The latest on the presidential horse race.

After Leading For Months, Senator Mark Udall Falls Into Tie With Cory Gardner in Colorado

PPP, 7/17-7/20
Colorado Senate

  • Udall (D): 44
  • Gardner (R): 43

A new PPP poll has found that Democrat Mark Udall and Republican Cory Gardner are in a virtual tie for the first time in the election cycle after Udall held a significant lead in the last three polls.

The poll, conducted between July 17 and July 20, sampling 653 Colorado voters, shows incumbent Democratic Senator Mark Udall leading Republican Congressman Cory Gardner by just one point, a 44-43 margin, in a poll that has a margin of error of 3.8 percent.

In the last poll, conducted in May, Udall led Gardner by four points and the one-percent difference represents the slimmest margin of the campaign.

Gardner, a two-term Congressman who previously served in the Colorado House of Representatives, has gained significant ground among independent voters, now leading Udall among unaffiliated voters by a margin of 45-38. Udall’s standing with independents has fallen significantly from 43 percent in May.

Gardner has also increased his lead among male voters, leading the incumbent among men by a margin of 53-38. As with independents, Udall saw a five-point drop from May among male supporters.

Udall continues to lead with women, however, claiming 49 percent of the female vote to 35 percent for Gardner, a staunch pro-lifer.

Udall has become the victim of his own voting record. In Colorado, a purple state, just 36 percent of voters now approve of his job performance (compared t0 42 percent in May) while 47 percent disapprove.

To be fair, Gardner’s statewide numbers aren’t a lot better as 34 percent say they have a favorable opinion of the Congressman while 39 percent say they have an unfavorable view.

(Image courtesy of Senate Democrats)