The latest on the presidential horse race.

Tag Archives: Florida

Clinton Tops Trump in the Sunshine State

The latest Florida poll by Mason-Dixon has placed Hillary Clinton 2 points ahead of her Republican challenger Donald Trump.

Which presidential candidate would you vote for?

  • Hillary Clinton – 44%
  • Donald Trump – 42%
  • Gary Johnson – 6%

Clinton continues to lead the way, but her lead is a slim one, and she will need to build on it if she wants to try and sneak out a victory in Florida. The sunshine state is a difficult one to win for the Democrats as a large portion of the non-urban population tends to vote Republican. However, Clinton should be able to score major victories in large cities like Miami, due to the presence of large Hispanic populations that will not vote for Trump under any circumstances.

As for Trump, he will need to find a way to appeal to Latino voters, likely an impossible reality given his immigration policies. It is hard to appeal to voters when you are openly talking about deporting their friends and families. Even though Trump has tried to soften his immigration stance in the past week, he has yet to cement his new policy and it could be nothing more than pandering to specific audiences.

With the first debate less than a month away and the election coming closer and closer, expect Clinton to come alive and start to win over undecided voters. The fact that Trump hasn’t kept his mouth shut in the past year is an advantage for Clinton and has provided her with a lot of ammunition to use against the billionaire.

Photo credit: Raw Conservative.

Florida: Clinton Reigns Supreme, Enter Gary Johnson

The latest Florida poll by Mason-Dixon has revealed that Hillary Clinton is still the top dog, that Donald Trump still has to overcome his Democratic rival, and that Libertarian candidate Gary Johnson is now appearing in polls.

Head-to-Head Matchups

  • Hillary Clinton – 45%
  • Donald Trump – 42%
  • Gary Johnson – 6%

Clinton is still the candidate to beat. Trump continues to lose to Clinton in most polls. The fact that Trump is already losing in major polls is a bad sign for his campaign and it is fair to assume that the struggle will continue as the election pulls closer.

Most Americans despise Clinton, but they don’t despise her enough to vote for Trump. Enter Johnson, the Libertarian candidate. It is difficult to say what kind of outcome Johnson will have on the election. While most hopeful Republicans will cling to the belief that he will hurt Clinton’s campaign, it seems more likely that he will steal votes from Trump, who desperately needs to win over the independent and undecided voter demographics.

Trump has already solidified the far right-wing demographic. They love him, they attend his rallies waving American flags, and they love his policies. However, this demograhpic isn’t large enough to guarantee him an election. In order to win, Trump will need to win over minorities, some women, independent voters, and even some Democrats. This is a tall task for a man as vulgar as Trump, and while it seems incredibly unlikely, this current election cycle has been unpredictable and volatile at times.

Photo credit: The Libertarian Republic.

Trump Loses to Clinton in Florida, Wins in Ohio

Donald “The King of Debt” Trump, the presumptive Republican nominee, has managed to lose to Hillary Clinton in Quinnipiacs‘ latest poll for Florida, but managed to beat her in Ohio.

Florida

  • Hillary Clinton – 43%
  • Donald Trump – 42%

Ohio

  • Donald Trump – 43%
  • Hillary Clinton – 39%

It feels like the results of these polls should be switched. Trump should have beaten Clinton in Florida, where his racism appeals, and the more centrist Clinton should have scored a victory in Ohio.

With John Kasich stepping out, his followers have more than likely sided with Trump and will vote for him in the general election. By election time, Trump should be able to win in Florida if he continues to play his game. The biggest challenge for Trump will come in states where Democrats dominate. If he wants to compete against Clinton, he will need to find a way to convince independent and undecided voters that he is a better choice than Clinton.

If you are part of the Clinton campaign, you can feel safe knowing that you should be able to beat Trump in the general election based on how many voters he has alienated and the assurance that the Democratic platform is typically a safe one. However, these early polls are telling of how unpopular Clinton is and how her reputation is like an anchor.

No matter what, this election will be entertaining and it is recommended that you stock up on your popcorn as soon as possible.

Photo credit: NBC News.

Rubio’s Campaign Set to Die in Florida

Marco Rubio’s campaign is nearing its end as the Republican candidate continues to struggle against Donald Trump in his home state of Florida. The latest polls for Florida by Monmouth and Quinnipiac have not been friendly to Rubio and have placed Trump substantially ahead of him.

Monmouth

  • Donald Trump – 44%
  • Marco Rubio – 27%
  • Ted Cruz – 17%

Quinnipiac

  • Donald Trump – 46%
  • Marco Rubio – 22%
  • Ted Cruz – 14%
  • John Kasich – 10%

Rubio has been celebrating his third and fourth place finishes all election cycle. However, if he cannot even win his home state, his campaign is as good as over. A loss in Florida would show a lack of confidence in voters and how they perceive him as a weak and inexperienced candidate.

In the recent weeks, Rubio has been unable to snatch any of Trump’s momentum. Instead, Ted Cruz has climbed in the standings in various states, but Trump still looks unstoppable at this point.

Trump performed well enough at the final GOP debate, proving that he can tone down his bombastic style and deliver a “medicated” approach. If Trump can reel in his violent rallies, he should emerge, unscathed, as the Republican nominee heading into the general election. A Trump and Hillary Clinton matchup would prove favorable to him as he could expose her on a plethora of issues.

Photo credit: Raw Story.

Trump Crushes Rubio in Two Florida Polls

Donald Trump ran away in two Florida polls by the Florida Times-Union and the Trafalgar Group. In both polls, Trump decimated Marco Rubio, beating him by nearly 20 points.

Florida Times-Union

  • Donald Trump – 43%
  • Marco Rubio – 24%
  • Ted Cruz – 21%
  • John Kasich – 10%

Trafalgar Group

  • Donald Trump – 42%
  • Marco Rubio – 23%
  • Ted Cruz – 21%
  • John Kasich – 11%

If you’re Trump’s campaign manager, you have to love the current polls coming out of Florida. If their numbers are accurate, Trump will more than likely put the nail in the coffin that is Rubio’s campaign. A decisive loss in Florida will all but guarantee that Rubio suspends his campaign, as a loss in his home state is a major sign of weakness.

While Ted Cruz is still hanging on, most of the eastern states will be incredibly unfriendly to his campaign and should be states that Trump easily wins. Expect Cruz to pick up most of the Bible belt and other related states. As for John Kasich, he will more than likely win Ohio, but lose everything else.

The only thing standing in Trump’s way is the Republican Party himself. The upcoming Republican convention is a huge mystery and it remains to be seen if the party will cannibalize itself by forcing Trump out in favor of an unpopular candidate like Mitt Romney or a complete unknown.

Photo credit: Twitter.

Trump Tops Florida, Loses Ohio to Kasich

The latest polls by Fox News for Florida and Ohio have revealed that Donald Trump is leading Florida, while he narrowly trails John Kasich in Ohio.

Florida

  • Donald Trump – 43%
  • Marco Rubio – 20%
  • Ted Cruz – 16%
  • John Kasich – 10%

Ohio

  • John Kasich – 34%
  • Donald Trump – 29%
  • Ted Cruz – 19%
  • Marco Rubio – 7%

Trump is still the frontrunner of the Republican Party and will likely win the nomination. Of course, establishment GOPs are working tirelessly to try and take him down, promising to contest his nomination, and even throwing around rumors that Mitt Romney may run for president.

His victory in Florida is an important one as it will surely finish off Marco Rubio’s campaign, proving that he can’t even win his home state. Rubio has been bragging, primary after primary, about his third and fourth place finishes, and it has become quite embarrassing and indicative that he is finished.

In Ohio, the results aren’t surprising. Kasich is fairly popular in the state and will probably leverage his votes into something favorable for himself. This could be a position in Trump’s administration or some kind of preferential treatment for the state. Regardless, expect Trump to climb past Kasich in Ohio and crush the other remaining Republicans.

Ted Cruz is hanging on, still holding his Bible close to his heart. Too bad for him, the largest voting populations and the most important states aren’t as influenced by his religious zealotry and will either vote for Trump, because they are angry, or not vote at all.

Photo credit: Raw Story.

Trump and Clinton Dominate the Sunshine State

A different day, a different poll, but the same results. Both Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton dominated the latest Florida poll by News13/SurveyUSA.

Which Republican candidate would you vote for?

  • Donald Trump – 42%
  • Marco Rubio – 22%
  • Ted Cruz – 17%
  • John Kasich – 10%

Which Democratic candidate would you vote for?

  • Hillary Clinton – 61%
  • Bernie Sanders – 30%

What does this poll say about the campaign of Marco Rubio? If he can’t even win his home state against Trump, he has very little chance of winning the nomination. Rubio keeps droning on about his third and fourth place finishes, celebrating them like they are victories. Common sense dictates that he will drop out of the race soon and that will probably take place after a devastating Florida loss.

Trump has the Republican Party on lockdown when it comes to public support, but a new threat is emerging in the form of the party itself and their desire to take him down from within. According to various sources, the GOP establishment is working hard to dismantle Trump and there are even rumors that Mitt Romney may try to replace him as the party’s nominee.

On the other side of the fence, Clinton is poised for a big victory in Florida. This isn’t a state where Bernie Sanders has political appeal and Clinton’s fake southern accent and attitude will help her land votes in this state.

Photo credit: People.

Trump Takes Virginia, Georgia, Florida, and Michigan, Loses Texas

Thursday brought a slew of polls for the Republican Party, many of which frontrunner Donald Trump dominated in.

Trump came out on top in Virginia (Monmouth), Georgia (TEGNA/SurveyUSA), Florida (Quinnipiac), Michigan (FOX 2 Detroit/Mitchell), and tied Ted Cruz in Texas (TEGNA/SurveyUSA).

Virginia

  • Donald Trump – 41%
  • Marco Rubio – 27%
  • Ted Cruz – 14%
  • John Kasich – 7%

Georgia

  • Donald Trump – 45%
  • Marco Rubio – 19%
  • Ted Cruz – 16%
  • Ben Carson – 8%

Florida

  • Donald Trump – 44%
  • Marco Rubio – 28%
  • Ted Cruz – 12%

Texas

  • Ted Cruz – 32%
  • Donald Trump – 32%
  • Marco Rubio – 17%
  • John Kasich – 6%

Michigan

  • Donald Trump – 41%
  • Marco Rubio – 19%
  • Ted Cruz – 16%
  • John Kasich – 11%

If you are a Trump supporter, it’s time to get giddy. Not only is Trump dominating in every major poll, he is topping his opponents in their home states. On top of that, he is also winning important primaries and looks good heading into Super Tuesday. At this point, Trump is unstoppable and he will more than likely become the GOP nominee, barring a catastrophic disaster of unpredictable proportions.

Both Marco Rubio and Cruz are fighting hard to stay alive, but poll by poll their chances evaporate and supporters swell to Trump’s camp. Voters aren’t interested in the robotic establishment drone that is Rubio and they certainly aren’t interested in the tired old rhetoric of Cruz.

For most voters, Trump is a breath of fresh air and is committed to smashing the status quo that currently exists in the American political climate. He doesn’t care about political correctness, he openly hates on immigrants, threatens to deport them, has known white supremacists following him, uses course language, and embodies what Cruz called “New York values.”

To undecided supporters, Trump provides them with an opportunity to try something different and to vote in a candidate that no one can accurately predict what he will do when he gets in office.

Get ready America, a Trump led GOP is becoming an unavoidable reality.

Photo credit: Twitter.

Senate: GOP Wins Pennsylvania, Dems Florida, Split Ohio

The latest poll by Quinnipiac University has revealed the U.S. Senate outcomes in Pennsylvania, Ohio, and Florida. The Republicans won in Pennsylvania, split Ohio, and lost to the Democrats in Florida.

Pennsylvania

  • Pat Toomey 49% – Joe Sestak 34%
  • Pat Toomey 51% – Katie McGinty 31%

Ohio

  • Rob Portman 43% – Ted Strickland 46%
  • Rob Portman 49% – P.G. Sittenfeld 27%

Florida

  • Patrick Murphy 37% – Carlos Lopez-Cantera 29%
  • Patrick Murphy 37% – Ron DeSantis 30%
  • Alan Grayson 35% – Carlos Lopez-Cantera 32%
  • Alan Grayson 35% – Ron DeSantis 31%

The Democrats came out ahead, winning the majority of the polls. Pat Toomey decisively won Pennsylvania, with a 15 and 20 point advantage over both of the Democrats.

In Ohio, the two parties split the poll. The Republicans Rob Portman managed to beat P.G. Sittenfeld by a large margin, but lost to Ted Strickland.

Finally, the Democrats cleaned up in Florida, winning every single matchup. Both Patrick Murphy and Alan Grayson beat Carlos Lopez-Cantera and Ron DeSantis. Murphy convincingly beat the two Republican candidates, while Grayson’s margin of victory was much smaller.

Photo credit: The Next Web.

Trump Stops the Slide, Wins Florida, Ohio, Pennsylvania

The latest string of polls by Quinnipiac have revealed that Donald Trump is back on top of the Republicans. He was briefly knocked out of the lead, but has managed to regain it in a series of three important polls in Florida, Ohio, and Pennsylvania.

Which Republican candidate would you vote for?

Florida

  • Donald Trump – 28%
  • Ben Carson – 16%
  • Marco Rubio – 14%
  • Jeb Bush – 12%

Ohio

  • Donald Trump – 23%
  • Ben Carson – 18%
  • John Kasich – 13%
  • Ted Cruz – 11%
  • Carly Fiorina – 10%

Pennsylvania

  • Donald Trump – 23%
  • Ben Carson – 17%
  • Marco Rubio – 12%
  • Carly Fiorina – 8%

Trump won all three polls, well over the margin of error. Trump decimated both Marco Rubio and Jeb Bush in Florida, despite the two having strong ties to the state. Ben Carson came in second, but was a notable 12 points behind.

In Ohio, Trump’s lead over Carson was much smaller, but he managed to edge out the other candidates decisively. The same story occurred in Pennsylvania where Trump narrowly defeated Carson.

Trump supporters were worried that the candidate was losing steam, and while this may still be the truth, he remains a powerful candidate who understands how to pander to American voters with his “pro-American” agenda that is rooted in the American dream and a government that favors big business and making money.

Photo credit: Slate.