Tag Archives: Massachusetts
There are many common themes developing throughout the current election cycle. The latest round of polls by Emerson for Massachusetts have revealed that Donald Trump is obliterating his Republican opponents, while the Democrats remain locked in a tie.
Which Republican candidate would you vote for?
- Donald Trump – 50%
- Marco Rubio – 16%
- John Kasich – 13%
- Ted Cruz – 10%
Which Democratic candidate would you vote for?
- Bernie Sanders – 46%
- Hillary Clinton – 46%
As we begin to look at east coast states, Trump continues to dominate and this seems unlikely to change. Trump is a product of New York and will be able to appeal to voters with his “New York values” a lot better than Ted Cruz and his creepy demeanor. Trump understands what voters on the east coast want and he will be able to tailor a campaign plan that addresses them.
Cruz will have a difficult time in the coming weeks. He is heading into states that aren’t as heavily dominated by religion and he will not be able to rely on his preacher style campaign rallies.
It is entirely possible that both Marco Rubio and John Kasich outperform Cruz on the east coast as they are more in tune with what voters want.
The big showdown will be between Hillary Clinton and Bernie Sanders. Both candidates have won a primary, are polling well, and have a large voter base. Clinton will point to her time in New York, as Bill’s First Lady, and as Secretary of State as justification of her ability to be president, while Sanders will use his political record, long political career, and commitment to helping the lower and middle classes to help his cause.
Photo credit: JS Online.
The latest Massachusetts poll by the Boston Globe/Suffolk has revealed that Donald Trump is leading the Republicans, followed in second by Ted Cruz and Ben Carson in third.
Which Republican candidate would you vote for?
- Donald Trump – 25%
- Ted Cruz – 23%
- Ben Carson – 18%
- Marco Rubio – 13%
Trump is still the man to beat for the other candidates vying for the Republican nomination.
Carson managed to come in second in this poll, but he has been slipping in the polls for a few weeks and has a lot of ground to make up if he wants to topple Trump or the newly surging Cruz.
On the topic of Cruz, he is starting to make up some serious ground in the polls and may be able to challenge Trump for the top spot. Cruz is the candidate that is closest to the GOP establishment line of thinking and he is all about big guns, tax breaks for businesses, and foreign conflicts. Unlike Trump and Carson, Cruz also excels at being a better politician. His time in the U.S. Senate has trained him in the ways of crafting and passing policies, something that would prove invaluable for a president.
Photo credit: Biz Pac Review.
Boston Globe, 9/21-9/23
- Baker (R): 40
- Coakley (D): 38
Though traditionally known as a blue state, four of the Massachusetts’ last five governors were Republican and current outgoing Governor Deval Patrick is the first Democrat to head the state since Michael Dukakis retired in 1991.
A new surprising Boston Globe poll suggests that the next governor may just be a Republican as well, with Charlie Baker taking a lead over Democratic opponent Martha Coakley.
The poll, conducted between September 21 and September 23, sampling 400 likely voters, found that Baker leads Coakley by 2 percent after trailing her for the vast majority of the campaign.
While it’s a surprise to see Baker atop the poll because Coakley has led all but one poll going all the way back to last year, the poll trends have shown this race tightening for a while.
Up until July, Coakley saw almost nothing but double-digit leads. Earlier this month, the Boston Globe showed Coakley up by just 3 percent while a Rasmussen poll released several days later had the race tied, 42-42.
Coakley remains the slight favorite based on past polling trends, and RealClearPolitics now has her polling an average of 3 percent ahead of Baker, but the Republican certainly has plenty of time to solidify a lead.
This is an interesting race because while other Democrats around the country are increasingly dragged down by President Obama’s approval ratings, the President is fairly popular in Massachusetts. Of the poll respondents, 47 percent approve of the job he’s done on the economy and healthcare, compared to 45 and 46 percent who disapprove, respectively.
On the other hand, just 15 percent of respondents said they approve of the job Republicans in Congress are doing.
Perhaps this has nothing to do with Democrats and Republicans. Perhaps Martha Coakley is just a terrible candidate. She’s already proven as much by losing Ted Kennedy’s vacant Senate seat to Republican Scott Brown in 2010 and the voters clearly didn’t want Brown who was easily unseated by Elizabeth Warren just two years later.
- Snyder (R): 43
- Schauer (D): 43
- Deal (R): 45
- Carter (D): 44
- Coakley (D): 42
- Baker (R): 42
- Ige (D): 40
- Aiona (R): 39
- Hannemann (I): 14
Some of the tightest races in the country are tightening up even more with the November gubernatorial elections quickly approaching and at least four states are far too close to call any candidate a favorite. Let’s take a look at the latest polls.
In Michigan, WeAskAmerica has just released a new poll sampling 1,182 likely voters and found the race between Republican incumbent Rick Snyder and Democratic challenger Mark Schauer a 43-43 tie. This is no surprise since most polls since July have had either Snyder or Schauer up by just 2 points, though Snyder is probably a slight favorite to eke out a re-election win at this point.
In Georgia, Republican incumbent Nathan Deal has now led Democratic challenger Jason Carter by just 1 percent in three of the last five polls and Carter even led one by 3 percent. The one that Carter led seems like an aberration since every other poll since the last week of August has Deal in a slight lead but Carter certainly has a chance to unseat the GOPer if he can get the voter turnout on Election Day.
Like Michigan, a new Rasmussen poll shows the gubernatorial race in Massachusetts between Democrat Martha Coakley and Republican Charlie Baker as a 42-42 tie. A few weeks ago this would have been shocking, not just because Massachusetts is a deep blue state, but also because Coakley led most of the early polling by double-digits. A recent Boston Globe poll had Coakley up by just 3 and a WBUR/MassINC poll has her up by just 5. Coakley is still a slight favorite but the race is suddenly trending Baker’s way.
Hawaii has a three-way race that Democrat David Ige leads by a slight margin. Three recent polls have Ige up by just 1-4 points over Republican Duke Aiona while independent candidate Mufi Hannemann is picking up around 8-14 percent of the vote. Expect Hawaii to stay in the blue, however.