The latest on the presidential horse race.

Jeb Bush is Only Candidate With a Chance Against Hillary in Florida: New Poll

Quinnipiac, 4/23-4/28

  • Clinton: 49, Bush: 41
  • Clinton: 52, Rubio: 40
  • Clinton: 52, Christie: 34
  • Clinton: 55, Paul: 37
  • Clinton: 53, Huckabee: 35
  • Clinton: 56, Ryan: 36
  • Clinton: 57, Cruz: 31

As momentum builds for a Jeb Bush candidacy, a new Quinnipiac poll has found that Bush’s homefield advantage makes him just about the only candidate who can threaten Hillary Clinton’s chances of carrying Florida in 2016.

According to the poll, conducted between April 23 and April 28, sampling 1,413 registered Florida voters, Jeb Bush is the only candidate within single-digits of Clinton, and even the former Florida Governor trails her by a big eight points. Bush has been within two points of Clinton and has trailed her by as much as 13 percent in Florida.

Florida Senator Marco Rubio doesn’t see the same homefield “advantage” as he trails Clinton by 12 percent, though that still puts him closer than the rest of the GOP pack. In the last poll we saw, back in January, Rubio trailed Clinton by a similar 10 percent.

All of the other candidates have a massive amount of work to do in Florida. Both Kentucky Senator Rand Paul and New Jersey Governor Chris Christie trail the former Secretary of State by 18 percent. In the January poll, Paul trailed by a similar 15 percent. Christie also trailed Clinton by a similar 16 percent in January but had been within just 4 percent of the former First Lady in November before his Bridgegate scandal. Mike Huckabee trails Clinton by 18 percent as well.

Wisconsin Congressman Paul Ryan trails the former New York Senator by 20 percent. That’s a big fall from the 13 percent deficit he saw back in January.

Fairing the worst in Florida is Texas Senator Ted Cruz, trailing Clinton by a huge 26 percent margin. That’s not entirely unexpected as Cruz trailed the presumptive Democratic nominee by 20 percent in January.

(Image courtesy of Gage Skidmore)