The latest on the presidential horse race.

Tag Archives: John Kasich

Democrats Lead Ohio, Kasich’s Popularity Wanes

The latest poll for Ohio by PPP has provided some interesting data. According to the results, Hillary Clinton and Bernie Sanders are more popular candidates than Donald Trump and Ted Cruz and the state is getting fed up with Gov. John Kasich’s pitiful campaign.

Head-to-Head Matchups:

  • Hillary Clinton 45% – Donald Trump 42%
  • Hillary Clinton 44% – Ted Cruz – 35%

 

  • Bernie Sanders 45% – Donald Trump 41%
  • Bernie Sanders 44% – Ted Cruz 35%

One interesting revelation from this poll is how unpopular Kasich is becoming in his home state. According to the data, 38 percent of voters think he should stay in the race, while 49 percent want him to drop out. In comparison, 52 percent were supportive of his campaign in early March. If you adjust the poll to only account for Republican voters, the numbers are even worse, with 58 percent wanting him to give it up.

Why is this? The majority of voters believe that Kasich is neglecting his duties as Governor.

“Ohio voters were pretty supportive of John Kasich’s Presidential ambitions for a while,” said Dean Debnam, President of Public Policy Polling. “But now they’re ready for him to wrap it up as his prospects grow smaller and the bill for taxpayers related to his campaign gets larger and larger.”

As for the other Republican candidates, both Trump and Cruz continue to struggle against Clinton and Sanders. Why is this? Clinton is considered a safe pick that will maintain the status quo, while Sanders is the choice of those who want to see legitimate progressive change. In contrast, Cruz is the candidate that stands to promote the most change for the Republicans, but his notion of meaningful change is terrifying to most voters, whereas Trump stands to break up the status quo as well, but the majority of his grandiose policies would stand no chance at passing through Congress, the Senate, and for some of his more racist proposals, the Supreme Court.

Photo credit: 6 ABC.

Trump Wins Four Polls in New York

The latest polls by Qunnipiac, NY1/Baruch, PPP, and Liberty Research have all ended up in Trump’s favor.

Quinnipiac

  • Donald Trump – 55%
  • John Kasich – 20%
  • Ted Cruz – 19%

NY1/Baruch

  • Donald Trump – 60%
  • John Kasich – 17%
  • Ted Cruz – 14%

PPP

  • Donald Trump – 51%
  • John Kasich – 25%
  • Ted Cruz – 20%

Liberty Research

  • Donald Trump – 52%
  • John Kasich – 23%
  • Ted Cruz – 19%

If you’re Ted Cruz, you are sweating at the prospect of the New York primary. He is not going to perform well in this primary because his campaign has zero appeal in this region of the United States. Modern Tea Party politics do not interest voters in the East Coast and his religiosity will not earn him any additional votes. On top of that, he is losing in the polls to John Kasich, who has only one a single primary, in his home state of Ohio.

Trump may be slipping in the national polls and had a rough two weeks in media, but New York is his domain and he should have no problem winning over voters and championing himself as a man who promotes “New York values.” A strong win in New York will greatly help Trump’s nomination bid. If he can follow this up with a split in California, Cruz will find it difficult to overtake Trump and will have to rely on a contested convention for a potential nomination.

Photo credit: Life News.

Trump Dominates in New York, Cruz Retreats

Ted Cruz is learning a hard lesson about the “New York values” he so openly criticized months ago. In the latest poll by Monmouth, Donald Trump led the way, followed by John Kasich, and a distant Cruz in third.

Which Republican candidate would you vote for?

  • Donald Trump – 52%
  • John Kasich – 25%
  • Ted Cruz – 17%

Trump embodies the New York City lifestyle of the 1980s. He is a businessman, understands the culture, is vulgar, and direct. He should have no issue winning New York and taking home a respectable amount of delegates in the process.

Kasich is a useless candidate at this point and he is only staying in the race to try and stall Trump’s advances. He will win a few delegates in New York, but will not win the primary or any other primaries for that matter. If he can prevent Trump for securing the nomination before the convention, he will consider his campaign a massive success.

Cruz has no friends in New York. He has openly insulted the state in the past and he embodies that creepy and religious Texan stereotype. He is judgemental, pretends to be a perfect Christian, and is everything that sensible people on the East Coast hate in a candidate. Expect a poor performance by him in New York, which will hurt his chances at defeating Donald Trump before the convention.

Photo credit: The Gateway Pundit.

Trump Blows Apart his Competition in New York

The latest New York poll by Optimus has placed Donald Trump well ahead of his competition.

Which Republican candidate would you vote for?

  • Donald Trump – 50%
  • John Kasich – 24%
  • Ted Cruz – 16%

Trump should be able to run away with New York. He is from New York City, understands New York values, and is a businessman that has created a massive corporate empire. Even though Trump talks badly about Wall Street and other financial institutions, he is a part of that society and it is in his best interests to protect it at all costs.

Kasich may be able to appeal to the GOP establishment, but most major Republicans aren’t looking at him as a serious candidate. He has won a single primary, in his home state of Ohio, and he more than likely will not win a single one beyond that.

As for Ted Cruz, his campaign has zero appeal in New York. He has openly criticized the state in the past and his pro-religious game will not win him any votes in this centrist to leftist state. Cruz will have to continue focusing on fringe states if he wants to try and challenge Trump for the nomination in July. However, his recent and embarrassing engagement of Trump over the issue of his wife has made him look petty and is clearly not the behavior of a presidential candidate.

Photo credit: Red State.

Cruz Pulls Level with Trump in California

California is a Democratic state, no matter how you look at it. But, thanks to the primaries, Republican voters have an opportunity to vote for their favorite Republican candidate as well. The latest California poll by the LA Times placed Donald Trump at the front of the pack, but Ted Cruz came in a very close second.

Which Republican candidate would you vote for?

  • Donald Trump – 36%
  • Ted Cruz – 35%
  • John Kasich – 14%

If Ted Cruz could come away with California, that would be huge for his campaign and may provide him with enough momentum to win some of the other contested states. Is this a likely outcome? No, but based on the unpredictability of this election cycle, never say never.

As for Trump, he still leads the Republican Party and it appears as if he will win the nomination. He has been milking the Brussels, Belgium, terror attack, playing up his anti-Muslim rhetoric and suggesting that the west needs to take a stand against terrorism. In addition, Trump has successfully tangled Cruz up in his immature bravado, engaging him in a who’s wife is hotter contest.

John Kasich is still a candidate, but most of the world questions why. He won Ohio and nothing else. He continues to hold on in hopes that he can snag the nomination through a contested convention, but this seems like an impossible reality and something that a presidential candidate shouldn’t rely on to win.

Photo credit: Republic Buzz.

Trump Trails Cruz in Wisconsin

For the first time in a long while, Ted Cruz is leading Donald Trump in a poll. The latest Wisconsin poll by Free Beacon posted favorable results for the Texan senator.

Which Republican candidate would you vote for?

  • Ted Cruz – 36%
  • Donald Trump – 31%
  • John Kasich – 21%

Both Cruz and Trump continue to battle it out for the Republican nomination. Trump is still leading the delegate count, with 739 to Cruz’s 465.

The majority of the important primaries have went in Trump’s favor and Cruz has only managed wins in deeply religious or pariah states that other candidates had zero appeal in.

If Trump can adequately play up the Muslim card and milk the Brussels attack, he will all but secure the anti-Muslim vote and every other group of racist supporters that he has. The timing of the attack was perfect for Trump and will provide him with enough fuel to hammer the nomination process home, so long as he approaches the situation properly.

As for the results of this poll, Cruz’s lead is so slim that it cannot be called safe. If we have learned anything through this election cycle, it is that Trump is unpredictable and it is nearly impossible to predict his downfall.

Photo credit: Red State.

Democrats Come out Ahead in Michigan

The latest Michigan head-to-head polls by SurveyUSA have placed the Democratic well ahead of their Republican counterparts. The only Republican candidate who scored a victory over a Democratic candidate was John Kasich against Hillary Clinton.

Head-to-Head Matchups:

  • Hillary Clinton 49% – Donald Trump 38%
  • Hillary Clinton 49% – Ted Cruz 39%
  • Hillary Clinton 41% – John Kasich 46%
  • Bernie Sanders 55% – Donald Trump 36%
  • Bernie Sanders 56% – Ted Cruz 35%
  • Bernie Sanders 47% – John Kasich 42%

The Republican Party finds itself in a dangerous state. It went into the deep end when it decided to stick with candidates like Donald Trump and Ted Cruz, and while these types of candidates make for interesting primaries, they also make for abysmal elections.

Both Trump and Cruz aren’t electable in a general election and Kasich doesn’t have enough going for him to even be considered a legitimate presidential candidate. If the Republicans head into November with either Trump or Cruz, they will get demolished.

While the early head-to-head polls are looking bad for Hillary Clinton, she should be able to win out over the likes of Trump and Cruz. As the election gets closer, voters will more than likely wise up and wakeup with a hangover, remembering the drunken times they had campaigning with Trump. But like any good drunken story, the morning after always spells the inevitable return to reality.

As for Bernie Sanders, he continues to poll well against all candidates because his platform is genuine. However, his focus on the Wall Street issue has hurt him and left his campaign unable to compete with Clinton’s more focused general election platform. Because of that, he will slowly fall off until Clinton seizes the Democratic nomination.

Photo credit: Zero Filtered.

Pennsylvania: Kasich Pulls Close to Trump, Clinton Dominates

The latest Pennsylvania poll by Franklin & Marshall has placed Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton at the top of their respective parties. However, John Kasich came in a close second, nearly catching Trump in this poll.

Which Republican candidate would you vote for?

  • Donald Trump – 33%
  • John Kasich – 30%
  • Ted Cruz – 20%

Which Democratic candidate would you vote for?

  • Hillary Clinton – 53%
  • Bernie Sanders – 28%

Trump is still the candidate to beat for the Republicans. He has been dominating the party for months and he doesn’t appear to be slowing down any time soon.

Kasich performed well in this poll due to the fact that Ohio and Pennsylvania share a lot of similarities. Despite a potential upset in Pennsylvania, Kasich’s campaign has very little chance of winning the nomination, and instead, he is stalling the nomination process and working hard to try and oust Trump as the Republican candidate. Still, by staying in the race, Kasich is splitting the vote and making it harder for the Republican Party to get rid of Trump for good.

As for the Democrats, Clinton should easily walk away with a victory in Pennsylvania. The state favors her establishment credentials and the majority of Democratic voters wouldn’t feel comfortable voting for Bernie Sanders, even if his platform is much better for them.

Photo credit: Delaware Liberal.

Trump Pulls Ahead in California

Donald Trump has pulled away with an early lead in the latest Landslide/NSON poll for California.

Which Republican candidate would you vote for?

  • Donald Trump – 38%
  • Ted Cruz – 22%
  • John Kasich – 20%
  • Marco Rubio – 10%

Even though the Democrats will win California, Trump should easily come away with a victory in the state. Neither Ted Cruz or John Kasich have much appeal in the state and Trump’s anti-Latino rhetoric will help him cement the racist vote.

Cruz may be able to appeal to Latino voters due to his last name, but any individual that understands his policies will be thoroughly turned off by his platform and will be more likely to vote for a Trump or Kasich.

The 10 percent of voters that chose Rubio will either avoid voting out of loyalty, turn to Trump, or splinter between Kasich and Cruz. Either way, this small fraction of votes will not make the difference and it will do very little to stop Trump’s momentum.

Photo credit: Donkey Hotey.

Trump Closes the Gap on Kasich in Ohio

The latest polls for Ohio by NBC/WSJ/Marist and CBS News/YouGov have revealed that Donald Trump is rapidly closing the gap on John Kasich in his home state.

NBC/WSJ/Marist

  • John Kasich – 39%
  • Donald Trump – 33%
  • Ted Cruz – 19%
  • Marco Rubio – 6%

CBS News/YouGov

  • John Kasich – 33%
  • Donald Trump – 33%
  • Ted Cruz – 27%
  • Marco Rubio – 5%

There are a few things to take away from the two of these polls. Trump is fast approaching Kasich and will probably challenge him for the lead, which is a major problem for Kasich’s campaign. A loss in Ohio should spell the end of his campaign.

Secondly, Ted Cruz is climbing in the standings. While he hasn’t taken over the lead, he is approaching the other two candidates and may be able to build momentum by suggesting that he performed well in a state that he was expected to do poorly in.

As for Marco Rubio, he should throw in the towel immediately. In his home state of Florida, he is well behind in the polls and it seems unlikely that he will be able to win the state and he continues to get decimated in every single poll. He is not a legitimate candidate and he is distracting GOP voters and providing candidates like Trump or Cruz with an opportunity to become the nominee due to a split vote.

Photo credit: The Libertarian Republic.