The latest on the presidential horse race.

Democrats Hold a Decisive Lead in the Hawaii Senate Race

Rasmussen Reports, 9/9 – 9/10

Hawaii Senate

  • Brian Schatz – Democrat – 60%
  • Campbell Cavasso – Republican – 28%
  • Other – 6%
  • Undecided – 7%

According to a recent Rasmussen Reports poll, the Democrats currently hold a two-to-one lead over the Republicans for the Hawaii Senate. The poll had a margin of error of 4%. The Democrat, Brian Schatz has secured 60% of the vote, while his Republican opponent, Campbell Cavasso has 28%. Cavasso has a lot of work ahead of him if he wants to climb back and try to pose a threat to Schatz.

In terms of demographics, 51% of voters were male, 49% female, 21% of voters were aged 18-39, 57% were 40-64, and 22% were 65+, 47% were white, while 53% were non-white, and 21% identified as Republican, 45% as Democrat, and 34% as another party. For Hawaii, these demographics are common and demonstrate no statistical anomalies.

Schatz also had superior approval ratings and overall name recognition. He achieved a favorability rating of 63% and a disapproval rating of only 29%. Cavasso’s approval rating was 30% and his disapproval rating was 21%. However, only 3% of voters had never heard of Schatz, while 36% of voters had never heard of Cavasso. Cavasso will have to establish his name amongst the voters if he wants to try and stage a comeback, a feat that looks nearly impossible given the current climate and his position in the polls.

86% of voters claimed that they were certain to vote in an election, while 14% said that they wouldn’t vote. Unlike other states, 59% of Hawaiians view President Barack Obama favorably and only 39% disapprove of the job that he has done. Hawaii is often considered a safe state for the Democrats and it looks likely that they will continue to maintain their foothold on the island.

Photo credit: The Election Project