The latest on the presidential horse race.

Tag Archives: Barack Obama

Barack Obamas Approval Ratings Remain Stagnant

The latest round of approval ratings for President Barack Obama reveal stagnant and show that the president is highly unpopular and unlikely to ever recover.

July 1 pegged the president at a 49 percent approval. 27 percent strongly approved of him, 38 percent strongly disproved of him.

In mid-June, the president’s numbers were slightly worse. He achieved a 46 percent approval and 52 percent disapproval.

On July 1, 2014, the president had a 48 percent approval and 50 percent disapproval. A year prior to that, his numbers were largely the same.

The president’s highest approval rating was achieved early in his first term. He scored a 69 percent approval rating during the holidays in 2008. During the same period, his disapproval rating was a lowly 29 percent.

Obama has often been criticized for being a lifeless puppet, unable to act, and unwilling to budge from the status quo. He recently passed the controversial Trans-Pacific Partnership bill, one that big business was working hard to push through the system.

When discussing the recent bill, he suggested that it was beneficial to American workers.

“I would not be signing these bills if I was not absolutely convinced that these pieces of legislation are ultimately good for American workers,” he said.

His administration was in charge as the U.S. Supreme Court legalized same-sex marriage across the country. This issue is popular with younger voters, but older Americans and conservatives will all be dissatisfied with the decision and it will likely reflect in the president’s approval ratings.

Photo credit: Sunlife Financial Group.

Obama’s Shortcomings and Why the Republicans Stole the Midterms

Rasmussen Reports

Obamas Ratings on Major Issues

With the midterm elections past us, the Republicans have gained control of the Senate and they have increased their advantage in Congress. This election was a direct attack on President Barack Obama and the overall dismal nature of his administration.

Issue Good Poor
Taxes 34% 44%
Government Spending 33% 51%
Economy 40% 45%
National Security 38% 41%
Deficit Reduction 36% 44%
Economic Fairness 39% 39%
Gun Control 29% 41%
Immigration 27% 51%
Job Creation 32% 47%
Issues Related to Small Business 32% 48%
Social Security 34% 39%
Health Care 38% 47%
Energy Policy 38% 42%
Environmental Issues 39% 37%

Across the board, in the eyes of voters, Obama failed on almost every issue. Certain issues stand out more to voters. Generally, these are issues like taxes, national security, immigration, job creation, health care, and more.

Obamacare was largely unpopular, but for all the wrong reasons. It helped the lives of countless Americans, but the average voter allowed themselves to be convinced that healthcare coverage was bad for them and that it was costly.

ISIS made the news due to its brutality in the last few months. This made the United States look soft and unable to deal with the terrorist group. Even though they stepped up the bombing runs and have increased their response, it wasn’t enough for voters.

The economy made a strong recovery under Obama, but wages did not. Employees continue to be paid less for jobs that require more experience and more skills. Voters are frustrated as the gap between the rich and poor continues to widen and there appears to be no end in sight. New jobs were created, but the majority of them were part-time jobs that provide no real economic benefit to the economy. As the average American struggles, the flaws in the taxation system become more apparent. The rich do not pay their fair share of taxes; they find creative loopholes, while the average American is forced to foot the bill.

The immigration crisis was also a disaster. This issue was clearly divided on party lines and it made the Democrats appear weak, something that they couldn’t afford with elections looming.

Photo credit: AP.

Obama’s Median Approval Ratings Remain around 40-43 Percent

Gallup / The Economist / Rasmussen Reports, 7/26/14

President Obama Job Approval

  • Gallup – 40% Approve / 54% Disapprove
  • The Economist – 42% Approve / 56% Disapprove
  • Rasmussen Reports – 47% Approve / 52% Disapprove

President Barack Obama’s approval ratings have remained consistent over the course of the summer. As reported by three separate polling institutions, the average approval rating is 43 percent while the disapproval rating is 54 percent. Obama has been consistent so far and any minor declines in his approval rating have likely been caused by the looming lawsuit of House Speaker John Boehner and the threat of impeachment from Congressional Republicans.

Obama signed a LGBT executive order that protects the rights of LGBT workers. This decision has slightly affected Obama’s approval ratings on both ends, depending on the political party that the individuals polled support.

Interestingly, Gallup compared Obama’s 22nd quarter approval ratings to those of past presidents. Listed below are the results:

  • Eisenhower / 53% / 3 polls
  • Nixon / 26% / 7 polls
  • Reagan / 64% / 4 polls
  • Clinton / 61.6% / 5 polls
  • G.W. Bush / 35.8% / 8 polls
  • Obama / 43.2% / 88 polls

Obama ranks higher than George W. Bush and Richard Nixon while all of the other names are substantially higher than Obama. However, Obama has also been exposed to a much larger number of polls than any of the past presidents listed. In addition, many of the president’s with high approval ratings are subject to context. Eisenhower benefited from the massive boom of the 1950s, Reagan was riding the waves of Reaganomics and the conservative policies of the 1980s, and Clinton benefited from NAFTA and US policy in the 1990s.

Obama’s approval ratings will continue to hover around the low 40s as long as the partisan divide remains strongly intact. Barring any international blunders, substantial legislation that is scored as a decisive victory for the Democrats, or Republican embarrassments, Obama’s numbers will remain static into the upcoming elections.

Photo credit: Reuters

Obama Approval Ratings Remain Static

Ramussen 7/14/14

Obama Approval Ratings

Obama Approval Index History - Rasmussen Reports™

Via Ramussen.

Following the Fourth of July, President Barack Obama’s approval ratings have remained static. There has been very little change in the last 10 days. The results have shifted minimally, from a 45 percent approval rating to 46 percent.

Surprisingly, Obama’s approval rating did not increase, despite news of a surplus and overall job growth through the month of June. Perhaps, the pending lawsuit from Republican House Speaker John Boehner had something to do with the lack of change in the President’s approval ratings.

Regardless, Obama has a lot of work to do if he wants to improve his numbers before the upcoming elections in 2016. Since May, his approval rating has declined from 50 percent to 46 percent. While this may seem like a small change, it is still worth nothing that the President has struggled to maintain a consistently high approval rating, something that would suggest that the average American has little faith in Obama’s ability to do his job, and this lack of faith could translate into poor electoral results if the Republicans are able to choose a sensible candidate to run against the Democrats.

When Obama was elected in 2008, his approval rating fluctuated between 52-69 percent. He achieved his highest ever approval rating in the winter of 2008 and 2009, where he scored 69 percent. His lowest ever approval rating was achieved in June and September of 2010, where he achieved a lowly 41 percent.

Will the numbers change or will they continue to hover around the 45-50 percent mark? If changes are to occur, they will take place over the next year when the two parties are forced to take a stand on specific issues throughout their respective campaigns. Obama will do his best to support the Democrats, but his approval ratings may decline if he is forced to show support for a losing party.

Photo credit: http://misguidedchildren.com/

Obama’s Approval Ratings Continue to Suffer

A new poll by Rasmussen Reports has revealed that President Barack Obama’s approval rating has continued to decline over the course of the last month. These changes are not surprising considering the current political climate of Washington. Will they continue to decline, or can the Obama Administration patch up their bleeding wounds?

Data from the most recent poll suggested that 46 percent approved of Obama and 53 percent disapproved. Obama’s approval ratings have steadily declined in the last month. One month ago, his approval rating hovered around a 49-50 percent, however, the numbers are now dipping to a 45-47 percent. There appears to be no end in sight due to the deadlock in Congress. Could this change?

With midterm elections on the horizon, Obama is taking advantage of the opportunity to go on the offensive in an effort to damage the reputation of the Republicans. “Republicans in Congress, they’re patriots, they love their country, they love their families,” he said from the Key Bridge. “They just have a flawed theory of the economy that they can’t seem to get past. . . . That’s their worldview. I’m sure they sincerely believe it. It’s just not accurate. It does not work.”

Will a strategy like this lead to an increase in his approval ratings? Obama’s reputation is already doomed. He has already severely damaged his credibility. However, he is capable of vilifying the Republicans, a move that would help the Democrats in the upcoming elections. By making the Republicans out to be the enemy of the average American, which in many cases, is rightfully deserved, can provide ammunition for the Democrats to use in an election. The Democrats will have to effectively communicate to the average American that they were not responsible for the gridlocks that plagued Congress and that the Republicans were the real culprits. If they can achieve this, their approval ratings will rise.

Photo credit: AP / Pablo Martinez Monsivais

Majority of Americans Not Happy with the Direction of the Country

A recent poll by The Economist / YouGov has revealed that a large majority of Americans are unhappy with the current direction of the country. Many major events have occurred over the course of the last year. There has been the Syrian crisis, the Ukrainian crisis, and the massive gridlock in Congress. All of these issues have made the U.S. government appear weak and incapable.

d25d2506sfb94s.cloudfront.net cumulus_uploads document gspa3er3r4 trackingreport.pdf

Accounting for slight fluctuations, 59-62 percent of adults and registered voters believe that the country is on the wrong track, another 28-32 percent believe that the country is heading in the right direction, and 9-13 percent have no opinion on the matter. The data collected is as recent as June 28-30th, 2014 and dates as far back as one year ago.

In the last year the U.S. government has demonstrated its ability to be the loudest member in the room, but that it has little follow through, and that it is severely lacking in credibility. In Syria, President Barack Obama condemned the government and its actions, but little was done to solve the issues at hand. When Russia escalated tensions with Ukraine, the United States wagged its finger and told the Russians that they were bad, but they didn’t intervene or follow through on their ultimatums. Finally, Congress engaged in an embarrassing furlough this year due to the culmination of partisan politics that left both parties unable to agree on any decisions.

Is there anything to look forward to and will these numbers improve? With an election only two years away, likely not. In fact, they will probably continue to decline as each party focuses on inflating their candidate for the presidency. The needs of the average American will continue to be ignored and this will cause the numbers to continue their downward spiral.

Photo credit: blog.heartland.org

New Poll: Obama Worst President, Reagan Best President of Modern Era

Quinnipiac, 6/24-6/30
Best President:

  • Reagan: 35
  • Clinton: 18
  • Kennedy: 15
  • Obama: 8
  • Eisenhower: 5
  • Truman: 4
  • Johnson: 3
  • Bush Sr.: 3
  • Carter: 2
  • Bush Jr.: 1
  • Ford: 1
  • Nixon: 1

Worst President:

  • Obama: 33
  • Bush Jr.: 28
  • Nixon: 13
  • Carter: 8
  • Johnson: 3
  • Clinton: 3
  • Reagan: 3
  • Ford: 2
  • Bush Sr.: 2
  • Eisenhower: 1
  • Kennedy: 0
  • Truman: 0

A new Quinnipiac poll has found that more voters think Barack Obama is the worst president since World War II than any other president, while a strong 35 percent said Ronald Reagan is the best we’ve had since 1945.

According to the poll, conducted between June 24 and June 30, sampling 1,446 registered voters, 33 percent of respondents believe Obama is the worst president of the modern era while 28 percent say it’s George W. Bush.

The last time Quinnipiac conducted a similar poll was back in 2006, about 5 ½ years into Bush’s presidency. Back then, 34 percent of voters considered Bush the worst president in modern history.

Obama and Bush received the majority of the votes. Just Richard Nixon received a significant amount, with 13 percent saying he was the worst and 8 percent saying Jimmy Carter was the worst.

Lyndon Johnson, Bill Clinton, Ronald Regan, Gerald Ford, George H.W. Bush, and Dwight Eisenhower all received just 1-3 percent.

On the positive side, 35 percent of respondents believe that Ronald Reagan is the best president we have seen since World War II. In the 2006 poll, just 28 percent said they thought Reagan was best.

Coming in a distant second is Bill Clinton, with 18 percent of the vote. Back in 2006, Clinton was in a virtual dead heat with Reagan with 25 percent of the vote so you can see how voter opinion has somewhat changed with a Democrat in office.

The only other president to receive a high score was John F. Kennedy with 15 percent of the vote.

Eight percent of respondents said that Obama is the best president since World War II while 5 percent said it was Eisenhower and 4 percent said it was Truman.

Johnson, Bush Sr., Bush Jr., Carter, Ford, and Nixon all received 1-3 percent of the vote.

Quinnipiac University Polls Finds Obama Least Popular President since WWII

It is not surprising to see that President Barack Obama is the least popular President in modern times. Whether or not you like Obama, his Congress has been largely, ineffective, the country has seen little growth, and he has failed to follow through on many of his promises. While an equal portion of his failures can be blamed on the Republicans for their tactics in Congress, much of the blame will fall on Obama as he is the President.

A recent Quinnipiac University Poll has revealed that Obama is ranked first as the worst President since WWII. How do the numbers look? 33% of voters selected Obama, while another 28% chose President George W. Bush. Who was voted the best? President Ronald Reagan with 35% of the votes, President Bill Clinton with 18% and John F. Kennedy with 15%. How did Obama fare? He received only 8% of the votes for best President since WWII.

Looking further into the data, 39% of voters believed that Obama has been better than Bush, while another 40% say that he is worse. Statistically, men tend to believe that Obama has been worse while women tend to believe that he has been better. On typical partisan lines, the Democrats believe that he has been better by Bush, by a large margin, while the Republicans feel that he has been worse, by a large margin.

“Over the span of 69 years of American history and 12 presidencies, President Barack Obama finds himself with President George W. Bush at the bottom of the popularity barrel,” said Tim Malloy, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Poll.

The poll also asked whether or not Mitt Romney would have been a better President. Most voters, with hindsight, voted yes.

Obama scored poorly on several key issues such as:

  • Negative 40 – 55 percent for handling the economy;
  • Negative 37 – 57 percent for foreign policy;
  • Negative 40 – 58 percent for health care;
  • 50 – 40 percent for the environment, and
  • Negative 44 – 51 percent for terrorism.

Photo credit: Itmakessenseblog.com

Can Elizabeth Warren Pull an Obama Against Hillary?

This isn’t the first time a Hillary Clinton nomination has appeared “inevitable.”

In the leadup to the 2008 primaries, it long appeared that Hillary Clinton would be the Democratic nominee and the next in line to be president. Things didn’t quite go that way.

At this point (two and a half years out) in the 2008 process, then-Senator Obama was polling at around 7 percent to Hillary Clinton’s 33, and many polls didn’t include him at all in favor of potential candidates like Al Gore, John Kerry, John Edwards, and Joe Biden.

Massachusetts Senator Elizabeth Warren actually finds herself in a better spot now than Obama did in 2006, despite trailing Clinton by 50+ points in the polls.

The only difference between this primary and 2008 is the lack of candidates. Outside of Hillary and Warren, only Joe Biden is polling in relevant numbers while candidates like New York Governor Andrew Cuomo look like massive longshots. Otherwise, Warren is in a prime spot to elevate her standing over the next two years and pull out an Obama-like victory.

It’ll all come down to early momentum.

In the Iowa first-in-the-nation caucus, Clinton has seen her numbers slip from 71 percent to 59 percent in the most recent poll while Warren has inched up from single-digits to 11-12 percent in the Hawkeye State.

In the New Hampshire first-in-the-nation primary, Warren has also edged up from single-digits to 13 percent in the last poll we’ve seen.

Certainly, Warren does not have the same amount of candidates to water down Hillary’s poll numbers as there were in 2008 but that doesn’t mean she can’t pull off the same type of upset – and an influx of more progressive or fringe candidates like former Montana Governor Brian Schweitzer and Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders could certainly hit Hillary’s base.

A look at the 2008 primary poll trends shows that Obama wasn’t consistently polling at 20 percent until February of 2007. In other words, if Warren is polling 20-23 percent by February/March of 2015, she would be right where Obama was and her current trajectory shows her doing just that.

(Image courtesy of Senate Democrats)