The latest on the presidential horse race.

Tag Archives: Iowa

As Voting Approaches, Trump and Sanders Lead

You can cut the tension with a butter knife. The Iowa race for both parties is an intense one, but in the latest round of polls by Quinnipiac, both Bernie Sanders and Donald Trump led the party.

Which Republican candidate would you vote for?

  • Donald Trump – 31%
  • Ted Cruz – 24%
  • Marco Rubio – 17%
  • Ben Carson – 8 %

Which Democratic candidate would you vote for?

  • Bernie Sanders – 49%
  • Hillary Clinton – 46%

Trump continues to lead in Iowa and not much has changed on the Republican front. Ted Cruz still trails Trump, but the race is extremely close and could swing either way.

Cruz committed a political blunder over the weekend when he issued voter report cards, criticizing local Iowan voters for their voting records. Many questioned the legality of such a move and it appears that Cruz may have violated Iowan election laws.

For the Democrats, Sanders has retaken the lead from Hillary Clinton. Voting occurs today, but no one can accurately predict who will win Iowa based on the current trends. Both candidates are popular, both have flaws, and both are polling very well in the state.

In terms of flaws, Clinton is dealing with the tricky email scandal, while Sanders has been forced to deflect criticisms about his tax and health plans. Either way, both candidates are poised to do well in Iowa and whoever takes the state will push into the other primary states with a lot of momentum.

Photo credit: Georgetown.edu.

Days Before Iowa, Clinton Leads Sanders

The Iowa vote takes place on Monday and the Democratic nomination is a close one. In the latest poll by Public Policy Polling, Hillary Clinton managed to beat Bernie Sanders by a decent margin.

Which Democratic candidate would you vote for?

  • Hillary Clinton – 48%
  • Bernie Sanders – 40%
  • Martin O’Malley – 7%

Clinton may be leading Iowa in this poll, but the recent polling trends show that both candidates are neck-and-neck. In recent campaign appearances, Clinton has been hammering Sanders, trying to attack his credibility and dismantle his platform. While she is still an extremely popular candidate due to her name recognition, she struggles to capture votes from young voters and the typical demographics that do not vote.

On the other hand, Sanders has found a way to captivate the hearts and minds of young voters and he has made serious strides in the non-voting demographic. A victory in Iowa would go a long way for Sanders and it could open up an opportunity for him to clean up in the early primaries. Current polling trends place him well ahead of Clinton in New Hampshire, but he continues to struggle in South Carolina.

Martin O’Malley has no chance of winning, but his 7 percent support total is an attractive number for both candidates and it could be enough to tip either Sanders or Clinton over the edge in states that are too close to call.

Photo credit: CBC.

Clinton and Trump Hold Narrow Leads over Their Opposition in Iowa

The latest Iowa polls by NBC/WSJ/Marist have placed Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump at the top of their respective parties, but their leads are narrow.

Which Democratic candidate would you vote for?

  • Hillary Clinton – 48%
  • Bernie Sanders – 45%

Which Republican candidate would you vote for?

  • Donald Trump – 32%
  • Ted Cruz – 25%
  • Marco Rubio – 18%

Most experts predict that Trump will win Iowa. His recent string of endorsements from key Republican commentators and politicians demonstrates that the party has come to terms that he will likely represent them in 2016.

Ted Cruz is in full desperation mode. He is nearly out of time and has launched an all-out assault on Trump. This includes his ad attacking Trump for his stance on abortions, his “New York values,” and challenging him to a $1.5 million charity one-on-one debate.

For the establishment, as much as Trump is a odd pick at times, they would prefer Trump over Cruz as Cruz represents the Tea Party movement and the far-right leaning craziness that the establishment wants to avoid. Trump often makes radical comments, but more than likely, those comments are just election fuel.

For the Democrats, Clinton and Bernie Sanders continue to trade leads in Iowa. At this point, Iowa is impossible to predict and it could go either way. For many experts, if Sanders can win Iowa, he will burst into New Hampshire with a lot of momentum and may be able to change the tide in the pro-Clinton state of South Carolina.

Photo credit: E Online.

Clinton Crushes Sanders nationally, Loses in Iowa

Two new polls have been released for the Democrats. The first national poll was released by ABC News/Wash Post, while the second poll was released for Iowa by Quinnipiac.

Hillary Clinton secured a victory in the national poll, but fell short to Bernie Sanders in Iowa.

National Poll

  • Hillary Clinton – 55%
  • Bernie Sanders – 36%

Iowa

  • Bernie Sanders – 49%
  • Hillary Clinton – 45%

While national polls are often considered the most important reflection of a candidates chances in an election, with the Iowa caucuses so close, a victory in Iowa for Sanders could create a wave of momentum that Clinton would struggle to overcome. The primaries are an early test of a candidates resolve and they can have a cascading effect, as we saw in 2008 when Barack Obama defeated Clinton.

Clinton continues to poll well nationally, but she has been struggling in both Iowa and New Hampshire as of late. Sanders has been focusing a large portion of his campaign effort on these two states and his persistence is starting to pay off. Heading into Iowa, Sanders is the current favorite and he has held a stranglehold on New Hampshire for a lengthy period of time.

The only early primary state that Clinton enjoys a consistent lead in is South Carolina. Sanders will struggle to win support in South Carolina, but that may change if he were to win both Iowa and New Hampshire.

As with any election, predictions are difficult. However, if Sanders can capitalize on early victories in Iowa and New Hampshire, the flood gates will open and he will have an amazing opportunity to seize the Democratic nomination.

Photo credit: NY Daily News.

Trump Cleans up in Iowa, Taking Two Polls

Donald Trump won the two latest polls in Iowa, toppling Ted Cruz. The latest releases by Fox News and CBS News/YouGov saw Trump maintain his position at the top of the party.

Fox News

  • Donald Trump – 34%
  • Ted Cruz – 23%
  • Marco Rubio – 12%

CBS News / YouGov

  • Donald Trump – 39%
  • Ted Cruz – 34%
  • Marco Rubio – 13%

The Republican nomination is still Trump’s to lose. While Cruz edges closer in certain polls, Trump continues to dominate him in the majority of them.

Trump has been relatively quiet in the recent weeks, based on his own standards. His only major brush with the media was his recent comment about him being so well liked that he could shoot someone in the street and not lose support. With Trump, his entire campaign is a circus act that we are patiently waiting to end. However, as the primaries draw closer, it seems like it will never end and that he will very likely be the Republican candidate in 2016.

Cruz is campaigning hard, desperately trying to topple Trump, but he cannot seem to overtake him for an extended period of time. Any poll that Cruz wins, Trump surpasses him by the next release. Cruz is still a legitimate candidate, but he needs to start winning Iowa polls if he wants to have any chance of beating Trump for the Republican nomination.

Photo credit: Yahoo.

Clinton Takes Iowa, Sanders New Hampshire

The battle for Iowa and New Hampshire continues. In the latest round of polls, Hillary Clinton took Iowa, while Bernie Sanders took New Hampshire. The Iowa poll was released by Loras College and New Hampshire by Suffolk University.

Iowa

  • Hillary Clinton – 59%
  • Bernie Sanders – 30%

New Hampshire

  • Bernie Sanders – 50%
  • Hillary Clinton – 41%

The upcoming primaries are going to be a slugfest for the Democrats. Both Sanders and Clinton are polling extremely close, they continue to trade the lead in important states, and voters are undecided when it comes to which candidate they want to see win the Democratic nomination.

Clinton offers a centrist stance, is pro-Wall Street, supports ObamaCare and its limitations, and isn’t interested in substantial change. However, due to the influence of Sanders, Clinton has been forced to take a stance on important issues, something she shied away from in the past.

Sanders on the other hand, is a socialist, but that shouldn’t be used as a negative. He is in favor of a single-payer healthcare system, free education, worker’s rights, and everything that is generally associated with the far left.

His biggest weakness is the overall cost that his ideas would require to implement, but that is no different than some of the lunacy that Donald Trump has proposed. In the end, his options are far more attractive than Clinton’s because he is working hard to alleviate the woes of the average American.

Photo credit: CNN.

The Great Iowa Flip Flop: Sanders and Trump Overtake the Lead

Yesterday’s poll by KBUR had Ted Cruz and Hillary Clinton in the lead for Iowa. The latest release by CNN/ORC has put Donald Trump and Bernie Sanders comfortably ahead of their opposition.

Which Democratic candidate would you vote for?

  • Bernie Sanders – 51%
  • Hillary Clinton – 43%

Which Republican candidate would you vote for?

  • Donald Trump – 37%
  • Ted Cruz – 26%
  • Marco Rubio – 14%

Sanders regained the lead in Iowa after a slight hiccup in an earlier poll. If Sanders wants to win the Democratic nomination, he needs to win Iowa and he has to keep the pressure up on Clinton’s campaign. Momentum is Sander’s biggest strength. If he can maintain his momentum heading into Iowa, he may very well win New Hampshire, and transition into South Carolina in much better shape.

The Republican Party is still Trump’s to lose. He has polled well for months, only losing a select few polls to Cruz. He is now catering to the religious vote, pretending to be a devout Christian. Of course, his attempts are obviously fake, but the average Christian voter is eating it up and ready to vote for Trump in 2016.

Cruz could still challenge Trump for the nomination and he continues to poll well, cementing his second place position. However, with the Iowa caucuses fast approaching, he needs to make his final push now before it’s too late.

Photo credit: The Hill.

Cruz and Clinton Top Iowa Weeks Before the Caucuses

The Iowa caucuses are rapidly approaching and the latest poll for Iowa by KBUR has placed Ted Cruz and Hillary Clinton in the lead of their respective parties.

Which Democratic candidate would you vote for?

  • Hillary Clinton – 48%
  • Bernie Sanders – 39%

Which Republican candidate would you vote for?

  • Ted Cruz – 27%
  • Donald Trump – 25%
  • Ben Carson – 11%
  • Marco Rubio – 9%
  • Jeb Bush – 7%

Clinton has managed to retake the lead in Iowa in this poll. In the last few polls, Bernie Sanders had beat her and many were convinced that he may head into the Iowa caucuses as the clear favorite. Clinton’s lead wasn’t too large and Sanders could still win Iowa. His entire candidacy is likely relying on his ability to win Iowa as he tends to poll much stronger in New Hampshire than Clinton.

For the Republicans, Cruz managed to top Republican frontrunner Donald Trump. Once in a while, Cruz will beat Trump, but the averages tend to favor Trump and it seems likely that he will be able to win Iowa.

For Marco Rubio, his campaign is in a lot of trouble. When you start losing to Ben Carson a few weeks before the Iowa caucuses, you need to seriously rethink your campaign strategy and find a way to climb the polls. Rubio’s campaign has been flat in the recent months and has struggled to dent both Trump and Cruz. Carson is by no means a serious candidate anymore, but his slight victory over Rubio shows how poorly his campaign has been performing.

Photo credit: Victory Girls Blog.

Polling Trends in Iowa: Cruz Ties Trump, Clinton Hemorrhages Lead to Sanders

The latest polling trends for Iowa by Huffpost Pollster have revealed a drastically changing political landscape between the two parties. For the Republicans, Ted Cruz has caught Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton’s lead over Bernie Sanders has evaporated for the Democrats.

Which Republican candidate would you vote for?

  • Donald Trump – 28%
  • Ted Cruz – 28%

Which Democratic candidate would you vote for?

  • Hillary Clinton – 46%
  • Bernie Sanders – 42%

Trump used to dominate the polls in Iowa, clobbering all of his opponents. Now, Cruz has managed to tie him and is breathing down his neck. The recent birther movement drama has done little to dent Cruz’s numbers and he continues to present himself as a legitimate candidate that is capable of challenging Trump for the Republican nomination.

For the other Republican candidates like Marco Rubio, Jeb Bush, and Ben Carson, there is little chance that they will challenge either Trump or Cruz. Rubio is a respectable candidate, but he hasn’t been able to capture the interest of voters and it seems unlikely that he will be able to accomplish this in time.

Clinton’s numbers in the polls are astonishing, and not in a good way. She used to lead the Democrats by such wide margins that most considered her a guarantee. This has drastically changed and Sanders is now a legitimate challenger that may overtake her in the coming weeks.

With the Iowa caucuses weeks away, Sanders is in a great position to win the state and to carry forward into the other primaries with enough momentum to cause an uproar and to force the Clinton campaign into action.

Photo credit: USA Today.

Clinton Panics as Sanders Pushes Closer in Iowa

The battle for Iowa is heating up and Hillary Clinton’s once dominate lead has completely evaporated, according to the latest poll by the DM Register/Bloomberg.

Which Democratic candidate would you vote for?

  • Hillary Clinton – 42%
  • Bernie Sanders – 40%

Bernie Sanders has officially arrived and it looks like he is here to stay. A few months ago, Sanders was dangerously low in the polls and many questioned his viability as a candidate heading into 2016.

With 2016 upon us, Sanders has answered the call and is taking the challenge to Clinton directly. Clinton once enjoyed a double digit lead over Sanders, but that is now completely gone and she has become increasingly desperate.

Clinton has resorted to calling in the attack dogs, her husband Bill Clinton and daughter Chelsea Clinton. Both her husband and daughter have been fighting for her on the campaign trail, pushing her as the ideal candidate, and in the case of Chelsea, attacking Sanders over issues that he is passionate about, like healthcare.

If Sanders can seize momentum in Iowa, he will more than likely win New Hampshire and challenge Clinton for the Democratic nomination. Voters adore Sanders and view him as a caring candidate that wants to help them, whereas the opposite can be said for Clinton and her dishonest and robotic appearance.

Photo credit: People.