The latest on the presidential horse race.

Trump Holds Tiny 2 Point Lead over Clinton Nationally

The latest general election poll by the LA Times/USC Tracking has placed Donald Trump 2 points ahead of Hillary Clinton.

Which presidential candidate would you vote for?

  • Donald Trump – 45%
  • Hillary Clinton – 43%

Another poll, the same results. This week has seen Clinton and Trump trade the lead numerous times, depending on the company responsible for the poll. As you would expect, Trump continuously won Republican leaning polls, while Clinton won those that leaned towards the Democrats.

None of these numbers will matter come Monday. Both Trump and Clinton will showdown in the first presidential debate and it will provide the two candidates with an opportunity to show the American people why they deserve to be the next president.

Clinton should be able to outperform Trump at the debate, but there are still glaring questions about her health and her overall ability to last through an arduous 4-year presidency. In addition, the majority of voters do not trust Clinton and if Trump can take advantage of this, he may be able to win over new voters.

For Trump, he will need to come to the debates ready to talk about policy. His usual vague talking points will not do and if the debate moderators hold him accountable, he will struggle immensely. If Trump can come to the debates and drive home his usual points with strong reasoning and hit Clinton by proposing something more left leaning, he should be able to escape the debates without damaging his reputation.

Photo credit: The Fiscal Times.

Trump Pulls Ahead by 5 Points

In the latest Rasmussen Reports general election poll, Donald Trump has managed to retake the lead, toppling Hillary Clinton by 5 points.

Which presidential candidate would you vote for?

  • Donald Trump – 44%
  • Hillary Clinton – 39%
  • Gary Johnson – 8%

The past week has been a weird one for Trump. Previously, it looked like Trump was making a legitimate effort to become more presidential. However, this week, he returned to form and resembled the Trump we have all come to know through this election cycle.

Trump continues to poll moderately well, taking the odd poll, but falling to Clinton in the game of averages. He has the racist demographic on lock down, but he continues to struggle to gain momentum with women, minorities, and other large voting demographics. His black outreach has been laughable and he is no closer to cementing the black vote. In an election with a serious and likable Democratic candidate, Trump would be getting blown out of the water, but due to how unlikable Clinton is, he is still in the running.

Clinton is a candidate that comes with an immense amount of baggage. Voters do not like her, they do not trust her, and they are tired of political dynasties running the country. It is in the final point that Trump becomes an attractive candidate for voters that are tired of American politics in its current form. They may not like Trump, but they see a fresh face and someone that isn’t a career politician.

Photo credit: Raw Conservative.

Clinton Regains Lead over Trump, Johnson Makes Slight Gains

The latest general election poll by NBC News/SM has revealed that Hillary Clinton has regained the lead over Donald Trump and that Gary Johnson continues to siphon valuable percentage points from both candidates.

Which presidential candidate would you vote for?

  • Hillary Clinton – 45%
  • Donald Trump – 40%
  • Gary Johnson – 10%
  • Jill Stein – 4%

Johnson has no chance to win the election, but he could be this year’s Ralph Nader. While Trump continues to try and unify the Republican Party and to win over undecided voters, many Republicans are turning to Clinton and Johnson as alternatives to the billionaire.

Even longtime Republicans, like the Bush family and several of their lifelong advisers are turning to Clinton over Trump, seeing her as the lesser of the two evils.

Over the weekend, Trump focused on terrorism and suggested that he was best suited to deal with the issue as he correctly called the New York City explosions “bombs.” The media lashed out at Trump, blasting him for labeling the explosions bombs without any evidence. However, the explosions were eventually labelled as an act of terrorism and Trump quickly bragged about his correct prediction.

Clinton also weighed in on the explosion, criticizing Trump for calling it a bomb, but she too called it a bombing using more nuanced phrasing.

The real test for both candidates is coming up at the end of the month when both Clinton and Trump will face off at the presidential debates. If Clinton can hammer Trump with substantive policy, Trump should struggle, as it will be the first time he has to focus on talking about policy beyond his usual talking points.

Trump Continues to Fly High as Clinton Stumbles at the Polls

Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump is still the man to beat at the polls. In the latest poll by the LA Times/USC Tracking, Trump managed to beat Hillary Clinton by 7 points.

Which presidential candidate would you vote for?

  • Donald Trump – 48%
  • Hillary Clinton – 41%

Trump continued to poll well near the end of the week. While he still makes the odd blunder in the media, he has worked hard to clean up his act and to appear more presidential in the eyes of voters. Following Saturday night’s explosion in New York City, Trump used the incident as justification for voters as to why they should vote for him in the upcoming election.

Additionally, his growing numbers at the polls can largely be attributed to the questions surrounding Clinton’s health. Many voters are unsure of Clinton’s future, if she’ll be able to finish the election and serve as president, or if she will bow out due to a concerning medical condition. With so many unknowns, many voters are nervous to vote for Clinton and are starting to feel comfortable with Trump.

The presidential debates are approaching quickly and they will provide Clinton with a great opportunity to win back voters. Trump should struggle at the debates, so long as Clinton can keep the discussion on policy and refrain from letting them devolve into a high school soap opera.

Photo credit: CBC.

Trump Holds the Lead as Clinton Returns to the Campaign Trail

Donald Trump managed to maintain his lead over Hillary Clinton in the latest general election poll released by the LA Times/USC Tracking.

Which presidential candidate would you vote for?

  • Donald Trump – 47%
  • Hillary Clinton – 41%

Trump continues to hold his lead and is working hard to develop his presidential image. This past week involved him trying to reach out to African-American voters. He ventured to Flint, Michigan, on Wednesday and delivered a speech to a crowd of African-American churchgoers and on Thursday his campaign finally admitted that President Barack Obama is an American citizen. While the birther movement was silly to most critics, Trump actually believes it to be true and his beliefs were making it hard for him to appeal to African-Americans as he was clearly trying to damage the legitimacy the first African-American president.

As it stands, Trump holds the lead, but Clinton returned to the campaign trail on Friday and looks poised to try and change her slumping numbers at the polls. The first presidential debate is fast approaching and this will be an area where Clinton can outshine Trump by a large margin. She is far more experienced in debates and so long as she can avoid getting caught up in personality politics, she should be able to defeat Trump in a discussion that is dominated by policy and not insults.

Clinton’s health is still a major topic and something the Republicans will continue to hammer at for the rest of the election. So long as Clinton can maintain the image of healthiness, she will be able to ignore these claims. However, if for any reason her sickness returns, it may be the death of her campaign as many are already questioning her long-term health.

Photo credit: Raw Conservative.

Trump Surges as Clinton Recovers from Pneumonia

The latest general election poll by the LA Times/USC Tracking has revealed that Donald Trump now holds the lead over Hillary Clinton.

Which presidential candidate would you vote for?

  • Donald Trump – 47%
  • Hillary Clinton – 42%

Trump has handled Clinton’s medical crisis with a surprising level of tameness. Rather than lambaste her for being unhealthy, he simply wished her to get well and suggested that he would be willing to let her sit on a chair at the debates. Regardless of how you approach the situation, Trump’s back-handed comment was designed to paint Clinton as weak and to deflect the criticism away from him.

Additionally, Trump started pivoting to the left on Tuesday when he proposed a new maternity leave plan that will provide new parents with up to six weeks of paid maternity leave. This is an incredibly smart move by Trump as it will win him over some support from undecided left-leaning voters. It is also a great one for American voters because the Democrats cannot legitimately attack Trump on this issue without first proposing an even better plan.

As for Clinton, she finds herself in a difficult situation. If she truly is unwell and rushes back to the campaign trail, she may suffer further health complications. However, if she takes too much time off to heal, voters will question her stamina and may consider voting for a different candidate. Of course, the entire medical drama could be nothing more than an isolated incident, but for now, expect to see rampant speculation until Clinton’s campaign puts the rumors to rest.

Photo credit: The Fiscal Times.

Battle of the Deplorables Results in a Stalemate

The latest general election poll by the LA Times/USC Tracking has revealed that Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump are caught in a stalemate.

Which presidential candidate would you vote for?

  • Donald Trump – 44%
  • Hillary Clinton – 44%

Trump has a lot of power in the election right now. For the first time in what seems like the entire election, the spotlight isn’t on him. Instead, his rival, Clinton, has been in the spotlight for good and bad. This has provided Trump with the perfect opportunity to choose his path and to distract voters from the insane things he has said in the past.

Based on recent events, Trump could continue pushing Clinton on the “basket of deplorables” comment, he could question her health based on the fact that she fainted during a 9/11 memorial, or he could paint himself as a respectable individual and wish her well.

For Clinton, this has been an uncharacteristic week of weakness for her. Clinton has been fairly quiet for most of the campaign, trying to hide from the fallout from her email scandal, but this week saw her thrust into the spotlight, caught saying something questionable, and it was all topped off with a major incident that has left many questioning her health. On top of that, many Republican critics were already throwing around health conspiracies, meaning that her fainting spell will only add fuel to those flames.

Regardless, the coming weeks and upcoming debates should help Clinton recover and it will be a true test of skill for Trump, who appears to be a lot less skilled when it comes to debates.

Photo credit: CBC.

Unpredictable at Best: Trump and Clinton Break Even

The latest general election poll by the LA Times/USC Tracking has placed Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton at a near tie.

Which presidential candidate would you vote for?

  • Hillary Clinton – 45%
  • Donald Trump – 44%

When you adjust for the margin of error, this poll was a statistical tie. Clinton continues to drop the ball against Trump, blowing a respectable lead, and proving that she is ineffective at capitalizing on a lead.

Clinton’s recent comments about Trump’s supporters being a “basket of deplorables” will not be taken lightly by the American public. No matter how you address it, she essentially called over 10 million Americans deplorable and simplified them as a band of racist and sexist individuals. Even though Trump has made a living mocking anything and everything in this campaign, this is not the type of behavior you expect from Clinton and she knows better than to engage Trump at his level.

The best thing Trump could do at this point to try and beat Clinton would be to try and become more presidential and to drop the bully tactics that he has relied on so much throughout this campaign. If he could somehow make Clinton look like the aggressor, he could slowly pivot to the center and create a legitimate campaign.

Photo credit: Raw Conservative.

Clinton Slightly Ahead of Trump, Johnson Makes Slight Gains

The latest general election poll by Rasmussen Reports has placed Hillary Clinton 4 points ahead of Donald Trump, while the Libertarian Party’s Gary Johnson has made slight gains.

Which presidential candidate would you vote for?

  • Hillary Clinton – 43%
  • Donald Trump – 39%
  • Gary Johnson – 9%

Both Clinton and Trump delivered detailed interviews on Wednesday that were designed to clarify their positions on many of the major issues.

Trump dropped the ball pretty hard when it came to foreign policy. In the interview, he suggested that the United States was entitled to all of Iraq’s oil because “to the victor go the spoils.” This response earned him a lot of criticism and made it look like he didn’t know what he was talking about when it comes to foreign policy.

Even Johnson suffered a massive blunder on Thursday morning when he had to ask his interviewer what Aleppo is after he was asked a foreign policy question about Syria. Naturally, Twitter exploded, mocking Johnson and making him look extremely uninformed on the Middle East.

As for Clinton, her performance in the latest interview came off as far too defensive and she responded like a lawyer numerous times. If she wants to be elected in November, she will need to find a way to appeal to the American people, something Trump is much better at doing (even if it’s not sincere).

Photo credit: Gage Skidmore / Wikipedia Commons.

Clinton Camp Left Asking Questions as Trump Pulls Ahead

Donald Trump is back. According to the latest CNN/ORC poll, Trump has managed to surpass Hillary Clinton by a meager 2 points.

Which presidential candidate would you vote for?

  • Donald Trump – 45%
  • Hillary Clinton – 43%
  • Gary Johnson – 7%

Trump has managed to regain the lead, something that hasn’t happened much in the recent weeks. Will Trump’s lead last? Who knows. However, with the upcoming presidential debates fast approaching, expect to see major changes in the polls as the candidates will be forced to deal with each other head-to-head.

In a debate scenario, Clinton should have the edge over Trump, as she has far more experience in debates and understands how they work. However, Trump is always a wildcard. If Trump can engage Clinton with his bully tactics, he may be able to get her to sink to his level, and if that happens, all predictions are out the window.

In addition, it remains to be seen whether the Libertarian Party’s Gary Johnson will get an invite to the debates. While he has no chance of winning the election, Johnson could be 2016’s Ralph Nader and cause a headache for either of the major candidates by fracturing their support base and plundering valuable percentage points.

Photo credit: The Fiscal Times.