The latest on the presidential horse race.

Trump Ties Cruz in Texas

If Ted Cruz thought his campaign was doing well, the latest Texas poll by TEGNA/SurveyUSA has revealed that Donald Trump has tied him in his home state.

Which Republican candidate would you vote for?

  • Ted Cruz – 32%
  • Donald Trump – 32%
  • Marco Rubio – 17%
  • John Kasich – 6%
  • Ben Carson – 5%

Cruz couldn’t even beat Trump in his home state. He has been on a steady downtrend ever since he scored a victory in Iowa and his entire campaign relies heavily on the religious vote. Evangelicals make up a large demographic, but they don’t represent enough of the population to win an election.

Unless Cruz can start polling stronger and appealing to moderate Republicans outside of the fringe, his campaign will die out and he will quickly be replaced by Marco Rubio who is more in line with the GOP establishment.

Trump is still the candidate to beat. He is polling well across the board, he has the support of the average American, certain Democrats may vote for him out of disgust for the current political system, and he has a bombastic style that the blue collar class loves.

Rubio is still hanging in the polls. At this point, he seems to be the consensus second place candidate, but it is unlikely that he will be able to overtake Trump. Unless he outperforms Trump on Super Tuesday, his campaign is more than likely over.

Photo credit: Breitbart.