The latest on the presidential horse race.

Democrats Maintain a Slight Advantage for the New Hampshire Senate

Rasmussen Reports, 9/10 – 9/11

New Hampshire Senate

  • Jeanne Shaheen – Democrat – 48%
  • Scott Brown – Republican – 42%
  • Other – 5%
  • Undecided – 5%

The Democrats continue to lead in New Hampshire, but their lead is dwindling and the incumbent Democrat Jeanne Shaheen will need to gain some ground if she wants to maintain her lead over her Republican challenger, Scott Brown. The most recent poll was conducted by Rasmussen Reports and has a margin of error of 4%. Currently, Shaheen has secured 48%, her opponent has 42%, 5% like a different candidate, and 5% of voters were undecided.

49% of voters were male, 51% female, 23% were aged 18-39, 57% were 40-64, and 19% were over the age of 65, 95% were white and 5% were non-white, and 30% of the voters identified as Republican, 27% as Democrat, and 43% identified with a different party. The only demographical statistic that is worth mentioning is the 95% white vote. Generally, the Democrats are associated with minorities, but in the case of New Hampshire, Shaheen is winning the polls with white voters.

55% of the voters approve of Shaheen and 42% disapprove of her, while 44% approve of Brown and 42% disapprove of him. Only 1% of the voters have never heard of either candidate. This means that they both have name recognition and that the polls represent a much more accurate picture than a typical political poll would. Voters were equally acknowledged both candidates and neither candidate suffered poor approval ratings due to a lack of name recognition. Sheehan won the New Hampshire Senate race in 2008. Previously, she was governor of the state.

Overall, 86% of the voters claimed that they were certain to vote and 14% said that they weren’t. This race is far from determined and it is likely that either candidate could exchange the lead as the election approaches.

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