Largest Poll Yet Shows Mike Huckabee With Strong Lead in Iowa
Loras College, 4/7-4/8
- Huckabee: 15
- Bush: 11
- Paul: 9
- Christie: 8
- Ryan: 8
- Cruz: 6
- Walker: 5
- Santorum: 5
- Rubio: 5
- Perry: 3
In the last poll we saw, Rand Paul, Jeb Bush, and Ted Cruz had all inched closer to Iowa frontrunner Mike Huckabee. A new Loras College poll with the largest sample we’ve seen yet, however, has found that Huckabee remains a fairly strong first place in the Iowa Republican caucus race.
The poll, conducted between April 7 and April 8, sampling 600 likely Iowa caucus goers, found that former Arkansas Governor Mike Huckabee remains the odds-on favorite to win the first-in-the-nation caucus as he holds first place with 15 percent of the vote. All but one poll that we’ve seen have had Huckabee around 14-17 percent and he has placed first in every single one.
Not far behind the Fox News host is former Florida Governor Jeb Bush with 11 percent of the vote. We have seen Bush at 10-14 percent since last year so his standing in Iowa has gone mostly unchanged.
Kentucky Senator Rand Paul, who had been polling in double-digits in every poll we’ve seen since the beginning of last year, has dipped to 9 percent, though he’s been at 10 percent in the last two polls we have seen so he remains steady as well.
In a fourth place tie, New Jersey Governor Chris Christie and Wisconsin Congressman Paul Ryan received 8 percent apiece. Christie is bouncing back after his Bridgegate scandal caused his 12-16 percent to fall to around 6-7 but he is inching back up. Ryan, on the other hand, has now seen 6-9 percent in each of the last five polls we’ve seen.
Texas Senator Ted Cruz is at just 6 percent after seeing 7-9 percent in the last two polls.
The rest of the candidates don’t stand much of a chance. Wisconsin Governor Scott Walker, Florida Senator Marco Rubio, and former Pennsylvania Senator Rick Santorum are at 5 percent each. Trailing everyone is Texas Governor Rick Perry with just 3 percent.
Mike Huckabee clearly remains the frontrunner in Iowa, and his major competition is becoming more evident, but we won’t have a real feel on Iowa until the candidate pool starts to shrink.