The latest on the presidential horse race.

Tag Archives: 2014 Massachusetts Governor

Governor Races: Colorado, Connecticut, Florida, Hawaii, Illinois, Maine, Massachusetts, Michigan, Wisconsin

Rasmussen Reports, 11/3

Governor Races

Are you ready to vote today? Rasmussen Reports has compiled a last minute assessment of the major governor races throughout the country.

In Colorado, Republican Bob Beauprez leads with 49 percent of the vote to John Hickenlooper’s 47 percent. The numbers are negligible and it is difficult to predict who will win in this state.

We wrote about Connecticut the other day and the numbers are still very similar. Democrat Dan Malloy is expected to receive 48 percent of the vote to Foley’s 47 percent.

What about Florida? Despite Republican Rick Scott’s reputation, he will head into Election Day tied with Charlie Crist with 47 percent of the vote.

Hawaii will likely be won by Democrat David Ige, who currently has 40 percent of the vote. His Republican opponent, Duke Aiona secured 39 percent.

Illinois is a tight race. Republican Bruce Rauner has 48 percent of the vote to Pat Quinn’s 47. This one is a toss-up and it is impossible to say what the results will be given the information at hand.

Maine is another toss-up state. Republican Paul LePage appears to have 41 percent of the vote to Mike Michaud’s 40 percent.

Massachusetts, a blue state, appears to be heading towards the red side. 48 percent of the voters prefer Republican Charlie Baker, while 46 percent like Martha Coakley.

In Michigan, Republican Rick Snyder currently has 49 percent of the vote to Mark Schauer’s 46 percent. The election could end up either way, but the current numbers clearly favor Snyder.

Wisconsin is another toss-up. Democrat Mary Burke leads with 49 percent to Scott Walker’s 48 percent. This poll is well within the margin of error and could swing either way.

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2014 Massachusetts Governor: Baker Officially Takes the Lead after Trailing for Months

Boston Globe, 9/28 – 9/30

2014 Massachusetts Governor

  • Charlie Baker – Republican – 39%
  • Martha Coakley – Democrat – 36%

The Boston Globe has released a new poll for the 2014 Massachusetts governor race. If you are voting for the Democrat Martha Coakley, you may be disappointed with the results. Her Republican opponent, Charlie Baker, has closed a massive double digit gap over the last few months and has now taken the lead in most polls. Currently, Baker has 39 percent of the votes, while Coakley has only 36 percent.

In May, Coakley was +9, in June she was +13, and in July she was +15. After July, her ratings began to fall. At this point, Baker capitalized on his opponent’s downswing and began to rise.

44 percent of the voters see Baker as a favorable candidate, while 48 percent say the same about Coakley. 16 percent of voters have never heard of Baker and for Coakley the number is only 2 percent.

Massachusetts is a blue state. However, historically, they have favored Republican governors, who are expected to act as a system of checks and balances against the liberal machine. The state has voted in 31 Republican governors to the Democrat’s 19. Before the Democrat Governor Deval Patrick was elected, the previous four governors were all Republican.

Why has Coakley fallen so far in the polls? As attorney general, she has worked on many cases that have involved child abuse. Supporters of Baker have created a set of attack ads that have criticized Coakley for being too soft and for not doing enough, a fact which is untrue, and one that has upset Coakley and made her look overly defensive.

As of now, it looks as if the gubernatorial race in Massachusetts will be won by the Republicans.

Photo credit: WBUR.

For the First Time in the Massachusetts Governor Race, Baker Takes a Slim Lead

Boston Globe, 6/27 – 8/26

Massachusetts Governor

  • Charlie Baker – Republican – 38%
  • Martha Coakley – Democrat – 37%

The Boston Globe has released a poll that shows Republican Charlie Baker in the lead over Democrat Martha Coakley, for the first time in the Massachusetts Governor race. The poll asked 605 voters who they would vote for if the election were to occur today. 38% of voters said that they would vote for Baker while 37% sided with Coakley. A CBS News / NYT / YouGov poll from early July had Coakley at a +15 lead and a Mass Insight / Opinion Dynamics poll from late July had her at a +3.

Of the 605 voters, 197 identified as Democrats, 106 as Republicans, and 302 as independent. In terms of gender, women tend to favor Coakley while men side with Baker. Statistically, 49% of women said they would vote for Coakley and 29% for Baker, while 44% of men said they would vote Baker and only 29% for Coakley.

The election is far from decided, both candidates still have to win their individual primaries on September 9th before they can move onto a general election. Both candidates hold a commanding lead over their opposition. However, 48% of the voters for Coakley’s opposition, Democrat Steve Grossman, said that they would vote for Baker if Grossman was to be eliminated. If she wants to gain the upper hand, she will need to convince Grossman’s voters that she is the right candidate and that she has a better platform than Baker.

Amongst her own voters, 51% of them see her as a favorable candidate and 40% see her as unfavorable. What does this mean? 91% of voters recognize Coakley’s name and have formed an opinion about her. If Baker can capitalize on the divide amongst the Democrats, he may be able to steal this election.

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