The latest on the presidential horse race.

Iowa Voters Say Chris Christie Has Best Chance of Being Elected in 2016: New Poll

Des Moines Register, 5/27-5/30
Iowa, Best Chance to Defeat Democrat

  • Christie: 19
  • Bush: 16
  • Huckabee: 13
  • Paul: 13
  • Perry: 10
  • Ryan: 10
  • Jindal: 9
  • Rubio: 9
  • Cruz: 8
  • Santorum: 6
  • Walker: 6


There are two aspects to the primary process. One is appealing to the party base. If a Republican wants to be nominated, certainly he’ll have to say the right things about the economy, taxes, immigration, and social issues. Of course, then comes the question of electability. Winning a primary often costs a candidate some points in the general election because they have alienated voters outside of their base. Perhaps this is why a new Des Moines Register poll shows moderate Chris Christie as the most “electable candidate.”

The poll, conducted between May 27 and May 30, sampling 400 likely Iowa Republican caucus goers, found that voters see New Jersey Governor Chris Christie with the best chance to defeat a Democratic candidate in 2016.

While 19 percent of respondents said Christie has the best shot to win the general election, a very close 16 percent said fellow moderate and former Florida Governor Jeb Bush has the best shot.

Coming in tied for third were former Arkansas Governor Mike Huckabee and Kentucky Senator Rand Paul with 13 percent.

Behind them were Texas Governor Rick Perry and Wisconsin Congressman Paul Ryan with 10 percent.

Louisiana Governor Bobby Jindal and Florida Senator Marco Rubio got 9 percent, Texas Senator Ted Cruz got 8 percent, and former Pennsylvania Senator Rick Santorum and Wisconsin Governor Scott Walker got 6 percent.

Interestingly, Christie also received the lowest favorable-unfavorable split of any of the candidate. Just 42 percent have a favorable view of Christie and 40 percent have an unfavorable view.

Paul Ryan has the highest favorable rating by far with 56 percent having a favorable view of the former Veep nominee and just 23 percent seeing him in an unfavorable light.

Rubio got a 43 favorable-23 unfavorable split, Perry got a 49-32 split, Huckabee got a 50-34, Paul got a 46-30, Jindal got a 35-19, Cruz got a 38-26, Santorum got a 41-31, and Bush got a 44-38.

(Image courtesy of Gage Skidmore)