second.

Which Republican candidate would you vote for?

  • Ted Cruz – 25%
  • Donald Trump – 23%
  • Marco Rubio – 13%
  • Ben Carson – 9%
  • Rand Paul – 6%
  • Jeb Bush – 4%

While Cruz’s lead is narrow, it is the first time in a long while that he has managed to overtake Trump. Still, California is a surefire Democrat state and it is unlikely that either candidate will gain ground in it. The results of this poll show how far Cruz has come as a candidate and that Trump will absolutely need to respect him going forward or risk losing votes.

Trump still continues to dominate eastern states and tends to win out in battleground states like Iowa and New Hampshire. His lead is secure, but Cruz has emerged as a legitimate contender for the Republican nomination. Unlike Ben Carson, Cruz has a much better understanding of foreign policy and the Republican process and he is able to play the religion card effectively, cementing himself as the voice of the evangelicals in the United States.

Marco Rubio has maintained his position in third place for a few months and it looks as if that is where he will stay. He is having trouble convincing Republicans that he is a better candidate than either Cruz and Trump and he is running out of time to make an impression ahead of the Iowa caucuses.

Photo credit: Slate.