The latest on the presidential horse race.

Tag Archives: Marco Rubio

Trump Ties Cruz in Texas

If Ted Cruz thought his campaign was doing well, the latest Texas poll by TEGNA/SurveyUSA has revealed that Donald Trump has tied him in his home state.

Which Republican candidate would you vote for?

  • Ted Cruz – 32%
  • Donald Trump – 32%
  • Marco Rubio – 17%
  • John Kasich – 6%
  • Ben Carson – 5%

Cruz couldn’t even beat Trump in his home state. He has been on a steady downtrend ever since he scored a victory in Iowa and his entire campaign relies heavily on the religious vote. Evangelicals make up a large demographic, but they don’t represent enough of the population to win an election.

Unless Cruz can start polling stronger and appealing to moderate Republicans outside of the fringe, his campaign will die out and he will quickly be replaced by Marco Rubio who is more in line with the GOP establishment.

Trump is still the candidate to beat. He is polling well across the board, he has the support of the average American, certain Democrats may vote for him out of disgust for the current political system, and he has a bombastic style that the blue collar class loves.

Rubio is still hanging in the polls. At this point, he seems to be the consensus second place candidate, but it is unlikely that he will be able to overtake Trump. Unless he outperforms Trump on Super Tuesday, his campaign is more than likely over.

Photo credit: Breitbart.

Michigan: Trump Continues His Dominance over the Republicans

The latest Michigan polls by Detroit News/WDIV-TV and FOX 2 Detroit/Mitchell have revealed that Donald Trump holds a commanding lead over his Republican opponents.

Detroit News/WDIV-TV:

  • Donald Trump – 25%
  • Ted Cruz – 15%
  • Marco Rubio – 12%
  • John Kasich – 11%

Fox 2 Detroit/Mitchell:

  • Donald Trump – 41%
  • Ted Cruz – 11%
  • John Kasich – 11%
  • Marco Rubio – 10%

With South Carolina behind us, Donald Trump has emerged victorious and has managed to amalgamate more Republican voters.

One of the biggest stories out of South Carolina, besides Trump’s victory, was Jeb Bush suspending his campaign. After wasting nearly $150 million to finish near last place, Bush threw in the towel.

At this point, Trump seems unbeatable. He continues to win primary after primary, the polls all favor him, and he striking the right tones with Republican voters, who are tired of the establishment and want a candidate that is willing to speak his mind. Trump fits all of these labels and will more than likely win the Republican nomination at this point.

Ted Cruz is a little too far right for some voters and his intense devotion to religion might hurt him in more centrist conservative states. The fact that Cruz lost in South Carolina, a state with a large religious population, should indicate that religion alone will not propel him to the White House.

Photo credit: Yellow Hammer News.

Trump Leads, Cruz Approaches Second in New Hampshire

The latest New Hampshire poll by Rasmussen Reports has placed Donald Trump well ahead of his competition, while Marco Rubio and Ted Cruz battle it out for second place.

Which Republican candidate would you vote for?

  • Donald Trump – 31%
  • Marco Rubio – 21%
  • Ted Cruz – 20%

Trump has managed to maintain first place in yet another New Hampshire poll. Since his loss in Iowa, Trump has been focusing heavily on New Hampshire and every major poll has placed him at the top of the Republican Party.

In terms of what has changed, for the first time in many polls, Cruz has closed the gap on Rubio and is directly challenging him for second place. In previous polls, Cruz was losing to Rubio by a respectable margin.

Rubio is still a legitimate candidate and he is campaigning hard to paint himself as the pro-GOP establishment choice. His major flaw, and one that his opponents are exploiting, is his apparent lack of experience. If he can overcome that hurdle, he may be able to challenge both Trump and Cruz.

While Cruz nearly tied for second, expect him to finish in third in New Hampshire as he will not be able to rely on religion to help him coast to victory like he did in Iowa.

Photo credit: US News.

Trump and Sanders Continue Dominance in New Hampshire

The New Hampshire primary is quickly approaching and latest round of polls by CNN/WMUR have placed Donald Trump and Bernie Sanders in the lead of their respective parties.

Which Republican candidate would you vote for?

  • Donald Trump – 33%
  • Marco Rubio – 16%
  • Ted Cruz – 14%
  • John Kasich – 11%

Which Democratic candidate would you vote for?

  • Bernie Sanders – 58%
  • Hillary Clinton – 35%

Sanders is the man to beat in New Hampshire. Hillary Clinton is still a popular candidate and the expected champion of the Democratic Party, but when it comes to New Hampshire, the granite state is Sander’s territory.

Many analysts expect Sanders to win New Hampshire and certain polls have placed him as high as 30 points ahead of Clinton. Still, Sanders has been wary of the polls and has suggested that it will be a tight race. That is an intelligent move as it sets his campaign up to win the state and to not get ridiculed when he doesn’t win by the 30 percent margin that some polls are predicting.

On the other side of the fence, Trump continues to lead the Republicans, but he has to question his ability to win New Hampshire given the fact that he was the polls frontrunner heading into Iowa.

Lucky for Trump, New Hampshire is a lot different than Iowa and he will not have to fear the evangelical vote. Early polls are predicting that Trump will win the state, followed by Marco Rubio and possibly John Kasich. Ted Cruz is expected to struggle in this primary as the majority of voters are skeptical of his platform and are more in line with the libertarian movement, something that Cruz does not represent.

Photo credit: The Daily Banter.

Trump and Sanders Lead the Granite State

With the New Hampshire primary rapidly approaching, daily polls are flooding in and they are constantly showing the same thing: Donald Trump and Bernie Sanders leads.

The latest results by UMass/7News, NBC/WSJ/Marist, and ARG all reported the same results.

NBC/WSJ/Marist Democrats

  • Donald Trump – 30%
  • Marco Rubio – 17%
  • Ted Cruz – 15%
  • John Kasich – 10%

UMass/7News Democrats

  • Bernie Sanders – 55%
  • Hillary Clinton – 40%

UMass/7News Republicans

  • Donald Trump – 34%
  • Marco Rubio – 15%
  • Ted Cruz – 14%
  • John Kasich – 8%

ARG Democrats

  • Bernie Sanders – 54%
  • Hillary Clinton – 38%

ARG Republicans

  • Donald Trump – 36%
  • Marco Rubio – 15%
  • John Kasich – 14%
  • Ted Cruz – 12%

Trump continues to lead in New Hampshire and a lot of that has to do with the fact that the state is nothing like Iowa and Trump will not have to worry about religion interfering with his support totals.

A large part of Ted Cruz’s success was the evangelical vote in Iowa, but this vote simply doesn’t exist on the same level in New Hampshire.

For both Cruz and Trump, they need to start worrying about the rise of Marco Rubio. The candidate is aligned with the GOP establishment, many of which are backing him and providing him with the necessary intelligence he will need to win the nomination.

Hillary Clinton and Sanders sparred last night in a heated debate. Clinton went on the attack, trying to hide her shady record against Sander’s honest criticisms. For the most part, Sanders handled the debate well and exposed Clinton for her lies, something she has desperately been trying to avoid throughout the current election cycle. Based on the current polling averages, Sanders should be able to score a victory in New Hampshire.

Photo credit: Telegraph.

Trump and Sanders Dominate New Hampshire

Donald Trump and Bernie Sanders have continued their dominance in New Hampshire, according to the latest polls by CNN/WMUR.

Which Republican candidate would you vote for?

  • Donald Trump – 29%
  • Marco Rubio – 18%
  • Ted Cruz – 13%
  • John Kasich – 12%
  • Jeb Bush – 10%

Which Democratic candidate would you vote for?

  • Bernie Sanders – 61%
  • Hillary Clinton – 30%

The results for the Republicans are not surprising given the historical voting patterns of New Hampshire. Trump continues to poll well in the state, while Marco Rubio managed to overtake Ted Cruz for second place.

Cruz can no longer rely on the evangelical vote to propel him to victory like it did in Iowa. Trump stands a much better chance in New Hampshire as he will be able to appeal to voters purely on a political level and he will be able to avoid the religious trench.

There is also a very high chance that Rubio may surpass both Trump and Cruz. He is the clear establishment candidate and a lot of influential Republicans are backing him for president. If he can continue to gain momentum, Rubio could cause some damage and win the nomination.

For the Democrats, Sanders continues to dominate Hillary Clinton in New Hampshire. This trend has been taking place for a while and it seems unlikely that Clinton will be able to score a victory in the state. The biggest thing Clinton can try and do is minimize the amount she loses by and turn that against Sanders by suggesting that he under-performed in a state that he should have clobbered her in.

Photo credit: Telegraph.

Trump Doubles Cruz’s Support Totals in New Hampshire

The latest round of polls by UMass/7News and Harper have placed Donald Trump in a commanding lead over Ted Cruz in New Hampshire.

UMass/7News

  • Donald Trump – 38%
  • Ted Cruz – 14%
  • Marco Rubio – 12%

Harper

  • Donald Trump – 31%
  • John Kasich – 12%
  • Marco Rubio – 10%
  • Ted Cruz – 9%

Trump performed well in New Hampshire and should be able to beat Cruz in a state that isn’t dominated by the evangelical vote. Much of Cruz’s success was his ability to get Republicans to vote and his obvious religious tones. Trump tried to play the religion card, but voters saw through his attempts and it led to his eventual downfall in Iowa.

Now that Trump can focus on being Trump, he will perform a lot better. He needs to focus on his anti-immigration platform and continue to antagonize Muslims, two things that made him incredibly popular early on. Trump has to cater to the conservative crowd and voters who are fed up with the political deadlock that exists in Washington.

The other wildcard candidate is Marco Rubio. He had a strong showing in Iowa and could end up replacing both Trump and Cruz as the establishment candidate. The majority of the Republican establishment despises both Cruz and Trump and they would much rather plant Rubio in power.

Photo credit: Cowgernation.com.

New Hampshire: Trump Regains Form, Sanders Annihilates Clinton

With Iowa past us, New Hampshire is the political battleground and the latest poll by UMass Lowell/7News has placed Donald Trump and Bernie Sanders at the top of their parties.

Which Democratic candidate would you vote for?

  • Bernie Sanders – 63%
  • Hillary Clinton – 30%

Which Republican candidate would you vote for?

  • Donald Trump – 38%
  • Ted Cruz – 14%
  • Marco Rubio – 10%
  • John Kasich – 9%
  • Jeb Bush – 9%

Sanders and Hillary Clinton tied in Iowa, but in reality, it was a coin toss that gave Clinton the less than 1 percent “victory” she was so proud to achieve. Iowa was a major failure for Clinton, who months ago was a shoe in to win the state.

For Sanders to win, he must keep applying pressure and stick to his game plan. His grassroots campaign is all about momentum and he is gaining it in significant ways. He should be able to score a respectable victory in New Hampshire, but he will more than likely lose in South Carolina. One of Sander’s biggest successes was his ability to get young people to vote and he will need to keep them voting if he wants to take Clinton down and win the Democratic nomination.

As for the Republicans, Trump was sorely disappointed with his loss to Ted Cruz. Still, Trump isn’t finished yet. Much of Cruz’s success in Iowa was based on his ability to appeal to the evangelical vote, something that he won’t be able to benefit from as much in other states.

The other big story out of Iowa was Marco Rubio’s emergence as a legitimate candidate. Analysts are predicting that he will replace Trump and eventually win the Republican nomination as he is popular with the establishment brand of Republicans. Still, this scenario is heavily dependent on the disappearance of Trump, something that seems highly unlikely to happen.

Photo credit: Red Alert Politics.

Cruz Edges out Trump in Iowa Ahead of the Caucuses

With the Iowa caucuses fast approaching, Ted Cruz has managed to narrowly defeat his opponent Donald Trump in the latest DM Register/Bloomberg poll.

Which Republican candidate would you vote for?

  • Ted Cruz – 25%
  • Donald Trump – 22%
  • Marco Rubio – 12%
  • Ben Carson – 11%

It is hard to predict who will win the Republican nomination. Trump is the longtime favorite, winning the most polls, and often generating the most support through his rallies.

Cruz continues to remain relevant and managed to defeat Trump in this poll. He isn’t as flashy as Trump, and while Cruz says crazy things, he doesn’t reach Trump’s level of craziness. Still, for most voters, he is a safe choice for the far right Republican movement and he still goes against the classical establishment style of Republican that candidates like Marco Rubio and Jeb Bush represent.

Rubio and Ben Carson are still barely holding on. Carson hasn’t been relevant in over two months, but he refuses to cave in. For both Rubio and Carson, the survival of their campaigns will rely on the collapse of either Trump or Cruz, but that seems unlikely as Trump has already pushed the envelope so far that a potential collapse seems impossible at this point.

As for Jeb Bush, who we chose not to represent in this poll due to his lowly 4 percent of the vote, he is hanging on the fringes of public opinion and hoping to catapult up the rankings when the other candidates start to sputter out. Unfortunately for Bush, his stances on major issues are nothing groundbreaking and most voters are looking for a radical change in ideology, something that both Trump and Cruz represent in their commitment to ending the status quo.

Photo credit: WNCN.

Trump Destroys the Competition in New Hampshire

Donald Trump topped the most recent New Hampshire poll by NH1/Reach. Trump tripled the score of his nearest opponent, demonstrating that he is still the clear-cut frontrunner for the Republicans.

Which Republican candidate would you vote for?

  • Donald Trump – 32%
  • John Kasich – 12%
  • Jeb Bush – 12%
  • Chris Christie – 11%
  • Ted Cruz – 10%
  • Marco Rubio – 9%

Trump’s triple digit lead over the realistic candidates is a healthy sign for the billionaire. He continues to dominate Marco Rubio and Ted Cruz in every significant poll.

The likes of John Kasich, Jeb Bush, Chris Christie, and other fringe candidates may have performed moderately well in this poll, but they frequently struggle to obtain tangible results in other ones and are nothing more than a distraction at this point in the election cycle.

Cruz is caught in the birther movement at the moment. He is having trouble shrugging off claims that he cannot run for president due to his Canadian birth, a movement that was recently propelled by Trump.

Rubio still hovers around third place, but he has failed to make any noise in recent polls and his campaign has been relatively quiet. He could still upset Trump if he can build momentum. However, he will need to act quickly as time is quickly running out.

Photo credit: Red State.