The latest on the presidential horse race.

Tag Archives: Mary Burke

Wisconsin Governor: No Clear Choice between Burke and Walker

Rasmussen Reports, 10/20 – 10/21

Wisconsin Governor

  • Mary Burke – Democrat – 49%
  • Scott Walker – Republican – 48%
  • Other – 1%
  • Undecided – 2%

A new Rasmussen Report’s poll has revealed how close the race for the Wisconsin Governor is. The poll asked 973 likely voters who they would vote for if an election were to occur today. 49 percent of voters selected the Democrat Mary Burke, while 48 percent chose the Republican Scott Walker.

50 percent of voters see Walker as a favorable candidate and 51 percent say the same about Burke. Both candidates are highly recognizable in the eyes of the voters.

Walker’s approval ratings were 49 percent. However, it is worth noting that his disapproval rating was 48 percent, and 40 percent of that total was voters who strongly disapproved of him.

Voters were conflicted on the status of Wisconsin. 44 percent believe that the state is better off than four years ago, while 46 percent believe that it is in worse shape.

When analyzing the campaign of the two challengers, 35 percent say that it has been more negative than previous elections, while 54 percent say that it is the same as previous years.

In terms of government spending, 47 percent prefer Walker and 46 percent Burke. Both candidates tied at 47 percent over the issue of taxation. For social issues, 50 percent chose Burke and only 42 percent Walker. Lastly, 48 percent trust Burke for issues of ethics and corruption to Walker’s 42 percent.

Photo credit: Capital Newspapers Archives.

Wisconsin Governor Update: Walker (48%) vs. Burke (46%)

Rasmussen Reports, 15/9 – 16/9

Wisconsin Governor

  • Scott Walker – Republican – 48%
  • Mary Burke – Democrat – 46%
  • Other – 3%
  • Undecided – 3%

Rasmussen Reports has released an update for the Wisconsin Governor race and the results are close. The poll asked 750 likely voters who they would vote for if an election were to occur today. The margin of error for this poll was 4%. Currently, the Republican Scott Walker has 48% of the votes, while his Democrat challenger Mary Burke has 46%. 3% of voters would vote for another candidate and an additional 3% are undecided.

The demographics for this poll were standard. 49% of voters were male and 51% were female, 26% were aged 18-39, 52% were 40-64, and 22% were over the age of 65, 90% were white and 10% were non-white, and 33% identified as Republican, 36% as Democrat, and 31% as a different party.

Walker’s current approval ratings are 51% and his disapproval ratings are 46%. Burke’s approval ratings are slightly lower; she scored 47% and 43% respectively.  4% of the voters have never heard of Burke and only 1% of them have not heard of Walker. Yet, Walker has begun to slip in the polls. In the past, Wisconsin was a state that was leaning towards the Republican Party. That is not the case anymore. In the most recent poll, the state is now considered a toss-up and political scientists are unsure of whether Walker can still be deemed a favorite to win. A CBS News poll from August had Walker at a +4, an early September WeAskAmerica poll had Burke at a +4, and a mid-September Marquette University poll had Walker at a +3. This is a tight race, but really, it is Walker who has slipped the most. Months ago, Walker held a commanding +7 and a +16 lead.

Photo credit: Politico

Shock Poll: Mary Burke Takes 4-Point Lead Over Wisconsin Governor Scott Walker

WeAskAmerica, 9/3
Wisconsin Governor

  • Burke (D): 48
  • Walker (R): 44

Between last year and this July, incumbent Republican Governor Scott Walker had led every poll over Democratic challenger Mary Burke. Now, after a July Marquette University poll had Burke up by 1 point and an August poll had her leading by 2 points, a new WeAskAmerica poll shows Burke taking a 4-point lead over the incumbent governor.

The poll, conducted on September 3, sampling 1,170 likely voters with a margin of error of 3 percent, found Burke leading Walker by a margin of 48-44. Aside from the size of her leads, Burke has now seen a steady 47-49 percent of the vote in five straight polls.

Burke, a member of the Madison School Board, previously served as the state’s Secretary of Commerce under Walker’s predecessor, Jim Doyle.

A Harvard Business School graduate, Burke also previously worked as an executive at her father’s Trek Bicycle Corporation.

Meanwhile, Scott Walker is a governor whose tenure almost ended before it really started.

After being elected in 2010, Walker immediately introduced a controversial budget plan that essentially eliminated unions’ collective bargaining rights and cut over $1 billion from the state’s education budget and $500 million from the state’s Medicaid budget.

That sparked a campaign to recall Walker and the 46-year-old had to face off against Milwaukee Mayor Tom Barrett, whom he defeated two years prior, once again. Walker won the election with 53 percent of the vote to become the first governor to ever win a gubernatorial recall election.

Walker has been considered a potential candidate for the Republican presidential nomination but it appears that he’ll have his hands full just trying to hold on to his job two months from now.

2014 Governor Polls Update: Wisconsin, Michigan, Arkansas, Arizona

Rasmussen: Arizona

  • DeVal (D): 40
  • Ducey (R): 40

Mitchell Research: Michigan

  • Snyder (R): 47
  • Schauer (D): 46

Rasmussen: Arkansas

  • Ross (D): 46
  • Hutchinson (R): 44

Marquette University: Wisconsin

  • Burke (D): 49
  • Walker (R): 47

We have seen a slew of new polls released over the past week and we are seeing some very tight races in gubernatorial campaigns around the country.

Perhaps the tightest race is in Arizona where a new Rasmussen poll has found a 40-40 tie between Democrat Fred DuVal and Republican Doug Ducey for the state’s gubernatorial seat. There has not been much polling out of Arizona but every poll conducted this year has had DuVal leading by a slight 1-2 percent margin. Looks like this one only got tighter.

Michigan is another race that could swing either way. A new Mitchell Research poll has incumbent Republican Governor Rick Snyder leading Democratic challenger Mark Schauer by 1-point margin while a recent EPIC-MRA poll has Schauer leading by 2 percent. In all, Snyder has now led every poll outside of that EPIC poll but only by about 1-3 percent.

In Arkansas, a surprising new Rasmussen poll has found that Democrat Mike Ross has taken the lead over Republican candidate Asa Hutchinson. The poll, the first poll out of Arkansas in over a month, has Ross leading by 2 percent after every July poll had Hutchinson leading by 3-6 percent. Looks like Arkansas is back in the toss-up pile.

Wisconsin also promises to be a close race. Since July, a CBS News/NY Times poll and a Rasmussen poll have found incumbent Republican Governor Scott Walker leading by 1 percent while two separate Marquette University polls have Democratic challenger Mary Burke leading by 1-2 percent.

It’s safe to say that none of these races will see a clear-cut frontrunner before the election and any result will be almost entirely determined by voter turnout.