The latest on the presidential horse race.

Trump Dominates Clinton in the South

The two latest polls for Texas (Texas Tribune/YouGov) and Arkansas (Talk Business/Hendrix College) have placed Donald Trump well ahead of his Democratic opponent Hillary Clinton.

Which presidential candidate would you vote for?

Texas

  • Donald Trump – 41%
  • Hillary Clinton – 33%

Arkansas

  • Donald Trump – 47%
  • Hillary Clinton – 36%

These two polls signal the first time Trump has held a lead over Clinton in several weeks. Every since the disappearance of Bernie Sanders, Clinton has been dominating Trump in the polls, winning by small and large margins based on the polling state.

Trump is an enigmatic candidate that is hard to predict. In moderate states, he should get clobbered by Clinton, but he will easily win the deep south and any states that vote overwhelmingly Republican. However, Trump is despised by his own party and several longtime Republicans have made it clear that they will not vote for a Republican Party that is being led by Trump. Due to this, it becomes even harder to predict how he will perform in the upcoming election.

On the other side of the fence, Clinton should continue to build her supporter base. Sanders appears to be finished, and while he continues to hold out, his supporters will start to flock to Clinton. As the election approaches, Clinton is also making it clear that she will choose gun control as one of the issues her administration will focus on and she continues to dabble with the idea of selecting Sen. Elizabeth Warren as her runningmate. Time will tell if she chooses Warren, but an Ohio rally on the weekend saw Warren appear and talk on behalf of Clinton, suggesting that she may eventually become the pick.

Photo credit: Democracy Now.