The latest on the presidential horse race.

Tag Archives: New Hampshire

Clinton Ties Trump in New Hampshire

The latest New Hampshire poll by the Boston Herald/FPU revealed that both Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump are deadlocked in the state.

Head-to-Head Matchup

  • Donald Trump – 44%
  • Hillary Clinton – 44%

The fact that Trump continues to tie or come close to Clinton in states that she should be winning is a positive sign for his campaign. In a normal world, Trump shouldn’t have come this far and should have very little chance of winning the election, but this election has been unpredictable and it is nearly impossible to predict how he will perform.

Clinton needs to take control of this election in a hurry. She is supposed to win and the fact that she is trying Trump in the polls is incredibly worrying. She needs to single out a key progressive issue, like healthcare, gun control, or education, and run with it. That will allow her to tap into Bernie Sander’s supporters and it will lock down the left-wing. She will never appeal to racist voters, but she can make inroads in the south by dialing up her accent and acting religious. Clinton needs to develop a strategy and start executing it. This means she will to have to find the courage to take a stance on a major issue without being prompted by her opponents into taking it.

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Trump Slumps Against the Dems in New Hampshire

The latest head-to-head poll by Dartmouth for New Hampshire revealed that both Hillary Clinton and Bernie Sanders are ahead of Donald Trump in New Hampshire.

Which potential presidential candidate would you vote for?

  • Hillary Clinton 34% – Donald Trump 29%
  • Bernie Sanders 49% – Donald Trump 28%

Clinton’s lead over Trump was far less than Sanders. Regardless of where you stand on the Democrats, Clinton is far less popular than Sanders. A lot of that has to do with the fact that voters feel that she is dishonest and untrustworthy. In addition, New Hampshire is a state that Sanders should perform well in given the fact that he decimated Clinton in the state’s primary.

Sanders is still campaigning hard, trying to convince his voters that he can win. In reality, a Sanders victory would require a political miracle, but crazier things have happened, like the nomination of Trump as the head of the Republican Party.

As for Trump, he will need to find a way to fracture the Democratic voter base and siphon votes from unlikely sources. This may require him to appeal to independent and undecided voters through a less-than Republican platform. He has already started to do this with his bizarre tax plan and he has even hinted at the fact that he is pro public healthcare. If Trump can win over these types of voters and capitalize on Sanders angry supporters, he may be able to challenge Clinton.

If there is one thing we have learned from this current election cycle, it is that you should always expect the unexpected.

Photo credit: WBALTV.

Trump Leads, Cruz Approaches Second in New Hampshire

The latest New Hampshire poll by Rasmussen Reports has placed Donald Trump well ahead of his competition, while Marco Rubio and Ted Cruz battle it out for second place.

Which Republican candidate would you vote for?

  • Donald Trump – 31%
  • Marco Rubio – 21%
  • Ted Cruz – 20%

Trump has managed to maintain first place in yet another New Hampshire poll. Since his loss in Iowa, Trump has been focusing heavily on New Hampshire and every major poll has placed him at the top of the Republican Party.

In terms of what has changed, for the first time in many polls, Cruz has closed the gap on Rubio and is directly challenging him for second place. In previous polls, Cruz was losing to Rubio by a respectable margin.

Rubio is still a legitimate candidate and he is campaigning hard to paint himself as the pro-GOP establishment choice. His major flaw, and one that his opponents are exploiting, is his apparent lack of experience. If he can overcome that hurdle, he may be able to challenge both Trump and Cruz.

While Cruz nearly tied for second, expect him to finish in third in New Hampshire as he will not be able to rely on religion to help him coast to victory like he did in Iowa.

Photo credit: US News.

Trump and Sanders Continue Dominance in New Hampshire

The New Hampshire primary is quickly approaching and latest round of polls by CNN/WMUR have placed Donald Trump and Bernie Sanders in the lead of their respective parties.

Which Republican candidate would you vote for?

  • Donald Trump – 33%
  • Marco Rubio – 16%
  • Ted Cruz – 14%
  • John Kasich – 11%

Which Democratic candidate would you vote for?

  • Bernie Sanders – 58%
  • Hillary Clinton – 35%

Sanders is the man to beat in New Hampshire. Hillary Clinton is still a popular candidate and the expected champion of the Democratic Party, but when it comes to New Hampshire, the granite state is Sander’s territory.

Many analysts expect Sanders to win New Hampshire and certain polls have placed him as high as 30 points ahead of Clinton. Still, Sanders has been wary of the polls and has suggested that it will be a tight race. That is an intelligent move as it sets his campaign up to win the state and to not get ridiculed when he doesn’t win by the 30 percent margin that some polls are predicting.

On the other side of the fence, Trump continues to lead the Republicans, but he has to question his ability to win New Hampshire given the fact that he was the polls frontrunner heading into Iowa.

Lucky for Trump, New Hampshire is a lot different than Iowa and he will not have to fear the evangelical vote. Early polls are predicting that Trump will win the state, followed by Marco Rubio and possibly John Kasich. Ted Cruz is expected to struggle in this primary as the majority of voters are skeptical of his platform and are more in line with the libertarian movement, something that Cruz does not represent.

Photo credit: The Daily Banter.

Trump and Sanders Lead the Granite State

With the New Hampshire primary rapidly approaching, daily polls are flooding in and they are constantly showing the same thing: Donald Trump and Bernie Sanders leads.

The latest results by UMass/7News, NBC/WSJ/Marist, and ARG all reported the same results.

NBC/WSJ/Marist Democrats

  • Donald Trump – 30%
  • Marco Rubio – 17%
  • Ted Cruz – 15%
  • John Kasich – 10%

UMass/7News Democrats

  • Bernie Sanders – 55%
  • Hillary Clinton – 40%

UMass/7News Republicans

  • Donald Trump – 34%
  • Marco Rubio – 15%
  • Ted Cruz – 14%
  • John Kasich – 8%

ARG Democrats

  • Bernie Sanders – 54%
  • Hillary Clinton – 38%

ARG Republicans

  • Donald Trump – 36%
  • Marco Rubio – 15%
  • John Kasich – 14%
  • Ted Cruz – 12%

Trump continues to lead in New Hampshire and a lot of that has to do with the fact that the state is nothing like Iowa and Trump will not have to worry about religion interfering with his support totals.

A large part of Ted Cruz’s success was the evangelical vote in Iowa, but this vote simply doesn’t exist on the same level in New Hampshire.

For both Cruz and Trump, they need to start worrying about the rise of Marco Rubio. The candidate is aligned with the GOP establishment, many of which are backing him and providing him with the necessary intelligence he will need to win the nomination.

Hillary Clinton and Sanders sparred last night in a heated debate. Clinton went on the attack, trying to hide her shady record against Sander’s honest criticisms. For the most part, Sanders handled the debate well and exposed Clinton for her lies, something she has desperately been trying to avoid throughout the current election cycle. Based on the current polling averages, Sanders should be able to score a victory in New Hampshire.

Photo credit: Telegraph.

Trump and Sanders Dominate New Hampshire

Donald Trump and Bernie Sanders have continued their dominance in New Hampshire, according to the latest polls by CNN/WMUR.

Which Republican candidate would you vote for?

  • Donald Trump – 29%
  • Marco Rubio – 18%
  • Ted Cruz – 13%
  • John Kasich – 12%
  • Jeb Bush – 10%

Which Democratic candidate would you vote for?

  • Bernie Sanders – 61%
  • Hillary Clinton – 30%

The results for the Republicans are not surprising given the historical voting patterns of New Hampshire. Trump continues to poll well in the state, while Marco Rubio managed to overtake Ted Cruz for second place.

Cruz can no longer rely on the evangelical vote to propel him to victory like it did in Iowa. Trump stands a much better chance in New Hampshire as he will be able to appeal to voters purely on a political level and he will be able to avoid the religious trench.

There is also a very high chance that Rubio may surpass both Trump and Cruz. He is the clear establishment candidate and a lot of influential Republicans are backing him for president. If he can continue to gain momentum, Rubio could cause some damage and win the nomination.

For the Democrats, Sanders continues to dominate Hillary Clinton in New Hampshire. This trend has been taking place for a while and it seems unlikely that Clinton will be able to score a victory in the state. The biggest thing Clinton can try and do is minimize the amount she loses by and turn that against Sanders by suggesting that he under-performed in a state that he should have clobbered her in.

Photo credit: Telegraph.

Trump Doubles Cruz’s Support Totals in New Hampshire

The latest round of polls by UMass/7News and Harper have placed Donald Trump in a commanding lead over Ted Cruz in New Hampshire.

UMass/7News

  • Donald Trump – 38%
  • Ted Cruz – 14%
  • Marco Rubio – 12%

Harper

  • Donald Trump – 31%
  • John Kasich – 12%
  • Marco Rubio – 10%
  • Ted Cruz – 9%

Trump performed well in New Hampshire and should be able to beat Cruz in a state that isn’t dominated by the evangelical vote. Much of Cruz’s success was his ability to get Republicans to vote and his obvious religious tones. Trump tried to play the religion card, but voters saw through his attempts and it led to his eventual downfall in Iowa.

Now that Trump can focus on being Trump, he will perform a lot better. He needs to focus on his anti-immigration platform and continue to antagonize Muslims, two things that made him incredibly popular early on. Trump has to cater to the conservative crowd and voters who are fed up with the political deadlock that exists in Washington.

The other wildcard candidate is Marco Rubio. He had a strong showing in Iowa and could end up replacing both Trump and Cruz as the establishment candidate. The majority of the Republican establishment despises both Cruz and Trump and they would much rather plant Rubio in power.

Photo credit: Cowgernation.com.

New Hampshire: Trump Regains Form, Sanders Annihilates Clinton

With Iowa past us, New Hampshire is the political battleground and the latest poll by UMass Lowell/7News has placed Donald Trump and Bernie Sanders at the top of their parties.

Which Democratic candidate would you vote for?

  • Bernie Sanders – 63%
  • Hillary Clinton – 30%

Which Republican candidate would you vote for?

  • Donald Trump – 38%
  • Ted Cruz – 14%
  • Marco Rubio – 10%
  • John Kasich – 9%
  • Jeb Bush – 9%

Sanders and Hillary Clinton tied in Iowa, but in reality, it was a coin toss that gave Clinton the less than 1 percent “victory” she was so proud to achieve. Iowa was a major failure for Clinton, who months ago was a shoe in to win the state.

For Sanders to win, he must keep applying pressure and stick to his game plan. His grassroots campaign is all about momentum and he is gaining it in significant ways. He should be able to score a respectable victory in New Hampshire, but he will more than likely lose in South Carolina. One of Sander’s biggest successes was his ability to get young people to vote and he will need to keep them voting if he wants to take Clinton down and win the Democratic nomination.

As for the Republicans, Trump was sorely disappointed with his loss to Ted Cruz. Still, Trump isn’t finished yet. Much of Cruz’s success in Iowa was based on his ability to appeal to the evangelical vote, something that he won’t be able to benefit from as much in other states.

The other big story out of Iowa was Marco Rubio’s emergence as a legitimate candidate. Analysts are predicting that he will replace Trump and eventually win the Republican nomination as he is popular with the establishment brand of Republicans. Still, this scenario is heavily dependent on the disappearance of Trump, something that seems highly unlikely to happen.

Photo credit: Red Alert Politics.

Clinton Takes Iowa, Sanders New Hampshire

The battle for Iowa and New Hampshire continues. In the latest round of polls, Hillary Clinton took Iowa, while Bernie Sanders took New Hampshire. The Iowa poll was released by Loras College and New Hampshire by Suffolk University.

Iowa

  • Hillary Clinton – 59%
  • Bernie Sanders – 30%

New Hampshire

  • Bernie Sanders – 50%
  • Hillary Clinton – 41%

The upcoming primaries are going to be a slugfest for the Democrats. Both Sanders and Clinton are polling extremely close, they continue to trade the lead in important states, and voters are undecided when it comes to which candidate they want to see win the Democratic nomination.

Clinton offers a centrist stance, is pro-Wall Street, supports ObamaCare and its limitations, and isn’t interested in substantial change. However, due to the influence of Sanders, Clinton has been forced to take a stance on important issues, something she shied away from in the past.

Sanders on the other hand, is a socialist, but that shouldn’t be used as a negative. He is in favor of a single-payer healthcare system, free education, worker’s rights, and everything that is generally associated with the far left.

His biggest weakness is the overall cost that his ideas would require to implement, but that is no different than some of the lunacy that Donald Trump has proposed. In the end, his options are far more attractive than Clinton’s because he is working hard to alleviate the woes of the average American.

Photo credit: CNN.

Trump Embarrasses the Competition in New Hampshire and Nationally

The latest national poll by Monmouth University and New Hampshire poll by CNN/WMUR came out heavily in favor of Donald Trump.

New Hampshire

  • Donald Trump – 34%
  • Ted Cruz – 14%
  • Marco Rubio – 10%
  • Jeb Bush – 10%

National

  • Donald Trump – 36%
  • Ted Cruz – 17%
  • Marco Rubio – 11%
  • Ben Carson – 8%

In both polls, Trump cleaned up on his competition. His usual challenger, Ted Cruz, failed to impress, and was beaten by a substantial margin in each of them.

Most Republican critics are unsure of how to view Trump. For a long time, they saw him as a joke and believed that he would collapse before the primaries. As the primaries edge closer, Trump continues to solidify his lead and he has proven that he isn’t going anywhere.

With Sarah Palin’s recent endorsement, Trump looks poised to head into the primaries as a series challenger and one that could easily win the Republican nomination. Cruz is still a legitimate candidate, but he is struggling to dent Trump in the polls and a large part of that is due to Trump’s no-nonsense attitude towards politics and his opponents.

As for the other candidates, like Jeb Bush, Marco Rubio, and Ben Carson, they are struggling even more than Cruz and most Americans have forgotten about their existence. At this point, the Republican nomination is a two man race and it seems likely that it will stay that way heading into the primaries.

Photo credit: Conservative Review.