2014 Senate Polls Update: Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, New Hampshire, Kansas, Colorado, Iowa
Updated RealClearPolitics Averages:
- Perdue (R): 45.9
- Nunn (D): 42.6
- Peters (D): 44.7
- Land (R): 39.3
- Hagan (D): 45.7
- Tillis (R): 40.7
- Shaheen (D): 48.3
- Brown (R): 43.3
- Orman (I): 38.5
- Roberts (R): 37.3
- Udall (D): 44
- Roberts (R): 43.4
- Braley (D): 43.5
- Ernst (R): 43.4
With Election Day roughly six weeks away, the polls from the tightest senate races in the country are being released seemingly daily. Let’s take a look at the closest races around the nation to see if we can make sense of who’s up and who’s down.
In Georgia, a new Rasmussen poll has found that Republican David Perdue leads Democratic nominee Michelle Nunn by a 46-41 margin. RealClearPolitics reports that Perdue has averaged a 46-42.5 lead over Nunn since the end of August and appears to be the significant frontrunner.
In Michigan, Democrat Gary Peters has now led Republican nominee Terri Lynn Land in five straight polls and RCP reports that Peters has averaged a 45-39 lead since late August.
In North Carolina, things suddenly seem to be swinging towards Democratic incumbent Kay Hagan, who has now led Republican challenger Thom Tillis in six straight polls. RCP reports that Hagan is averaging a 46-41 lead over Tillis in September.
In New Hampshire, incumbent Democrat Jeanne Shaheen seems to be headed for a victory over Republican nominee Scott Brown as she has yet to trail in any poll out of the Granite State. RCP reports that Shaheen is averaging a 48-43 lead over Brown since mid-August.
Kansas is an interesting case. The Supreme Court has finally allowed Democrat Chad Taylor to remove his name from the ballot after he dropped out weeks ago. Now, independent candidate Greg Orman is the favorite to unseat incumbent Republican Pat Roberts, although he led by as much as 7 percent even with Taylor on the ballot. Orman has vowed to caucus with whichever party is in the majority.
Colorado is getting interesting. After incumbent Mark Udall led Republican challenger Cory Gardner in every poll between mid-July and early September, two new polls have Gardner surging ahead. With the latest USA Today poll putting Gardner up by 1, RCP has this race essentially deadlocked at 44-44.
Iowa appears to be as competitive as any other state. After a few polls showed Democrat Bruce Braley take a slight lead and a Quinnipiac poll had Republican Joni Ernst up, the latest Fox News and Rasmussen polls have the race as a tie. Five of the last nine polls have now had this race dead even.