2014 Senate Polls Update: Iowa, Kentucky, Colorado, North Carolina, Georgia
- Ernst (R): 45
- Braley (D): 45
Kentucky: Courier-Journal/Survey USA
- McConnell (R): 48
- Grimes (D): 43
- Gardner (R): 46
- Udall (D): 39
North Carolina: Rasmussen
- Hagan (D): 47
- Tillis (R): 46
- Nunn (D): 47
- Perdue (R): 47
- Swafford (L): 3
With the elections just days away, polls out of the most competitive states in the country are seemingly changing every day. Luckily, most voters have made up their mind by now and poll results are growing increasingly closer to what is likely to be the final tally. Let’s take a look at how some of the tightest senate races are shaping up heading into election week.
Iowa figures to be one of the closest races in the country, possibly to the point where we don’t even know the winner on election night. A new Rasmussen poll has Republican Joni Ernst up by 1, a Loras College poll has Democrat Bruce Braley up by 1, and a new Reuters poll has the race dead even.
According to RealClearPolitics, Ernst leads Braley by an average of 46.5-45.3 and is a slight favorite to win.
In Kentucky, Republican Mitch McConnell is expected to win but not by a whole lot. McConnell leads Democrat Alison Grimes by 5 percent in a new Courier-Journal poll and 6 percent in a new CBS News/New York Times poll.
In Colorado, Republican Cory Gardner is also a likely favorite to unseat Democratic incumbent Mark Udall. A new Quinnipiac poll has Gardner up by 7, a Rasmussen poll has him up by 6, and RCP has him leading by an average of 47-43.
North Carolina is another state that is going to be very, very tight. Three of the last eight polls released this week have the race dead even while a Rasmussen poll, CBS News poll, Survey USA poll, and PPP poll have Democrat Kay Hagan leading Republican challenger Thom Tillis by 1-3 percent.
Hagan remains the slight favorite but certainly a very vulnerable one.
Georgia is one state to watch. We have seen Democrat Michelle Nunn make some headway of late as she’s attacked Republican David Perdue’s business practices, notably his overseas outsourcing and a pay discrimination lawsuit he was hit with while heading up Dollar General. A new WSB-TV poll has Perdue and Nunn tied with 47 percent of the vote while Libertarian candidate Amanda Swafford is polling at 3 percent.
If neither candidate can get 50 percent plus one vote, the two will face each other in a run-off with Swafford out of the race.