The latest on the presidential horse race.

Tag Archives: Michigan

Trump and Clinton Continue Their Dominance in Michigan

The latest poll for Michigan by CBS News/YouGov has placed Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton in the lead of their respective parties.

Which Democratic candidate would you vote for?

  • Hillary Clinton – 55%
  • Bernie Sanders – 44%

Which Republican candidate would you vote for?

  • Donald Trump – 39%
  • Ted Cruz – 24%
  • Marco Rubio – 16%
  • John Kasich – 15%

Clinton is still leading Bernie Sanders in most states, but he is starting to close the gap in others. After winning three primaries over the weekend in Kansas, Nebraska, and Maine, he has managed to stop the bleeding and may be able to regain momentum heading forward.

The one problem Sanders will face is the delegate system and the massive amount of super delegates that Clinton has already locked down. However, if he can force the party’s hand, and put the super delegates in an awkward spot where they have no choice but to back him, he may be able to sneak in a victory over Clinton.

For the Republicans, Trump continues to win primaries, losing the occasional one to Ted Cruz. He survived the KKK drama and hasn’t said anything overly disastrous in the last couple of days.

Oddly enough, Trump doesn’t even have to behave to amass votes. At this point, voters are interested in the sideshow and they are excited whenever Trump engages in controversial discussions and says something offensive. The comments Trump has made would have destroyed the career of any other candidate, but for the billionaire, they only strengthen his position in the polls.

Photo credit: The Gateway Pundit.

Trump and Clinton Fly High in Michigan

With Super Tuesday behind them, both Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton are flying high at the top of their parties and look unstoppable. The latest poll by Fox 2 Detroit/Mitchell posted favorable results for both candidates.

Which Democratic candidate would you vote for?

  • Hillary Clinton – 61%
  • Bernie Sanders – 33%

Which Republican candidate would you vote for?

  • Donald Trump – 39%
  • Marco Rubio – 19%
  • Ted Cruz – 14%
  • John Kasich – 12%

Another poll, the same results for Trump. He continues to lead the pack, doubling his opponents scores. At this point, he is the face of the Republican Party whether they like it or not. The GOP establishment has been working hard to undermine Trump, but they have had very little success because he loves the spotlight and the drama that comes with it.

Marco Rubio and Ted Cruz are lame duck candidates and they have been ineffective at challenging Trump on the stage. When they try to engage in policy discussion, Trump quickly deflects the conversation and nullifies it with his bombastic style. Unless Rubio and Cruz can find a way to play Trump’s game, they are finished.

The clock is ticking for Bernie Sanders. His early campaign seemed promising, but he has struggled to dent Clinton in the polls as of late and the majority of his supporters aren’t turning out to the polls to vote for him. Like usual, young people make up a large portion of the non-voting population.

So long as Clinton sticks to her game, plays it safe, and hits Sanders while he’s down, she will win the nomination and likely the presidency in 2016.

Photo credit: CBC.

Trump Takes Virginia, Georgia, Florida, and Michigan, Loses Texas

Thursday brought a slew of polls for the Republican Party, many of which frontrunner Donald Trump dominated in.

Trump came out on top in Virginia (Monmouth), Georgia (TEGNA/SurveyUSA), Florida (Quinnipiac), Michigan (FOX 2 Detroit/Mitchell), and tied Ted Cruz in Texas (TEGNA/SurveyUSA).

Virginia

  • Donald Trump – 41%
  • Marco Rubio – 27%
  • Ted Cruz – 14%
  • John Kasich – 7%

Georgia

  • Donald Trump – 45%
  • Marco Rubio – 19%
  • Ted Cruz – 16%
  • Ben Carson – 8%

Florida

  • Donald Trump – 44%
  • Marco Rubio – 28%
  • Ted Cruz – 12%

Texas

  • Ted Cruz – 32%
  • Donald Trump – 32%
  • Marco Rubio – 17%
  • John Kasich – 6%

Michigan

  • Donald Trump – 41%
  • Marco Rubio – 19%
  • Ted Cruz – 16%
  • John Kasich – 11%

If you are a Trump supporter, it’s time to get giddy. Not only is Trump dominating in every major poll, he is topping his opponents in their home states. On top of that, he is also winning important primaries and looks good heading into Super Tuesday. At this point, Trump is unstoppable and he will more than likely become the GOP nominee, barring a catastrophic disaster of unpredictable proportions.

Both Marco Rubio and Cruz are fighting hard to stay alive, but poll by poll their chances evaporate and supporters swell to Trump’s camp. Voters aren’t interested in the robotic establishment drone that is Rubio and they certainly aren’t interested in the tired old rhetoric of Cruz.

For most voters, Trump is a breath of fresh air and is committed to smashing the status quo that currently exists in the American political climate. He doesn’t care about political correctness, he openly hates on immigrants, threatens to deport them, has known white supremacists following him, uses course language, and embodies what Cruz called “New York values.”

To undecided supporters, Trump provides them with an opportunity to try something different and to vote in a candidate that no one can accurately predict what he will do when he gets in office.

Get ready America, a Trump led GOP is becoming an unavoidable reality.

Photo credit: Twitter.

Michigan: Trump Continues His Dominance over the Republicans

The latest Michigan polls by Detroit News/WDIV-TV and FOX 2 Detroit/Mitchell have revealed that Donald Trump holds a commanding lead over his Republican opponents.

Detroit News/WDIV-TV:

  • Donald Trump – 25%
  • Ted Cruz – 15%
  • Marco Rubio – 12%
  • John Kasich – 11%

Fox 2 Detroit/Mitchell:

  • Donald Trump – 41%
  • Ted Cruz – 11%
  • John Kasich – 11%
  • Marco Rubio – 10%

With South Carolina behind us, Donald Trump has emerged victorious and has managed to amalgamate more Republican voters.

One of the biggest stories out of South Carolina, besides Trump’s victory, was Jeb Bush suspending his campaign. After wasting nearly $150 million to finish near last place, Bush threw in the towel.

At this point, Trump seems unbeatable. He continues to win primary after primary, the polls all favor him, and he striking the right tones with Republican voters, who are tired of the establishment and want a candidate that is willing to speak his mind. Trump fits all of these labels and will more than likely win the Republican nomination at this point.

Ted Cruz is a little too far right for some voters and his intense devotion to religion might hurt him in more centrist conservative states. The fact that Cruz lost in South Carolina, a state with a large religious population, should indicate that religion alone will not propel him to the White House.

Photo credit: Yellow Hammer News.

Carson Comes out Strong in Michigan, Trump Falters

The latest primary poll by WXYZ-TV/Detroit Free Press for Michigan has revealed that Ben Carson is firmly on top of his Democratic opponents, while Donald Trump failed to beat both Hillary Clinton and Bernie Sanders.

Head-to-Head Polls:

  • Hillary Clinton 46% – Donald Trump 38%
  • Hillary Clinton 44% – Ben Carson 48%
  • Bernie Sanders 48% – Donald Trump 36%
  • Bernie Sanders 36% – Ben Carson 45%

Carson, a local from Michigan, polled well in his home state. In recent weeks, Trump and Carson have traded the lead in various polls. Both candidates are polling well across the country and securing individual victories in states like Iowa, Michigan, and along the east coast. Carson is far more popular with the radical sect of the Republican Party, while Trump polls well with moderate voters and those who have strong opinions on immigration and tax reform.

Still, it is unlikely that the Republicans will head into the general election with Carson as their candidate. His victories over both Sanders and Clinton shouldn’t scare the Democrats as it is unlikely that they will face him. However, Trump’s failure to top Clinton and Sanders is alarming as he stands a better chance to represent the party. In the case that Trump falters and Carson disappears, expect to see Marco Rubio step up and represent the party in 2016. If this prediction comes true, Rubio would match up well against Clinton as they share a lot of the same beliefs on major issues.

Photo credit: The Grio.

2014 Senate Polls Update: Iowa, Kansas, Georgia, Michigan

Iowa: Quinnipiac

  • Ernst (R): 49
  • Braley (D): 45

Georgia: Survey USA

  • Perdue (R): 48
  • Nunn (D): 45
  • Swafford (L): 3

Kansas: NBC News/Marist

  • Orman (I): 44
  • Roberts (R): 42

Michigan: Mitchell Research

  • Peters (D): 52
  • Land (R): 38

Polls are being released daily, sometimes even more frequently, in the states with the tightest senate races and we are getting a pretty good idea of who stands where. Let’s take a look at the latest numbers from four of the most competitive races in the nation.

In Iowa, we are seeing some very contradictory poll results as a Quinnipiac poll of likely voters has Republican Joni Ernst up by 4 while a Loras College poll of likely voters has Democrat Bruce Braley up by 1. RealClearPolitics has Ernst leading by an average margin of 47-45. According to FiveThirtyEight, Ernst has a 67 percent chance of winning the race while Braley has a 33 percent chance.

In Georgia, three new polls have Republican David Perdue leading Democrat Michelle Nunn by 2-3 percent with Libertarian candidate Amanda Swafford pulling in 3-4 percent. If no candidate gets 50 percent plus one vote there will be a runoff election in January. A runoff race would definitely change things but right now FiveThirtyEight gives both Nunn and Perdue a 50-50 chance at winning, the only such race in the country.

In Kansas, independent candidate Greg Orman leads Republican incumbent Pat Roberts by 2 percent in a new Survey USA poll and by 1 percent in a new NBC News/Marist poll. FiveThirtyEight gives Orman a 51 percent chance to defeat the Republican.

In Michigan, in a race that was separated by 2-3 percent just two months ago, Democrat Gary Peters has absolutely blown open his lead, leading Republican Terri Lynn Land by 14 percent in the latest Mitchell Research poll and 15 percent in the latest Detroit News poll. According to FiveThirtyEight, Peters has a 98 percent chance to win this race.

2014 Governor Polls Update: Democrats Take Lead in Illinois, Colorado, Wisconsin, Maine, Michigan

CBS News/New York Times/YouGov, 9/20-10/1:

Colorado:

  • Hickenlooper (D): 49
  • Beauprez (R): 45

Wisconsin:

  • Burke (D): 49
  • Walker (R): 48

Illinois:

  • Quinn (D): 46
  • Rauner (R): 43

Michigan:

  • Schauer (D): 46
  • Snyder (R): 44

Maine:

  • Michaud (D): 39
  • LePage (R): 37
  • Cutler (I): 10

While much of the focus is on the midterm Senate elections, the real power lies in the many gubernatorial seats up for grabs in November. The latest CBS News/New York Times/YouGov poll dump has some good news for Democrats in some of the tightest gubernatorial races in the country.

In Colorado, where a Fox News poll showed the race completely tied earlier this month, CBS/NYT have Democratic incumbent John Hickenlooper leading Republican challenger Bob Beauprez by a margin of 49-45. A Rasmussen poll in late September also had Hickenlooper up by 4.

In Wisconsin, where incumbent Republican Scott Walker led a Rasmussen and Marquette University poll in September, NYT/CBS have Democratic challenger Mary Burke up by 1 percent. Walker has been unable to pull away by more than a few percentage points in the polls and while he has led most of the polls, Burke is certainly making it close.

In Illinois, where a WeAskAmerica poll had Republican Bruce Rauner up by 3 percent in mid-September, CBS/NYT have Democratic incumbent Pat Quinn up by 3 while a recent Rasmussen poll has the Governor up by 2.

In Michigan, where Republican incumbent Rick Snyder had led nine straight polls since early September, CBS/NYT have Democratic challenger Mark Schauer pulling ahead by 2 percent.

In Maine, where incumbent Republican Governor Paul LePage led a September Pan Atlantic SMS poll by 5 percent, CBS/NYT have Democratic challenger Mike Michaud leading by 2 percent with 39 percent of the vote, LePage is at 37, and independent Eliot Cutler is at 10.

2014 Governor Polls Update: Michigan, Massachusetts, Georgia, Hawaii Races Deadlocked

Michigan: WeAskAmerica

  • Snyder (R): 43
  • Schauer (D): 43

Georgia: Rasmussen

  • Deal (R): 45
  • Carter (D): 44

Massachusetts: Rasmussen

  • Coakley (D): 42
  • Baker (R): 42

Hawaii: Rasmussen

  • Ige (D): 40
  • Aiona (R): 39
  • Hannemann (I): 14

Some of the tightest races in the country are tightening up even more with the November gubernatorial elections quickly approaching and at least four states are far too close to call any candidate a favorite. Let’s take a look at the latest polls.

In Michigan, WeAskAmerica has just released a new poll sampling 1,182 likely voters and found the race between Republican incumbent Rick Snyder and Democratic challenger Mark Schauer a 43-43 tie. This is no surprise since most polls since July have had either Snyder or Schauer up by just 2 points, though Snyder is probably a slight favorite to eke out a re-election win at this point.

In Georgia, Republican incumbent Nathan Deal has now led Democratic challenger Jason Carter by just 1 percent in three of the last five polls and Carter even led one by 3 percent. The one that Carter led seems like an aberration since every other poll since the last week of August has Deal in a slight lead but Carter certainly has a chance to unseat the GOPer if he can get the voter turnout on Election Day.

Like Michigan, a new Rasmussen poll shows the gubernatorial race in Massachusetts between Democrat Martha Coakley and Republican Charlie Baker as a 42-42 tie. A few weeks ago this would have been shocking, not just because Massachusetts is a deep blue state, but also because Coakley led most of the early polling by double-digits. A recent Boston Globe poll had Coakley up by just 3 and a WBUR/MassINC poll has her up by just 5. Coakley is still a slight favorite but the race is suddenly trending Baker’s way.

Hawaii has a three-way race that Democrat David Ige leads by a slight margin. Three recent polls have Ige up by just 1-4 points over Republican Duke Aiona while independent candidate Mufi Hannemann is picking up around 8-14 percent of the vote. Expect Hawaii to stay in the blue, however.

2014 Senate Polls Update: Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, New Hampshire, Kansas, Colorado, Iowa

Updated RealClearPolitics Averages:

Georgia:

  • Perdue (R): 45.9
  • Nunn (D): 42.6

Michigan:

  • Peters (D): 44.7
  • Land (R): 39.3

North Carolina:

  • Hagan (D): 45.7
  • Tillis (R): 40.7

 

New Hampshire:

  • Shaheen (D): 48.3
  • Brown (R): 43.3

Kansas:

  • Orman (I): 38.5
  • Roberts (R): 37.3

Colorado:

  • Udall (D): 44
  • Roberts (R): 43.4

Iowa:

  • Braley (D): 43.5
  • Ernst (R): 43.4

With Election Day roughly six weeks away, the polls from the tightest senate races in the country are being released seemingly daily. Let’s take a look at the closest races around the nation to see if we can make sense of who’s up and who’s down.

In Georgia, a new Rasmussen poll has found that Republican David Perdue leads Democratic nominee Michelle Nunn by a 46-41 margin. RealClearPolitics reports that Perdue has averaged a 46-42.5 lead over Nunn since the end of August and appears to be the significant frontrunner.

In Michigan, Democrat Gary Peters has now led Republican nominee Terri Lynn Land in five straight polls and RCP reports that Peters has averaged a 45-39 lead since late August.

In North Carolina, things suddenly seem to be swinging towards Democratic incumbent Kay Hagan, who has now led Republican challenger Thom Tillis in six straight polls. RCP reports that Hagan is averaging a 46-41 lead over Tillis in September.

In New Hampshire, incumbent Democrat Jeanne Shaheen seems to be headed for a victory over Republican nominee Scott Brown as she has yet to trail in any poll out of the Granite State. RCP reports that Shaheen is averaging a 48-43 lead over Brown since mid-August.

Kansas is an interesting case. The Supreme Court has finally allowed Democrat Chad Taylor to remove his name from the ballot after he dropped out weeks ago. Now, independent candidate Greg Orman is the favorite to unseat incumbent Republican Pat Roberts, although he led by as much as 7 percent even with Taylor on the ballot. Orman has vowed to caucus with whichever party is in the majority.

Colorado is getting interesting. After incumbent Mark Udall led Republican challenger Cory Gardner in every poll between mid-July and early September, two new polls have Gardner surging ahead. With the latest USA Today poll putting Gardner up by 1, RCP has this race essentially deadlocked at 44-44.

Iowa appears to be as competitive as any other state. After a few polls showed Democrat Bruce Braley take a slight lead and a Quinnipiac poll had Republican Joni Ernst up, the latest Fox News and Rasmussen polls have the race as a tie. Five of the last nine polls have now had this race dead even.