The latest on the presidential horse race.

Kentucky Senate: McConnell Holds a Minor Lead over Lundergan-Grimes

Courier-Journal / SurveyUSA, 8/25 – 8/27

Kentucky Senate

  • Mitch McConnell  – Republican – 46%
  • Alison Lundergan Grimes – Democrat –  42%
  • David Patterson – Libertarian – 5%
  • Undecided – 8%

Republican Mitch McConnell holds a slight lead over Democrat Alison Lundergan-Grimes in the Kentucky Senate race. A recent poll by the Courier-Journal and Survey USA asked 569 likely voters who they would vote for. The results collected had a 4.2% margin of error and revealed that McConnell would achieve 46% of the votes if an election were held today, Lundergan-Grimes 42% of the vote, Patterson 5%, and 8% of voters were undecided.

McConnell’s voters tended to be middle aged or older, he generally secured around 47-49% of the older vote, while Lundergan-Grimes fluctuated from 38%-45%. She also scored a substantially higher number of votes from 18-34 year-olds. On racial lines, McConnell received 49% of the Caucasian vote, while Lundergan-Grimes received 72% of the black vote. For key issues, voters favored Lundergan-Grimes for women’s issues and McConnell for foreign policy, the economy, and immigration. The economy vote was very close and was separated by a 2% difference.

In terms of approval ratings, 36% of voters saw McConnell has favorable, 46% as unfavorable, 16% as neutral, and 3% had no opinion. For Lundergan-Grimes, 38% of the voters saw her as favorable, 37% as unfavorable, 21% as neutral, and 4% had no opinion. The value ofLundergan-Grime’s approval ratings represent her potential to gain ground in an election if she is able to capitalize on momentum gained from political blunders made by McConnell.

One notable advantage for Lundergan-Grimes is her ability to link McConnell to the Koch brothers and his inability to relate to the plight of the average American citizen. A campaign focused on McConnell’s overall disconnection from mainstream American society could help Lundergan-Grimes secure votes.

Photo credit: Insider Louisville