The latest on the presidential horse race.

Cracks Begin to Show: Hillary’s Poll Numbers Slipping in Swing States

Quinnipiac, 5/7-5/12
Ohio

  • Clinton: 47, Rubio: 40
  • Clinton: 48, Ryan: 41
  • Clinton: 46, Christie: 38
  • Clinton: 49, Paul: 41
  • Clinton: 49, Huckabee: 41
  • Clinton: 48, Bush: 39
  • Clinton: 51, Cruz: 37

Earlier this week, we looked at Hillary Clinton’s slipping poll numbers in North Carolina as independents have abandoned the candidate in droves. Now, a new Quinnipiac poll has found the Clinton’s lead over Republican candidates is slipping in Ohio as well.

According to the poll, conducted between May 7 and May 12, surveying 1,174 registered Ohio voters, Clinton has kept a lead over every potential Republican candidate but they are considerably slimmer leads than we saw in February and last November.

Clinton leads Kentucky Senator Rand Paul by a margin of 49-41, a significant decrease from her 51-38 lead just a few months ago in February. On its own it wouldn’t be much of a trend but when coupled with Hillary’s slipping numbers in other swing states, the trend becomes more significant, especially when it’s the same among the other candidates.

Clinton leads New Jersey Governor Chris Christie by a margin of 46-38 after leading him by a stronger 49-36 margin in February.

Against Florida Senator Marco Rubio, Clinton has maintained her lead but now leads by a margin of 47-40 after leading him 50-36 in February.

Against former Florida Governor Jeb Bush, Clinton leads by a margin of 48-39 after leading by a 51-36 margin in February.

Against Texas Senator Ted Cruz, Clinton leads by a margin of 51-37 after leading by a 51-34 margin in February.

Wisconsin Congressman Paul Ryan hasn’t gotten much of a boost, however, as he trails Clinton by a margin of 48 to 41 after trailing by a 49-40 margin in February.

As with many of this year’s Senate races, President Obama’s low approval numbers in Iowa appear to have a slight impact on Hillary’s numbers as well. Just 34 percent of independent voters say they approve of the way Obama has handled his job as president while 63 percent say they disapprove. That’s the highest disapproval rating Obama has seen in Ohio.

(Image courtesy of Marc Nozell)