2014 Governor Polls Update: Wisconsin, Michigan, Arkansas, Arizona
- DeVal (D): 40
- Ducey (R): 40
Mitchell Research: Michigan
- Snyder (R): 47
- Schauer (D): 46
- Ross (D): 46
- Hutchinson (R): 44
Marquette University: Wisconsin
- Burke (D): 49
- Walker (R): 47
We have seen a slew of new polls released over the past week and we are seeing some very tight races in gubernatorial campaigns around the country.
Perhaps the tightest race is in Arizona where a new Rasmussen poll has found a 40-40 tie between Democrat Fred DuVal and Republican Doug Ducey for the state’s gubernatorial seat. There has not been much polling out of Arizona but every poll conducted this year has had DuVal leading by a slight 1-2 percent margin. Looks like this one only got tighter.
Michigan is another race that could swing either way. A new Mitchell Research poll has incumbent Republican Governor Rick Snyder leading Democratic challenger Mark Schauer by 1-point margin while a recent EPIC-MRA poll has Schauer leading by 2 percent. In all, Snyder has now led every poll outside of that EPIC poll but only by about 1-3 percent.
In Arkansas, a surprising new Rasmussen poll has found that Democrat Mike Ross has taken the lead over Republican candidate Asa Hutchinson. The poll, the first poll out of Arkansas in over a month, has Ross leading by 2 percent after every July poll had Hutchinson leading by 3-6 percent. Looks like Arkansas is back in the toss-up pile.
Wisconsin also promises to be a close race. Since July, a CBS News/NY Times poll and a Rasmussen poll have found incumbent Republican Governor Scott Walker leading by 1 percent while two separate Marquette University polls have Democratic challenger Mary Burke leading by 1-2 percent.
It’s safe to say that none of these races will see a clear-cut frontrunner before the election and any result will be almost entirely determined by voter turnout.