Tag Archives: John Hickenlooper
Rasmussen Reports, 10/21 – 10/23
- Bob Beauprez – Republican – 49%
- John Hickenlooper – Democrat – 47%
- Other – 3%
- Undecided – 2%
For the first time in a while, a Rasmussen Reports political poll has revealed that the Republican Bob Beauprez has pulled ahead of the Democrat incumbent John Hickenlooper in the tight Colorado Governor race. The poll asked 966 likely voters who they would vote for if an election were to occur today.
49 percent of voters stated that they would vote for Beauprez, while 47 percent said Hickenlooper. The results are well within the 3 percent margin of error for the poll, but for nearly a month, Beauprez had been trailing Hickenlooper by several points. He has now taken a lead, a task that he struggled to accomplish in the past.
The party split for the poll was dead even at 32 percent Republican and 32 percent Democrat. The other 36 percent of voters identified with a different party all together.
48 percent of the voters have a favorable opinion of Beauprez. On the other hand, Hickenlooper’s favorability rating is currently 47 percent. The two favorability ratings between the candidates explain the near deadlock in this election.
On major issues, 47 percent of voters trust Beauprez with government spending, while only 43 percent trust Hickenlooper. For taxes, 47 percent chose Beauprez and 42 percent Hickenlooper. On social issues, Hickenlooper tallied 48 percent of the vote to Beauprez’s 41 percent. Lastly, on the issue of government ethics and corruption, the two candidates nearly tied. Hickenlooper’s 42 percent barely beat Beauprez’s 41 percent.
Photo credit: Denver Post.
Denver Post, 10/13
- John Hickenlooper – Democrat – 45%
- Bob Beauprez – Republican – 44%
- Other – 4%
- Undecided – 6%
If you were looking for clarity in the Colorado governor race, you have come to the wrong place. A new Denver Post poll has demonstrated how close this election is. The Democrat John Hickenlooper secured 45 percent of the votes, while his Republican opponent Bob Beauprez had 44 percent. When adjusted for the potential margin of error, the outcome of this election remains unknown.
“You really can flip a coin in the governor’s race and be as likely to be right as wrong,” said Jay Leve, the pollster at the nonpartisan firm. “A razor’s edge separates these two candidates.”
In September, USA Today had Hickenlooper at a 2 point lead, Rasmussen Reports had him at a 4 point lead, and CBS News had him at a 4 point lead. Earlier in October, Fox News had the election at a tie.
Both candidates are scrambling to win last minute votes as voter ballots are set to be mailed out in the coming days. The majority of voters already have their mind made up, but there is always the potential to sway a few swing votes at the last minute.
Last Thursday, Hickenlooper and Beauprez took part in a debate being held by the Coloradoan and 9News. The major issues discussed included marijuana, same-sex marriage, birth control, and student loan debt.
Hickenlooper backed his support for the current framework of the state. He also wants to find a way to reform student loan debt, as he believes that it is wrong to see students leave state-funded schools with $125,000 in debt. Beauprez chose a more conservative and religious standpoint. On the issue of birth control, Beauprez said that he supported the concept of it, but believed that it should not be paid for by taxpayers.
Photo credit: The Denver Post.
- Davis (D): 45
- Brownback (R): 39
Colorado, Denver Post
- Hickenlooper (D): 45
- Beauprez (R): 43
- Walker (R): 49
- Burke (D): 46
- Crist (D): 42
- Scott (R): 40
- Snyder (R): 46
- Schauer (D): 44
It’s been over a week since we last checked in on some of the tightest gubernatorial races in the country and with campaigning in full swing, a lot has changed.
In Kansas, a new PPP poll, the largest we’ve seen yet, shows Democratic challenger Paul Davis leading incumbent Republican Governor Sam Brownback by 6 percent. Davis has now led five of the last six polls out of Kansas and seven of the last nine. He looks like a lock to win Kansas.
Georgia appears to be as close as it gets. After an Atlanta Journal-Constitution poll and a Survey USA poll both had incumbent Republican Governor Nathan Deal leading by just 1 percent, a WSB-TV/Landmark poll has Democratic challenger Jason Carter leading by 3 percent and a new Insider Advantage poll has Deal up by 4 percent. This race could go either way at this point.
A new Qunnipiac poll has Republican challenger Bob Beauprez leading incumbent Democratic Governor John Hickenlooper by 10 percent but that appears to be an aberration. A USA Today poll and a Denver Post poll released this week both have Hickenlooper up by 2 percent, a recent Rasmussen poll has Beauprez up by 1 percent, and a CBS News/NY Times poll has the race tied. This one could go either way right now, there’s no way Beauprez took home a 12-percent swing overnight. Quinnipiac needs to check their numbers.
In Wisconsin, incumbent Governor Scott Walker leads Democratic challenger Mary Burke by 3 percent in a new Marquette University survey and by 2 percent in the latest Rasmussen poll. The last Marquette poll had Burke up by 2 so Walker appears to be inching forward.
In Florida, a new PPP poll has Democratic challenger Charlie Crist leading incumbent Republican Governor Rick Scott by 3 percent while a Rasmussen poll has Crist up by 2. That’s significant after Scott led three straight August polls.
In Michigan, every poll except for a USA Today survey has Republican incumbent Rick Snyder leading Democratic challenger Mark Schauer by 1-3 percent, including a PPP poll, CBS News/NY Times poll, Detroit News poll, and a Vanguard poll. Too close to call but consistent enough to consider Snyder a slight favorite.
Rasmussen Reports, 9/3 – 9/4
- Bob Beauprez – Republican – 45%
- John Hickenlooper – Democrat – 44%
- Other – 4%
- Undecided – 7%
The Colorado Governor’s race is currently a stalemate between the Democrat John Hickenlooper and his Republican challenger Bob Beauprez. A recent Rasmussen Reports poll has revealed that Beauprez has 45% of the vote, while Hickenlooper has 44%. The poll asked 800 likely voters throughout Colorado who they would vote for if an election were to occur today. The poll had a margin of error of 4%. In terms of demographics, 48% of the voters were male, 52% female, 27% were aged 18-39, 53% were 40-64, and 21% were 65+, 79% of voters were white, and 31% of voters identified as Republican, 32% as Democrat, and 37% as another party.
The incumbent, Hickenlooper had an approval rating of 48% and a disapproval rating of 47%, while his opponent achieved a 47% and 34%. The name recognition advantage belongs to Hickenlooper. 1% of voters have never heard of him, while 10% of voters have never heard of Beauprez. Still, Beauprez has superior approval ratings and he has the ability to influence new voters who have no opinion of him as of yet. This is a clear advantage in a campaign like this that is so close and unpredictable. If he can sway new voters, he may be able to beat Hickenlooper on Election Day.
Voters are split on whom to trust more with government spending. Beauprez scored a 41%, while Hickenlooper secured 40% of the vote. For social issues, Hickenlooper secured 44% of the vote, his opponent only achieved 39% and 17% were unsure. On the topic of accountability, both candidates scored a 39%.
Hickenlooper is fighting to be re-elected and it is possible that he will seek to implement a popular decision to sway votes. His ability to do this provides him with a major advantage over his opponent who can only promise to do things if he is elected.
Photo credit: The Denver Post
- Beauprez (R): 45
- Hickenlooper (D): 44
TB Times/Bay News 9: Florida
- Scott (R): 44
- Crist (D): 38
- Deal (R): 44
- Carter (D): 42
NBC News/Marist: Arkansas
- Hutchinson (R): 48
- Ross (D): 39
Election Day is approaching and many gubernatorial races around the country are in full gear with political ads dominating the airwaves. We’ve seen a handful of new polls released in the last week, let’s take a look at how some of the closest races in the country are shaping up.
In Georgia, where a recent poll found Democrat Jason Carter, the son of former President and Georgia Governor Jimmy Carter, leading incumbent Republican Governor Nathan Deal, the latest WRBL/Ledger-Enquirer poll (the largest poll out of Georgia yet, sampling 1,578 likely voters) finds Deal with a slim 2-point lead.
Several polls have shown Carter leading in July and August but Deal has led the vast majority of polls out of Georgia and remains a slight favorite to edge out Carter in November.
In Florida, where elections are always interesting, we have seen incumbent Republican Governor Rick Scott lead by 1-6 percent since July while just one poll has shown Charlie Crist in the lead by just 2 percent. Scott has now led five of the last six polls out of Florida, albeit by slight margins, and remains the favorite to win re-election.
Colorado is shaping up to be one of the closest races in the country as a new Rasmussen poll has Republican challenger Bob Beauprez leading incumbent Democratic Governor John Hickenlooper by 1 percent while a new NBC News/Marist poll has Hickenlooper up by 4 percent.
Since July, a Quinnipiac poll had Beauprez up by 1, a PPP poll had Hickenlooper up by 1, and a CBS News/New York Times poll had the race tied. Don’t expect to see a clear frontrunner out of Colorado until all the votes are counted.
In Arkansas, Republican candidate Asa Hutchinson leads a new NBC News/Marist poll by 9 percent, which wouldn’t be surprising if the latest Rasmussen poll didn’t have Democrat Mike Ross leading by 2 percent. Regardless, Hutchinson has led every poll expect the Rasmussen poll since April by at least 3 percent and as much as 8 percent so he remains a solid favorite to win the state.
With primaries in most states now over, most polls have turned to general election races with 33 senate and 36 governorships up for grabs this November. With President Obama’s approval ratings tanking, many of the races are starting to swing to the Republican side.
In Florida, after Survey USA and Quinnipiac polls both showed Democrat Charlie Crist leading the gubernatorial race by 5-6 points, a new CBS News/NY Times poll now shows Republican incumbent Rick Scott leading by 5 points and a new Rasmussen poll has Scott up by one.
In Illinois, CBS News/NY Times have Republican challenger Bruce Rauner leading incumbent Democrat Pat Quinn by 3 points while a Rasmussen poll shows Rauner leading by five.
In Michigan, after Republican Rick Snyder and Democrat Mark Schauer were tied in a PPP poll in June, CBS/NYT, Rasmussen, and EPIC-MRA now all have Snyder leading by 3 percent.
In Arkansas, where Democrat Mark Ross held a slim lead for most of the spring, Republican Asa Hutchinson now leads by 3-5 points, according to the CBS/NYT and Talk Business Polls.
In Wisconsin, incumbent Republican Governor Scott Walker has taken a slim 1 percent lead over Democratic challenger Mary Burke who had been tied with Walker since the spring.
In Colorado, incumbent Democrat John Hickenlooper held the lead over Republican Bob Beauprez since the beginning of polling season but the CBS News/NYT poll shows Beauprez in a tie with Hickenlooper while a Quinnipiac poll has the Republican up by one.
Arkansas is its own unique mess. A Landmark Communications poll has Democrat Jason Carter up by 7 while the CBS/NYT poll has Republican Nathan Deal leading by 9.
(Image courtesy of Gage Skidmore)