The latest on the presidential horse race.

Clinton Pulls Away From GOP in Iowa in New Poll

Quinnipiac, 3/5-3/10
Iowa

  • Clinton: 49, Paul: 39
  • Clinton: 48, Christie: 35
  • Clinton: 51, Bush: 37
  • Clinton: 51, Cruz: 36

Iowa has gone to a Democratic candidate in six of the last seven presidential elections and Hillary Clinton looks poised to make it three in a row. According to a new Quinnipiac poll, Clinton leads every potential Republican challenger by double digits in the Hawkeye State.

The poll, conducted between March 5 and March 10, sampling 1,411 registered Iowa voters, found that former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton leads Kentucky Senator Rand Paul by 10 percent in Iowa. That’s a big jump from the last Quinnipiac poll, conducted in December, when Clinton led by just one point. In a PPP poll released in February, Clinton led by just five points.

Paul’s 49-39 margin of defeat was the closest among any candidate. New Jersey Governor Chris Christie trails the former First Lady by a margin of 48-35. That’s a massive swing from his 5 percent lead in the December poll, obviously the result of the Bridgegate scandal in which he’s been embroiled since January. In the February poll, Clinton led by six so Christie continues his downslide.

Former Florida Governor Jeb Bush has fallen back significantly as well. The former New York Senator leads Bush by a margin of 51-37. Bush had trailed Hillary by seven points back in December and by just four points in February.

Clinton sees her biggest margin of victory against Texas Senator Ted Cruz, leading the Tea Party favorite by a margin of 51-36. Cruz had trailed the Democratic frontrunner by seven points in each of the last two polls.

The key to Hillary’s surge is a swing among independent voters. In December, Chris Christie led among Iowa independents by a margin of 44-35. Today, Clinton leads by 46-32 among independents. She leads every other challenger by at least 12 points among independent voters.

Fifty-five percent of respondents said that they think Hillary Clinton would make a good president. Just 36 percent said the same of Christie. Only 36 percent of respondents said that Rand Paul would make a good president, just 33 percent said that Jeb Bush would make a good president, and a mere 24 percent said Ted Cruz would make a good president.

(Image courtesy of Paula R. Lively)