The latest on the presidential horse race.

Tag Archives: 2014 Illinois Governor

Governor Races: Colorado, Connecticut, Florida, Hawaii, Illinois, Maine, Massachusetts, Michigan, Wisconsin

Rasmussen Reports, 11/3

Governor Races

Are you ready to vote today? Rasmussen Reports has compiled a last minute assessment of the major governor races throughout the country.

In Colorado, Republican Bob Beauprez leads with 49 percent of the vote to John Hickenlooper’s 47 percent. The numbers are negligible and it is difficult to predict who will win in this state.

We wrote about Connecticut the other day and the numbers are still very similar. Democrat Dan Malloy is expected to receive 48 percent of the vote to Foley’s 47 percent.

What about Florida? Despite Republican Rick Scott’s reputation, he will head into Election Day tied with Charlie Crist with 47 percent of the vote.

Hawaii will likely be won by Democrat David Ige, who currently has 40 percent of the vote. His Republican opponent, Duke Aiona secured 39 percent.

Illinois is a tight race. Republican Bruce Rauner has 48 percent of the vote to Pat Quinn’s 47. This one is a toss-up and it is impossible to say what the results will be given the information at hand.

Maine is another toss-up state. Republican Paul LePage appears to have 41 percent of the vote to Mike Michaud’s 40 percent.

Massachusetts, a blue state, appears to be heading towards the red side. 48 percent of the voters prefer Republican Charlie Baker, while 46 percent like Martha Coakley.

In Michigan, Republican Rick Snyder currently has 49 percent of the vote to Mark Schauer’s 46 percent. The election could end up either way, but the current numbers clearly favor Snyder.

Wisconsin is another toss-up. Democrat Mary Burke leads with 49 percent to Scott Walker’s 48 percent. This poll is well within the margin of error and could swing either way.

Photo credit: Presentation Voice.

Illinois Governor: One Percentage Point Separates Rauner and Quinn

Rasmussen Reports, 10/20 – 10/22

Illinois Governor

  • Bruce Rauner – Republican – 48%
  • Pat Quinn – Democrat – 47%
  • Other – 2%
  • Undecided – 4%

Splitting hairs is the best way to describe the Illinois Governor election. Rasmussen Reports issued a new political poll showing how close this race is. The poll asked 1,000 likely voters who they would vote for if an election were to occur today. Bruce Rauner, the Republican candidate, secured 48 percent of the votes, while his Democrat challenger, Pat Quinn, had 47 percent. 2 percent of voters liked a different candidate, and 4 percent were undecided.

In July, Rauner had 44 percent of the vote to Quinn’s 39 percent, while in late September, 42 percent liked Rauner, and 44 percent Quinn. Rauner has blown the lead down the stretch and this election is now a toss-up.

Rauner’s favorability rating was respectable. He scored 54 percent of the vote, while his opponent only had a favorability rating of 47 percent. Both candidates are recognizable in the eyes of the voters.

In terms of trust and other related questions. 46 percent of voters trust Rauner to deal with government spending, while only 40 percent say the same about Quinn.

On the issue of taxes, 45 percent trust Rauner and only 40 percent Quinn.

For social issues, Quinn came out ahead with 45 percent of the vote to Rauner’s 39 percent.

Lastly, when it comes to government ethics and corruption, 44 percent believe that Rauner is the better candidate to Quinn’s 36 percent.

The party split for this poll was 31 percent Republican, 42 percent Democrat, and 26 percent other. Still, the Republican candidate secured more votes in a poll that should have been dominated by the Democrats.

Photo credit: Chicago Tribune.

Illinois Governor: Votes Favor Quinn, but Voters Prefer Rauner’s Business Background

Sun Times, 10/8

Illinois Governor

  • Pat Quinn – Democrat – 44.5%
  • Bruce Rauner – Republican – 41%

The Sun Times newest poll has added to the drama that has become the Illinois Governor race. The election is dead-even despite the Democrat Pat Quinn’s lead over his Republican challenger Bruce Rauner. Quinn netted 44.5 percent of the vote, to Rauner’s 41 percent. However, these numbers were well within the polls 3 percent margin of error.

In the previous month, Quinn was up by 3 points in a CBS News poll, and 2 points in a Rasmussen Reports poll. He has been consistent in the polls, but voters have revealed that they trust Rauner more.

When asked who they would trust more to deal with reform, 37.38 percent chose Rauner and only 26.12 percent Quinn. This is odd considering the Republicans are not usually known as reformers.

41.65 percent of voters also preferred Rauner’s business background to the 24.11 percent that chose Quinn’s political background. 25.7 percent believed that both backgrounds are in important, and 8.53 percent believed that neither background is important.

Voters are interested in both candidates, so much so, that 63.85 percent of them claimed that they will watch the debate.

The two candidates have resulted to dirty tactics throughout the election. Quinn has attacked Rauner’s business background which has included bankruptcies, lawsuits, and criminal investigations, while Rauner has called Quinn a career politician who is too-cozy, has ties to heavy power brokers, and who is corrupt.

“This is about what kind of values and leadership will be in the Governor’s Office for the next four years — will the people of Illinois have a champion who makes the tough decisions and fights for the middle class like Gov. Quinn does? Or will they have someone like billionaire Bruce Rauner who fights for himself and his wealthy friends at the expense of everyone else? People have a very clear choice to make,” said Brooke Anderson a spokeswoman for Quinn.

“We’ve always expected the polls to bounce back and forth, but it’s clear voters are ready for a clean break from twelve years of failure under Rod Blagojevich and Pat Quinn,” said Mike Schrimpf, a Rauner spokesman.

Photo credit: Gapers Block