The latest on the presidential horse race.

Tag Archives: Marco Rubio

New Hampshire: Trump Grows Lead, Sanders Levels the Gap

The latest poll by Public Policy Polling for New Hampshire has revealed that Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton are the leaders of their respective parties.

Which Democratic candidate would you vote for?

  • Hillary Clinton – 47%
  • Bernie Sanders – 44%

Which Republican candidate would you vote for?

  • Donald Trump – 29%
  • Marco Rubio – 15%
  • Chris Christie – 11%
  • John Kasich – 11%
  • Ted Cruz – 10%
  • Jeb Bush – 10%

Clinton still holds the lead for the Democrats, but she is quickly losing ground to the much more likable Bernie Sanders. Sanders is a far more electable candidate, he is genuine with his promises, and he doesn’t have a shady history like Clinton. Still, he has a lot of work to do in other states and will need to push harder if he wishes to legitimately challenge Clinton for the Democratic nomination.

Trump, despite his flaws, continues to dominate the Republicans. He says all the right and wrong things and always hits the right tone when it comes to appealing to Republican voters.

Ted Cruz slipped up big time in this poll, dipping well below Marco Rubio and the likes of Chris Christie and John Kasich. Cruz is still a viable candidate, but his poor performance in this poll may be indicative of a potential collapse and it clearly demonstrates how quickly his lead can fluctuate based on flimsy rumors like the birther movement.

Marco Rubio came in second and this is a huge victory for him. However, he needs to maintain this position and continue to show Republican voters that he is the right candidate to represent the party in a general election.

Photo credit: People.

Cruz Narrowly Beats Trump in California

The latest California Republican poll by Field has broken the status quo and revealed that Ted Cruz is leading the Republicans with Donald Trump coming in second.

Which Republican candidate would you vote for?

  • Ted Cruz – 25%
  • Donald Trump – 23%
  • Marco Rubio – 13%
  • Ben Carson – 9%
  • Rand Paul – 6%
  • Jeb Bush – 4%

While Cruz’s lead is narrow, it is the first time in a long while that he has managed to overtake Trump. Still, California is a surefire Democrat state and it is unlikely that either candidate will gain ground in it. The results of this poll show how far Cruz has come as a candidate and that Trump will absolutely need to respect him going forward or risk losing votes.

Trump still continues to dominate eastern states and tends to win out in battleground states like Iowa and New Hampshire. His lead is secure, but Cruz has emerged as a legitimate contender for the Republican nomination. Unlike Ben Carson, Cruz has a much better understanding of foreign policy and the Republican process and he is able to play the religion card effectively, cementing himself as the voice of the evangelicals in the United States.

Marco Rubio has maintained his position in third place for a few months and it looks as if that is where he will stay. He is having trouble convincing Republicans that he is a better candidate than either Cruz and Trump and he is running out of time to make an impression ahead of the Iowa caucuses.

Photo credit: Slate.

Trump Loses Iowa to Cruz and Defeats Rubio in New Hampshire

Donald Trump split a recent set of polls by HuffPost Pollster covering Iowa and New Hampshire. The billionaire Republican candidate lost to Ted Cruz in Iowa and defeated Marco Rubio in New Hampshire.

Iowa

  • Ted Cruz – 31%
  • Donald Trump – 28%

New Hampshire

  • Donald Trump – 26%
  • Marco Rubio – 14%

Trump is still dominating in most polls, but he lost a surprising one to Cruz who has been providing a legitimate challenge to Trump in the recent weeks. Cruz is equally as radical as Trump and shares a lot of similar views. However, when compared to Trump, Cruz seems far less intense because he is capable of wording his policies in a more palatable manner. If voters become tired of Trump, but are still interested in a radical right-winger, Cruz is the next logical choice.

Rubio lost to Trump in New Hampshire by a decent margin. He is still a respectable candidate and could challenge Trump for the Republican nomination. Still, if he wants to rise in the polls, he needs to prove to voters that he has something to offer and it seems unlikely that he will be able to do this as he is not nearly as radical and willing to plunge head first into the deep end like Trump and Cruz have.

Photo credit: Salon.

Cruz Breathing down Trumps Neck, Only 4% Behind

Donald Trump’s campaign has something to fear. After enjoying a massive lead over his opponents for an extended period of time, Trump is now barely ahead of Sen. Ted Cruz, according to the latest poll by Qunnipiac.

Which Republican candidate would you vote for?

  • Donald Trump – 28%
  • Ted Cruz – 24%
  • Marco Rubio – 12%
  • Ben Carson – 10%

Trump is in trouble in the polls. His bombastic style still works, but he’s already attracted the deepest fringes of the Republican Party and they are far from the majority.

On the other hand, Cruz is equally as radical as Trump. Unlike Trump, he presents it in a more palatable manner and this translates well as it allows him to attract voters from the radical and more moderate demographics.

Marco Rubio’s campaign is losing momentum fast. It’s not that he isn’t a good candidate, but the current Republican election cycle is favoring radicalism and candidates that are willing to say outrageous things. Unfortunately for Rubio, this isn’t his style. He is a calculated and intellectual candidate, and while he may try to join the outrageous commentary, it doesn’t suit him and voters can easily see this.

As for Ben Carson and Jeb Bush, they are wasting their donation money by continuing their campaigns. Neither candidate is offering anything of substance at this point. Bush is purely running off of his family’s name and hoping for a miracle that will likely never come.

Photo credit: Tea Party Tribune.

Clinton Defeats Trump, Cruz, Bush, Loses to Rubio

The latest batch of head-to-head polls have been released by Public Polling Policy. Hillary Clinton performed well, beating Republican frontrunner Donald Trump, Ted Cruz and Jeb Bush, while tying Ben Carson, and losing to Marco Rubio.

Head-to-Head Polls

  • Hillary Clinton 46% – Donald Trump 43%
  • Hillary Clinton 45% – Ted Cruz 43%
  • Hillary Clinton 43% – Marco Rubio 44%
  • Hillary Clinton 45% – Ben Carson 45%
  • Hillary Clinton 44% – Jeb Bush 39%

Clinton managed to defeat the two most important candidates. Her victories over Trump and Cruz are a sign that she is ready to compete against them in a general election.

Carson tying Clinton is a minor victory for the retired neurosurgeon, but it means next to nothing as Carson has very little chance of regaining his stature in the polls.

The biggest threat to Clinton in a general election is Rubio. The Florida senator managed to edge out Clinton by one percent. Still, his victory is well within the margin of error.

Overall, Clinton’s performance against the Republicans is exactly where it needs to be. She managed to beat the two leading candidates and narrowly lost to the third place Rubio. If Clinton wants to build her support base, she will need to keep exposing Trump and Cruz for their radical policies, something that isn’t hard given how much material there is to work with.

Photo credit: Gawker.

Ted Cruz Pulls Ahead in Iowa, Trump Wins New Hampshire

The Republican race is starting to heat up. The latest poll by CBS News/YouGov revealed that Ted Cruz has taken the lead over longtime frontrunner Donald Trump.

Iowa

  • Ted Cruz – 40%
  • Donald Trump – 31%
  • Marco Rubio – 12%
  • Ben Carson – 6%

New Hampshire

  • Donald Trump – 32%
  • Ted Cruz – 14%
  • Marco Rubio – 13%
  • Chris Christie – 11%

The Republican Party is down to three candidates as this point. The big two are Cruz and Trump, while Marco Rubio rounds out the trio.

Cruz performed well in Iowa, but he struggles to topple Trump in other states and nationally. He is a legitimate candidate that has the ability to win the GOP nomination, but it will require him to focus in on a specific platform and demonstrate to voters that he can be equally as crazy as Trump.

As for Trump, he is the biggest enigma to ever exist in politics. While this is a lofty statement, it is the truth. He knows next to nothing about policy, he is clearly racist, and his entire platform consists of shallow one-liners. Yet, voters are interested in him because he is campaigning on the promise that he will provide real change and his current approach is shattering the notions of our politically correct society.

It remains to be seen whether Trump can lead or not, but as it stands, voters don’t care, and they are happy voting for a guy that is so radically different than traditional politicians.

Photo credit: Red State.

South Carolina: Cruz Edges Closer to Trump

The Augusta Chronicle released a new poll on Saturday that showcased how the various Republican candidates performed in South Carolina.

Which Republican candidate would you vote for?

  • Donald Trump – 28%
  • Ted Cruz – 21%
  • Marco Rubio – 12%
  • Ben Carson – 10%
  • Jeb Bush – 10%

The Republican Party polling averages have completely stabilized in the recent weeks. The current trends showcase Donald Trump leading in every poll, followed closely by Ted Cruz in second, Marco Rubio in third, and a tie for fourth between Jeb Bush and Ben Carson.

Trump has managed to maintain high levels of support despite his disastrous comments in recent weeks. Trump is working hard to maintain his current voter base and is looking to expand it into the right-leaning fringes of the Republican Party. It remains to be seen whether or not this strategy is a winning one, but most experts believe that it isn’t a sound longterm strategy.

Cruz has failed to capitalize on his opponents mistakes. He continues to challenge Trump, offering a viable replacement option. However, his platform is a more moderate version of Trumps and he will need to convince voters that he has more to offer if he wants to get nominated and run for president.

Rubio is patiently waiting in the wings for both Cruz and Trump to collapse. While this could happen, Rubio is running the risk of waiting too long and missing his opportunity. He is a far more intelligent candidate that is intellectually savvy and capable of winning over young voters, but he needs to act fast and start securing votes.

Photo credit: Cowgernation.com

Donald Trump Defeats Cruz in Two National Polls

Donald Trump has managed to edge out Ted Cruz for the top spot in the Republican Party. Trump scored two victories against Cruz in both a Fox News and Public Polling Policy poll.

Fox News

  • Donald Trump – 39%
  • Ted Cruz – 18%
  • Marco Rubio – 11%
  • Ben Carson – 9%

PPP

  • Donald Trump – 34%
  • Ted Cruz – 18%
  • Marco Rubio – 13%
  • Jeb Bush – 7%
  • Ben Carson – 6%

Trump seems unbeatable at this point. No matter how deep he dives into racism and how ridiculous he sounds in the process, he continues to remain at the top of the Republican Party. None of the other candidates have been able to legitimately challenge him.

Cruz is the only candidate that has a strong chance of toppling Trump because he too is willing to spew absolute lunacy in order to secure Republican votes. The Republican Party is currently a showdown between two far-right leaning individuals and it will continue to remain that way for the foreseeable future.

Marco Rubio is the wildcard in this election cycle. He is far more moderate than both Trump and Cruz. While he has some strongly conservative stances on major issues, he tends to align closer to the center and to the classical idea of an educated, intellectual Republican.

As for Jeb Bush and Ben Carson, they should fold their campaigns and call it quits as soon as possible. They are perennial basement dwellers, and barring a major collapse by every other candidate, they have very little chance of getting elected.

Photo credit: Tea Party Tribune.

Cruz Takes Iowa, Narrowly Defeats Trump

The latest results for a Fox News Iowa poll are in. Longtime Republican frontrunner Donald Trump has been narrowly defeated by Ted Cruz.

Which Republican candidate would you vote for?

  • Ted Cruz – 28%
  • Donald Trump – 26%
  • Marco Rubio – 13%
  • Ben Carson – 10%
  • Jeb Bush – 7%

For the first time in months, someone has beaten Trump in a major poll. While Cruz only managed to edge Trump out by 2 points, well within the margin of error, it demonstrates that Cruz is growing in popularity as a candidate and that he may be able to challenge Trump for the GOP nomination.

Many establishment Republicans prefer Cruz and see him as a traditional Republican who perfectly follows the party line. In contrast, Trump uses an off the wall style that is impossible to predict, leaving members of the GOP often questioning what he will do next.

Marco Rubio is still in the mix, but he needs to increase his numbers in a hurry if he wants to win the nomination. He is similar to Cruz on a lot of issues, but he is younger and a “sexier” option for young voters who are looking for a Republican candidate to represent them.

Both Jeb Bush and Ben Carson should consider ending their campaigns. While they still receive marginal support in the polls, they stand virtually no chance of toppling Trump, Cruz, and Rubio. Their platforms are dull and offer little substance to voters.

Photo credit: Red State.

Trump Obliterates His Opponents in Georgia

The latest Georgia primary poll by WSB/Landmark has revealed that Donald Trump holds nearly a triple lead over his closest opponent.

Which Republican candidate would you vote for?

  • Donald Trump – 43%
  • Ted Cruz – 16%
  • Marco Rubio – 11%
  • Ben Carson – 7%

Trump is the greatest enigma to ever exist in modern American politics. There is no logical way to predict his political trends and eventual downfall.

If any other candidate made such racist remarks, there campaign would be over immediately. Somehow, Trump has managed to gain ground in the polls, not lose it.

Trump will eventually collapse when the election becomes more serious, but for now, racists, Republicans, and undecided voters are flocking to his bombastic style and they are loving every moment of Trumpmania.

Ted Cruz and Marco Rubio are trailing Trump, but the two candidates are eagerly awaiting his collapse and will gobble up his supporters when that collapse does come. For now, they will have to patiently campaign and maintain their current standing in the major polls.

Ben Carson’s campaign is more or less finished. The candidate is playing catch up and voters are no longer interested in his platform. His foreign policy blunders in a political climate that is dominated by talk of ISIS and terrorism have cost him valuable support.

Photo credit: CBS News.