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Tag Archives: Georgia

Georgia: Trump Beats Clinton, Loses to Sanders

Georgia and Bernie Sanders are two things that should be incredibly incompatible. The latest poll by Atlanta Journal-Constitution revealed that Donald Trump beat Hillary Clinton, but lost to Sanders.

Head-to-Head Matchups

  • Donald Trump 45% – Hillary Clinton 41%
  • Donald Trump 42% – Bernie Sanders 47%

Georgia is a Republican state and should vote in favor of Trump in the general election. However, the fact that Trump continues to lose to Sanders in states that he should win is worrying for the Republicans. Trump has a lot of ground to makeup and a lot of bridges to mend. His primary tactics were destructive and alienated him with many large voting demographics, namely, Latinos, women, African-Americans, and Muslim-Americans. Georgia, a state with a lot of African-Americans, will be tough for Trump to win and he will need to find a way to appeal to these voters.

As for the Clinton, the Democratic Party should be worried that she is still struggling to finish off Sanders. Every recent primary, Sanders dominates the narrative and Clinton is forced to focus on Sanders rather than Trump. If she remains distracted for too long, Trump may be able to solidify votes, and if Sanders eventually loses in a bitter battle, some of his supporters may side with Trump out of spite.

Photo credit: Think Progress.

Trump and Clinton Tie in Georgia

The great battle between Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump is set to take place soon, unless of course Bernie Sanders can pull off the impossible. In the latest WSB-TV/Landmark for Georgia, Trump and Clinton ended up tying.

Which presidential candidate would you vote for?

  • Donald Trump – 42%
  • Hillary Clinton – 41%

Technically Trump won this poll, but his victory was well within the margin of error and is too close to call a real victory. Georgia is a state that should easily vote Republican, but Clinton’s ability to tap into her faux southern drawl helps her win over voters in states that have distinct accents and a strong southern tradition.

If Trump sticks to his plan, continues hammering home the anti-immigration platform, and focuses on making his platform attractive to Republican voters, he should easily score a victory in Georgia over Clinton.

For Clinton to win a state like Georgia, it would take a miracle. The last time Georgia voted Democrat was in 1992, which resulted in the election of Bill Clinton. Since then, they have voted Republican, by more than 50 percent, every single election year. The Democrats are not popular in Georgia, but if Clinton can play up her ties to Bill, she may be able to secure a few unlikely votes in a more than foreign political theater.

Photo credit: DC Whispers.

Trump Takes Virginia, Georgia, Florida, and Michigan, Loses Texas

Thursday brought a slew of polls for the Republican Party, many of which frontrunner Donald Trump dominated in.

Trump came out on top in Virginia (Monmouth), Georgia (TEGNA/SurveyUSA), Florida (Quinnipiac), Michigan (FOX 2 Detroit/Mitchell), and tied Ted Cruz in Texas (TEGNA/SurveyUSA).

Virginia

  • Donald Trump – 41%
  • Marco Rubio – 27%
  • Ted Cruz – 14%
  • John Kasich – 7%

Georgia

  • Donald Trump – 45%
  • Marco Rubio – 19%
  • Ted Cruz – 16%
  • Ben Carson – 8%

Florida

  • Donald Trump – 44%
  • Marco Rubio – 28%
  • Ted Cruz – 12%

Texas

  • Ted Cruz – 32%
  • Donald Trump – 32%
  • Marco Rubio – 17%
  • John Kasich – 6%

Michigan

  • Donald Trump – 41%
  • Marco Rubio – 19%
  • Ted Cruz – 16%
  • John Kasich – 11%

If you are a Trump supporter, it’s time to get giddy. Not only is Trump dominating in every major poll, he is topping his opponents in their home states. On top of that, he is also winning important primaries and looks good heading into Super Tuesday. At this point, Trump is unstoppable and he will more than likely become the GOP nominee, barring a catastrophic disaster of unpredictable proportions.

Both Marco Rubio and Cruz are fighting hard to stay alive, but poll by poll their chances evaporate and supporters swell to Trump’s camp. Voters aren’t interested in the robotic establishment drone that is Rubio and they certainly aren’t interested in the tired old rhetoric of Cruz.

For most voters, Trump is a breath of fresh air and is committed to smashing the status quo that currently exists in the American political climate. He doesn’t care about political correctness, he openly hates on immigrants, threatens to deport them, has known white supremacists following him, uses course language, and embodies what Cruz called “New York values.”

To undecided supporters, Trump provides them with an opportunity to try something different and to vote in a candidate that no one can accurately predict what he will do when he gets in office.

Get ready America, a Trump led GOP is becoming an unavoidable reality.

Photo credit: Twitter.

Trump and Clinton Take Georgia and Ohio

Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton are flying high in the latest polls for Georgia (Fox 5 Atlanta) and Ohio (Quinnipiac University).

Which Republican candidate would you vote for?

Georgia

  • Donald Trump – 34%
  • Marco Rubio 22%
  • Ted Cruz – 20%

Ohio

  • Donald Trump – 31%
  • John Kasich – 26%
  • Ted Cruz – 21%
  • Marco Rubio – 13%

Which Democratic candidate would you vote for?

Georgia

  • Hillary Clinton – 57%
  • Bernie Sanders – 29%

Ohio

  • Hillary Clinton – 55%
  • Bernie Sanders – 40%

Trump seems unstoppable at this point. With all the momentum of New Hampshire and South Carolina behind him, it looks likely that Trump will win the GOP nomination. Neither Ted Cruz or Marco Rubio seems capable of gaining enough momentum to surpass Trump.

This entire election has been a circus. Early on, Trump broke all the rules and completely dismantled the concept of political correctness. Instead of challenging Trump, his opponents have joined in on the craziness, and in the case of Cruz, he has even thrived on it.

For the Democrats, Bernie Sanders has a tough road ahead of him. He scored a respectable tie in Iowa, crushed Clinton in New Hampshire, and came very close to tying her in Nevada. South Carolina will not be favorable to Sanders and he isn’t polling strongly in some of the upcoming primary states.

However, for most of this election, Sanders has been a late riser and has relied on pre-primary momentum to help him surge in the polls. At this point, Clinton has everything to lose and her downtrends in the polls have been noticeable. If she wants to stand a chance against Sanders, she will need to win a few more primaries and paint herself as the ideal candidate, something she has struggled to do all election.

Photo credit: WJCT.

Carson Beats Trump in Georgia, Rubio Closes the Gap

The latest Georgia primary poll by Fox 5/Morris News has revealed that Ben Carson has come out on top for the Republicans, followed closely by Donald Trump, and Ted Cruz.

Which Republican candidate would you vote for?

  • Ben Carson – 26%
  • Donald Trump – 24%
  • Ted Cruz – 14%
  • Marco Rubio – 9%
  • Jeb Bush – 8%

Both Carson and Trump led the Republicans in this poll. For months, these two candidates have been the leaders and the most likely candidates to get nominated on numbers alone. However, Cruz is quickly closing the gap and establishing himself as a respectable Republican candidate that is more closely aligned with the GOP establishment.

If elected, Cruz provides a certain level of conservative stability and he brings a lot of experience that he earned through his time in the U.S. Senate. While his ideas are strange at times, he far more tame than both Trump and Carson and he is more focused on traditional Republican values.

If voters are looking for a break from traditional Republican values, both Carson and Trump will be the candidates to elect. Trump brings a sense of confidence and arrogance that some voters may find attractive in a world leader, while Carson brings a calm and calculated approach that is rooted in religion.

Photo credit: Politicus USA.

Final 2014 Senate Polls Update and Predictions: New Hampshire, Iowa, Colorado, Alaska, North Carolina, Louisiana, Arkansas, Georgia, Kansas, Kentucky

With Election Day just hours away, let’s take a look at how all of the key swing races are shaping up and what we can expect the Senate to look like come January.

In New Hampshire, we are seeing a slew of new polls with very different results so we have to look at the most reliable pollsters. CNN/Opinion Research have Democratic incumbent Jeanne Shaheen leading Republican Scott Brown by 2, CBS/New York Times have her leading by 5, and New England College has Scott Brown leading by 1. RealClearPolitics has Shaheen leading by a point on average and that appears to be the case heading into Tuesday. Look for New Hampshire to have a very tight race, but Shaheen remains a very slight favorite.

In Iowa, Quinnipiac shows a 47-47 tie between Republican Joni Ernst and Democrat Bruce Braley while CNN/Opinion Research have Ernst up by 2 and YouGov has Braley up by 1. RCP has Ernst leading Braley but a little over one point on average and she appears to have a very slight lead heading into Election Day.

The race in Colorado has gotten closer as a new Quinnipiac poll has Republican Cory Gardner leading incumbent Democratic Senator Mark Udall by 2 percent, as does Survey USA. Gardner has led all but one poll over the last month and is the slight favorite to win Colorado for the GOP.

In North Carolina, Democrat Kay Hagan appears to have a slight 2-3 point lead over Republican Thom Tillis according to a new CNN/Opinion Research poll, a YouGov poll, and a PPP poll. NBC News and Survey USA have the race tied. According to RCP, Hagan has a very slight lead over Tillis but is currently a slight favorite to hold on to her job.

In Georgia, Republican David Perdue leads Democrat Michelle Nunn by 3 percent in a new Survey USA poll, 4 percent in an NBC News poll, and 2 percent in a YouGov poll. That sounds about right and the Republican is a slight favorite to win. One thing to watch, however, is that if Perdue fails to win 50 percent of the vote, there will be a run-off election between the two without Libertarian Amanda Swafford on the ballot.

In Alaska, it doesn’t look good for incumbent Democrat Mark Begich who trails Republican Dan Sullivan by 4 percent in a new CBS News/NY Times poll and 6 points in a new CNN/Opinion Research survey. Sullivan is the odds-on favorite to win Alaska back for the GOP.

In Louisiana, Democrat Mary Landrieu continues to lead Tuesday’s open primary against Republican David Cassidy and fellow Republican Rob Maness but that’s a moot point. Landrieu and Cassidy will face off in a runoff on December 6 and Cassidy leads Landrieu by 5 percent in an NBC News/Marist poll and 4 percent in a CBS News/NY Times poll and is the odds-on favorite to win Louisiana for the GOP.

Kentucky was close for a while but that’s no longer the case. A new NBC News/Marist poll has incumbent Senator Mitch McConnell leading Democrat Alison Grimes by 9 percent while a new PPP poll has McConnell up by 8. Don’t look for Kentucky to turn blue on Tuesday.

The Kansas race has drawn closer and a new Survey USA poll has independent Greg Orman leading Republican incumbent Pat Roberts by 2 percent while an NBC News poll has him up by 1. Orman appears to be a very, very slight favorite and says he will caucus with whichever party is in control of the Senate.

In Arkansas, Republican Tom Cotton looks to be the overwhelming favorite to unseat Democratic incumbent Mark Pryor. Cotton leads Pryor by 8 points in a new PPP poll and 7 percent in a new Rasmussen poll.

Predictions:

The Democrats are slightly favored to hold on to their seats in New Hampshire and North Carolina.

The Republicans are likely to win Arkansas, Georgia, Alaska, Kentucky, Louisiana, Colorado, and slightly favored to win Iowa.

Greg Orman is slightly favored to win Kansas and would likely caucus with the Republicans, assuming they win the majority.

2014 Senate Polls Update: Iowa, Kentucky, Colorado, North Carolina, Georgia

Iowa: Reuters

  • Ernst (R): 45
  • Braley (D): 45

Kentucky: Courier-Journal/Survey USA

  • McConnell (R): 48
  • Grimes (D): 43

Colorado: Quinnipiac

  • Gardner (R): 46
  • Udall (D): 39

North Carolina: Rasmussen

  • Hagan (D): 47
  • Tillis (R): 46

Georgia: WSB-TV/Landmark

  • Nunn (D): 47
  • Perdue (R): 47
  • Swafford (L): 3

With the elections just days away, polls out of the most competitive states in the country are seemingly changing every day. Luckily, most voters have made up their mind by now and poll results are growing increasingly closer to what is likely to be the final tally. Let’s take a look at how some of the tightest senate races are shaping up heading into election week.

Iowa figures to be one of the closest races in the country, possibly to the point where we don’t even know the winner on election night. A new Rasmussen poll has Republican Joni Ernst up by 1, a Loras College poll has Democrat Bruce Braley up by 1, and a new Reuters poll has the race dead even.

According to RealClearPolitics, Ernst leads Braley by an average of 46.5-45.3 and is a slight favorite to win.

In Kentucky, Republican Mitch McConnell is expected to win but not by a whole lot. McConnell leads Democrat Alison Grimes by 5 percent in a new Courier-Journal poll and 6 percent in a new CBS News/New York Times poll.

In Colorado, Republican Cory Gardner is also a likely favorite to unseat Democratic incumbent Mark Udall. A new Quinnipiac poll has Gardner up by 7, a Rasmussen poll has him up by 6, and RCP has him leading by an average of 47-43.

North Carolina is another state that is going to be very, very tight. Three of the last eight polls released this week have the race dead even while a Rasmussen poll, CBS News poll, Survey USA poll, and PPP poll have Democrat Kay Hagan leading Republican challenger Thom Tillis by 1-3 percent.

Hagan remains the slight favorite but certainly a very vulnerable one.

Georgia is one state to watch. We have seen Democrat Michelle Nunn make some headway of late as she’s attacked Republican David Perdue’s business practices, notably his overseas outsourcing and a pay discrimination lawsuit he was hit with while heading up Dollar General. A new WSB-TV poll has Perdue and Nunn tied with 47 percent of the vote while Libertarian candidate Amanda Swafford is polling at 3 percent.

If neither candidate can get 50 percent plus one vote, the two will face each other in a run-off with Swafford out of the race.

2014 Senate Polls Update: Iowa, Kansas, Georgia, Michigan

Iowa: Quinnipiac

  • Ernst (R): 49
  • Braley (D): 45

Georgia: Survey USA

  • Perdue (R): 48
  • Nunn (D): 45
  • Swafford (L): 3

Kansas: NBC News/Marist

  • Orman (I): 44
  • Roberts (R): 42

Michigan: Mitchell Research

  • Peters (D): 52
  • Land (R): 38

Polls are being released daily, sometimes even more frequently, in the states with the tightest senate races and we are getting a pretty good idea of who stands where. Let’s take a look at the latest numbers from four of the most competitive races in the nation.

In Iowa, we are seeing some very contradictory poll results as a Quinnipiac poll of likely voters has Republican Joni Ernst up by 4 while a Loras College poll of likely voters has Democrat Bruce Braley up by 1. RealClearPolitics has Ernst leading by an average margin of 47-45. According to FiveThirtyEight, Ernst has a 67 percent chance of winning the race while Braley has a 33 percent chance.

In Georgia, three new polls have Republican David Perdue leading Democrat Michelle Nunn by 2-3 percent with Libertarian candidate Amanda Swafford pulling in 3-4 percent. If no candidate gets 50 percent plus one vote there will be a runoff election in January. A runoff race would definitely change things but right now FiveThirtyEight gives both Nunn and Perdue a 50-50 chance at winning, the only such race in the country.

In Kansas, independent candidate Greg Orman leads Republican incumbent Pat Roberts by 2 percent in a new Survey USA poll and by 1 percent in a new NBC News/Marist poll. FiveThirtyEight gives Orman a 51 percent chance to defeat the Republican.

In Michigan, in a race that was separated by 2-3 percent just two months ago, Democrat Gary Peters has absolutely blown open his lead, leading Republican Terri Lynn Land by 14 percent in the latest Mitchell Research poll and 15 percent in the latest Detroit News poll. According to FiveThirtyEight, Peters has a 98 percent chance to win this race.

2014 Senate Polls Update: North Carolina, Colorado, Kansas, Georgia, Iowa

North Carolina: PPP

  • Hagan (D): 47
  • Tillis (R): 44

Georgia: Atlanta Journal-Constitution

  • Perdue (R): 44
  • Nunn (D): 42

Colorado: Quinnipiac

  • Gardner (R): 46
  • Udall (D): 41

Iowa: Quinnipiac

  • Ernst (R): 48
  • Braley (D): 46

Kansas: Rasmussen

  • Orman (I): 49
  • Roberts (R): 44

We know that the closer it is to election time, the more accurate the polls become. We’ve seen a flurry of polls from the country’s tightest senate races released this week and we have a better idea of what’s to come in November. Let’s take a look at how the most competitive senate races are shaping up.

In North Carolina, three new polls have Democratic incumbent Kay Hagan leading Republican challenger Thom Tillis by 2-3 percent while a Civitas poll has the race tied. The PPP poll with Hagan up by 3 and the Rasmussen poll with Hagan up by 2 have the lowest margin of error and are more reliable so it appears that Hagan has a slight lead heading into November.

In Georgia, where Democrat Michelle Nunn was pulling ahead by 1-3 percent, a new Atlanta Journal-Constitution poll has Republican David Perdue leading by 2 percent. Perdue had led nearly every single poll between the summer and October before he took a hit over his outsourcing practices when he was the CEO of Dollar General. Perdue remains a slight favorite to win but Nunn is doing everything she can to stay competitive.

In Colorado, where incumbent Democrat Mark Udall looked like a lock to win, Republican challenger Cory Gardner is now the odds-on favorite. Gardner has now led nine straight polls and leads the latest Quinnipiac poll by 5 percent. The last nine polls all have Gardner up anywhere from 2-7 percent and he appears to be the frontrunner.

In Iowa, the race remains tight but Republican Joni Ernst has now led five straight polls with a slight 1-4 percent lead over Democrat Bruce Braley. The latest Quinnipiac poll has Ernst up by 2 so Braley is certainly still in it but failing to gain traction.

That brings us to Kansas, where the polling is a bloody mess. Since the beginning of the month, incumbent Republican Pat Roberts had led a CNN poll by 1 and a Fox News poll by 5 while independent challenger Greg Orman has led a Survey USA poll by 5, a PPP poll by 3, and a Rasmussen poll by 5. Since the Fox News poll was conducted online, and is less reliable, I’d be more inclined to lean with the Rasmussen numbers. Orman has now led Roberts by 5+ percent in eight of the 13 polls out of Kansas.

2014 Senate Polls Update: Democrats Pull Ahead in New Hampshire, North Carolina, Georgia

New Hampshire: Suffolk/Boston Herald

  • Shaheen (D): 49
  • Brown (R): 46

North Carolina: PPP

  • Hagan (D): 47
  • Tillis (R): 44

Georgia: WRBL

  • Nunn (D): 46
  • Perdue (R): 45

Polls aren’t always reliable but research does show that they get more accurate the closer it is to election time. With just a couple of weeks before America votes in the midterm elections, let’s take a look at how the tightest races around the country are shaping up.

In New Hampshire, Democratic incumbent Jeanne Shaheen leads Republican challenger Scott Brown by 3 percent, according to a new Suffolk/Boston Herald poll. Shaheen has now led or tied Brown in all but one poll out of the Granite State. A recent New England College poll had Brown up by 1 but that’s the only poll to suggest Brown ahead. Shaheen appears to own a slim lead and is likely to hold on to her seat.

In North Carolina, a new PPP poll shows Democratic incumbent Kay Hagan leading Republican challenger Thom Tillis by 3 percent while a new Rasmussen poll has her up by 2. A recent SurveyUSA poll had Tillis up by 1 but that one surveyed very few people and has a significantly higher margin of error. That poll aside, Hagan has now led Tillis in every poll going back to September.

In Georgia, Republican David Perdue looked like he was going to coast to an easy win. Instead, his business past and outsourcing practices have soured voters on the former Dollar General exec and Democrat Michelle Nunn now owns a slight lead.

After poll numbers through early October showed Perdue’s lead slipping, a WSB-TV poll had the race tied by October 9 and a new Survey USA poll and WRBL/Ledger-Inquirer poll have Nunn up by 1-3 percent.