The latest on the presidential horse race.

Tag Archives: Gary Peters

Michigan Senate: Democrat Peters Sitting Comfortably over Lynn

Rasmussen Reports, 10/20 – 10/22

Michigan Senate

  • Gary Peters – Democrat – 51%
  • Terri Lynn – Republican – 42%
  • Other – 3%
  • Undecided – 4%

We have an update in the Michigan Senate election. According to the latest Rasmussen Reports political poll, the Democrat Gary Peters is enjoying a commanding lead over the Republican Terri Lynn. The poll asked 1,000 likely voters who they would vote for if an election were to occur today. The margin of error for this poll was 3 percent.

The demographics for this poll were fairly even. 30 percent of voters registered as Republican, 36 percent as Democrat, and 34 percent as an unidentified party.

51 percent of voters chose Peters, while only 42 percent chose Lynn. The results of this poll are starkly different than a mid-September poll which had Peters at 41 percent and Land at 39 percent.

45 percent of voters see Land as a favorable candidate. On the other hand, 52 percent view Peters as a favorable candidate. The difference isn’t substantial, but it demonstrates that voters see Peters in a positive light.

Lynn’s decline in the polls is likely due to the unattractiveness of the Republican platform. Peters is against the Supreme Court’s Citizens United decision, a choice that allows corporations and individuals to infinitely fund political campaigns, while Land supports it.

Lynn doesn’t support increasing the minimum wage to $10.10, Peters does.

On the issue of climate change, Peters believes that humans impact the climate, while Lynn has refused to make a notable statement regarding the issue.

Lynn is against same-sex marriage and Peters supports it.

Both candidates follow the party line, for the most part, and due to this, Lynn is appearing as an unattractive candidate, in a state that is in desperate need of social policy.

Photo credit: WXYZ.

Democrats Hold a Slight Lead for the Michigan Senate

Rasmussen Reports, 9/17 – 9/18

Michigan Senate

  • Gary Peters – Democrat – 41%
  • Terri Lynn – Republican – 39%
  • Other – 5%
  • Undecided – 15%

Rasmussen Reports has just released a poll showing the latest results for the Michigan Senate race between the Democrat Gary Peters and the Republican Terri Lynn. 750 likely Michigan voters were asked who they would vote for if an election were to occur today. The margin of error for this poll was 4%. Peters secured 41% of the votes, while Lynn was close behind with 39%. 5% of the voters would vote for a different candidate and 15% were undecided.

The demographics for this poll were as follows: 47% were male and 53% female, 25% were aged 18-39, 51% were aged 40-64, and 24% were over the age of 65, 82% were white, 13% black, and 5% were of a different ethnicity, and 30% identified as Republican, 36% as Democrat, and 34% as a different party all together.

Lynn achieved an approval rating of 45% and a disapproval rating of 44%, while Peter’s approval rating was 43% and his disapproval rating was 40%. 4% of the voters have never heard of Lynn and 8% of the voters have never heard of Peters. Both candidates have similar approval ratings and the name recognition is not that far off.

If either candidate wants to pull ahead in this election, they will need to convince the undecided voters. Statistically, 15% of the voters were undecided and this is a rather large number. If either candidate can make a dent into this statistic, they may be able to siphon votes from their opponent and secure a victory in this very tight election.

Photo credit: Huffington Post

2014 Senate Polls Update: Iowa, Colorado, Georgia, North Carolina, Michigan, Kansas

Earlier this week we reported the latest poll numbers for every single senate race in the country. Today we look at six of the most competitive senate races to see where things stand as November approaches.

Let’s start with Kansas, which is one of the most interesting races in the country. Governor Sam Brownback appears to be headed for a big time defeat and is bringing down Republican Senator Pat Roberts with him. It appeared that Roberts was neck-and-neck with Democrat Chad Taylor. Taylor has since dropped out of the race (although his name will still appear on the ballot) in favor of independent candidate Greg Orman.

In the latest Survey USA poll, Orman leads Roberts by a single point while Taylor is still polling at 10 percent. With Taylor essentially out of the picture, it appears that Orman is the odds-on favorite to win Kansas.

Iowa is truly one of the closest races in the country after three straight August polls had the race completely tied. Three September polls show Democrat Bruce Braley inching ahead as a CBS News/NY Times poll has Braley up by 2, a Loras College poll has him up by 4, and a new CNN poll has him up by a point. Iowa is truly too-close-to-call and likely will be until Election Day.

In Colorado, incumbent Democrat Mark Udall has now led Republican challenger Cory Gardner in six straight polls since July. The latest Denver Post/Survey USA poll has Udall up by 4 while a Rasmussen poll has him up by 2 and an NBC News/Marist poll has him up by 6. Udall appears to be the slight frontrunner and has been since polling began in March.

In Georgia, Republican David Perdue has now led Democrat Michelle Nunn in three straight September polls. A CBS/NYT poll has him up by 6, a Survey USA poll has him up by 3, and an Atlanta Journal-Constitution poll has him up by 4. Perdue appears to have the slight edge heading toward October.

North Carolina is another toss-up state after incumbent Democrat Kay Hagan posted slight leads in four of the last five polls while Republican challenger Thom Tillis has led three of the last seven polls. A new Rasmussen poll has Hagan leading by 6 while a Survey USA poll has her up by 1. At this point, North Carolina is anyone’s to win.

The Democrats did get some good news out of Michigan, however, where Democrat Gary Peters has led Republican Terri Lynn Land in three straight polls. A Detroit News poll has Peters up by 10, a PPP poll has Peters up by 5, and a USA Today poll has Peters up by 9. Peters appears to be the frontrunner in this one.

2014 Senate Polls Update: Iowa, Alaska, Arkansas, Kansas, Michigan

There was a handful of polls tracking the closest 2014 Senate races released this week and presented good and bad news for both parties as Election Day nears.

Iowa is by far the closest race of any this election cycle as two new polls show a dead heat between Republican Joni Ernst and Democrat Bruce Braley. Since July, four of five polls had the race as an even tie while a CBS News/New York Times poll released in early July had Ernst leading by one point.

Arkansas is another state that could really go either way. After Republican challenger Tom Cotton led two July polls by 2 percent, incumbent Democratic Senator Mark Pryor leads Cotton by one point in the latest Rasmussen poll so this race is a virtual tie as well.

In Alaska, where incumbent Democratic Senator Mark Begich led by 4 percent in the last PPP poll in July, a new Rasmussen survey shows Republican challenger Dan Sullivan leading Begich by 2 percent.

In Michigan, Democrat Gary Peters appears to be the frontrunner over Republican Terri Lynn Land, the only question is by how much. While a Rasmussen poll and EPIC-MRA poll show Peters up by 6 percent, a Harper poll only has Peters leading by 1 percent and a Mitchell Research poll has Peters up by 2.

In Kansas we see an interesting race as it is one of the few three-way races in the country. Republican incumbent Pat Roberts currently leads Democrat Chad Taylor and independent challenger Greg Orman but Orman is gaining ground.

The latest Survey USA poll has Roberts with 37 percent, Taylor with 32 percent, and Orman with 20 percent.

More Bad News For Democrats as Senate Races Swing Republican

Last week we looked at how President Obama’s sagging approval and favorability ratings are dragging down Democrats in gubernatorial races. The same phenomenon has been the case in the Senate races as a slew of new polls shows Republicans taking the lead in their respective elections.

In Arkansas, where incumbent Democratic Senator Mark Pryor had led by as much as 10 points in the spring, a new CBS News/New York Times poll shows Republican challenger Tom Cotton leading by 4 points. A Rasmussen poll, a Magellan Strategies poll, and an Impact Management Group poll all have Cotton leading by 4 percent as well.

In Kentucky, where recent Survey USA and Magellan Strategies polls had Democratic challenger Alison Lundergan Grimes leading by 1-3 points, incumbent Senator and Minority Leader Mitch McConnell leads by 4 percent in the latest CBS/NYT poll and by 2 percent in the latest Survey USA/Courier-Journal poll.

In North Carolina, where incumbent Democratic Senator Kay Hagan led all through June and early July, the new CBS/NYT poll has Republican challenger Thom Tillis pulling ahead by a slim one-point margin.

In Louisiana, where a recent PPP poll had the race tied and a Rasmussen poll had incumbent Democratic Senator Mary Landrieu leading by 3, the new CBS/NYT poll has Republican challenger Bill Cassidy taking a 1 percent lead.

In Iowa, where Democrat Bruce Braley had led just about every single poll to come out of the Hawkeye State, the new CBS/NYT poll has Republican Joni Ernst leading by 1 percent while a new NBC News/Marist poll has the race tied.

In Michigan, where Democrat Gary Peters had led every single poll since April, the new CBS/NYT poll has Republican Terri Lynn Land ahead by 1 percent.

In Georgia, where a recent Landmark Communications poll had Democrat Michelle Nunn up by 4 percent, the new CBS News/NYT poll has Republican David Perdue leading by 6 percent.

There is still time but with most primaries over, the Republicans find themselves in very good position heading toward the November midterms.

(Image courtesy of Gage Skidmore)