The latest on the presidential horse race.

New Hampshire Primary Voters Overwhelmingly Prefer Mitt Romney to Current Pack

Bloomberg Politics, 11/12-11/18
New Hampshire GOP Primary

With Romney:

  • Romney: 30
  • Paul: 11
  • Christie: 9
  • Bush: 8
  • Carson: 6
  • Huckabee: 5
  • Ryan: 5
  • Cruz: 5

Without Romney:

  • Christie: 16
  • Paul: 16
  • Bush: 14
  • Carson: 9
  • Huckabee: 8
  • Ryan: 7
  • Cruz: 5

A new Bloomberg Politics poll has found that New Hampshire Republican primary voters heavily prefer Mitt Romney to the current crop of candidates but most are willing to settle for Rand Paul, Chris Christie, or Jeb Bush.

The poll, conducted between November 12 and November 18, sampling 407 likely GOP primary voters, found that 30 percent of respondents would vote for former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney for the Republican nomination.

With Romney in the picture, only Kentucky Senator Rand Paul garners double-digit support, finishing a distant second with 11 percent.

If Romney doesn’t run, 19 percent of Romney supporters say they’ll back Paul, 22 percent say they prefer New Jersey Governor Chris Christie, and 20 percent say they’ll vote for former Florida Governor Jeb Bush.

Without Romney in the picture, Christie and Paul lead the pack with 16 percent of the vote apiece, roughly half of what Romney would command. Bush is right on their heels with 14 percent while Tea Party favorite Ben Carson is at 9 percent, former Arkansas Governor Mike Huckabee is at 8 percent, Wisconsin Congressman Paul Ryan is at 7 percent, Texas Senator Ted Cruz is at 5 percent, Louisiana Governor Bobby Jindal is at 4 percent, and Texas Governor Rick Perry is at 3 percent.

If Romney does run, the general election in New Hampshire could be much closer than it appears otherwise.

Presumptive Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton leads Romney by just one point, 46-45, in New Hampshire. By comparison, she leads Bush with a 47-39 margin and Paul with a 48-41 margin.