The latest on the presidential horse race.

Tag Archives: New York

Sanders Falls to Clinton in Three New York Polls

Hillary Clinton continues to poll well against Bernie Sanders in New York. The latest three polls by Quinnipiac, NY1/Baruch, and PPP all went in her favor.

Quinnipiac

  • Hillary Clinton – 53%
  • Bernie Sanders – 40%

NY1/Baruch

  • Hillary Clinton – 50%
  • Bernie Sanders – 37%

PPP

  • Hillary Clinton – 51%
  • Bernie Sanders – 40%

If Clinton can win New York, it will greatly diminish any chances that Sanders has at winning the Democratic nomination. A lot of delegates are up for grab in New York and Clinton is playing up her reputation in the state in order to cement them into her already healthy delegate totals.

Sanders has had a rough week in the media after he got caught in a name calling contest against Clinton, when he suggested that she was “unqualified” to be president. He needs to overcome this Trump-level debauchery if he wants to be taken seriously as a candidate. Sanders has a lot to offer to voters and he needs to continue to drive those points home.

Photo credit: CBC.

Trump Wins Four Polls in New York

The latest polls by Qunnipiac, NY1/Baruch, PPP, and Liberty Research have all ended up in Trump’s favor.

Quinnipiac

  • Donald Trump – 55%
  • John Kasich – 20%
  • Ted Cruz – 19%

NY1/Baruch

  • Donald Trump – 60%
  • John Kasich – 17%
  • Ted Cruz – 14%

PPP

  • Donald Trump – 51%
  • John Kasich – 25%
  • Ted Cruz – 20%

Liberty Research

  • Donald Trump – 52%
  • John Kasich – 23%
  • Ted Cruz – 19%

If you’re Ted Cruz, you are sweating at the prospect of the New York primary. He is not going to perform well in this primary because his campaign has zero appeal in this region of the United States. Modern Tea Party politics do not interest voters in the East Coast and his religiosity will not earn him any additional votes. On top of that, he is losing in the polls to John Kasich, who has only one a single primary, in his home state of Ohio.

Trump may be slipping in the national polls and had a rough two weeks in media, but New York is his domain and he should have no problem winning over voters and championing himself as a man who promotes “New York values.” A strong win in New York will greatly help Trump’s nomination bid. If he can follow this up with a split in California, Cruz will find it difficult to overtake Trump and will have to rely on a contested convention for a potential nomination.

Photo credit: Life News.

Democrats Dominate in New York Head-To-Head Polls

Regardless of who wins the Democratic nomination, the Democrats are in good shape heading into the general election. The latest round of New York head-to-head polls by Emerson were won unanimously by the Democrats.

Head-To-Head Polls

  • Bernie Sanders 51% – Donald Trump 38%
  • Bernie Sanders 56% – Ted Cruz 29%

 

  • Hillary Clinton 54% – Donald Trump 36%
  • Hillary Clinton 58% – Ted Cruz 30%
  • Hillary Clinton 48% – John Kasich 41%

The Republicans are in a lot of trouble. All three of their candidates are unfavorable and will probably get demolished in a general election. Currently, the nomination is being battled out between Donald Trump and Ted Cruz. It is difficult to say who will win, but statistically, it should be Trump. John Kasich shouldn’t even be considered a legitimate candidate and the only reason he is still campaigning is to try and disrupt Trump.

As for the Democrats, Hillary Clinton will probably win the nomination, barring unprecedented success in New York, California, and Pennsylvania by Bernie Sanders. Clinton is an unpopular candidate in her own right and comes with a lot of baggage. However, she isn’t nearly as unpopular as both Trump and Cruz and she does have an impressive political resume that she can use to win over undecided voters.

If the Democrats can keep looking normal, proposing progressive reforms that can win over centrists, and avoid devolving into a high school bullying contest, like the Republicans have, they should be able to clean up in a general election.

Photo credit: Times of Israel.

Trump and Clinton Ahead in New York and Pennsylvania

Both Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump are leading the way in New York and Pennsylvania, according to the latest polls by Fox News.

Which Democratic candidate would you vote for?

  • New York
    • Hillary Clinton – 53%
    • Bernie Sanders – 37%
  • Pennsylvania
    • Hillary Clinton – 49%
    • Bernie Sanders – 38%

Which Republican candidate would you vote for?

  • New York
    • Donald Trump – 54%
    • John Kasich – 22%
    • Ted Cruz – 15%
  • Pennsylvania
    • Donald Trump – 48%
    • John Kasich – 22%
    • Ted Cruz – 20%

The East Coast is going to go terribly for Ted Cruz. His religiosity will not earn him any votes and the majority of voters in this reason do not care for or agree with his policies.

Trump should be able to clean up both New York and Pennsylvania, providing him with a healthy amount of delegates. The only candidate that may cause some trouble for him is John Kasich, due to his establishment credentials. Still, Kasich will not win anything and he will only succeed in stealing a few delegates from Trump.

For the Democrats, Bernie Sanders has been putting up a strong fight in the last few wakes, making the nomination process much closer than it has been for several months. Still, for Sanders to take the lead, he would need to completely annihilate Clinton in both states, and it doesn’t appear that he is going to be able to do that.

Photo credit: Fox 13.

Trump Dominates in New York, Cruz Retreats

Ted Cruz is learning a hard lesson about the “New York values” he so openly criticized months ago. In the latest poll by Monmouth, Donald Trump led the way, followed by John Kasich, and a distant Cruz in third.

Which Republican candidate would you vote for?

  • Donald Trump – 52%
  • John Kasich – 25%
  • Ted Cruz – 17%

Trump embodies the New York City lifestyle of the 1980s. He is a businessman, understands the culture, is vulgar, and direct. He should have no issue winning New York and taking home a respectable amount of delegates in the process.

Kasich is a useless candidate at this point and he is only staying in the race to try and stall Trump’s advances. He will win a few delegates in New York, but will not win the primary or any other primaries for that matter. If he can prevent Trump for securing the nomination before the convention, he will consider his campaign a massive success.

Cruz has no friends in New York. He has openly insulted the state in the past and he embodies that creepy and religious Texan stereotype. He is judgemental, pretends to be a perfect Christian, and is everything that sensible people on the East Coast hate in a candidate. Expect a poor performance by him in New York, which will hurt his chances at defeating Donald Trump before the convention.

Photo credit: The Gateway Pundit.

Trump Blows Apart his Competition in New York

The latest New York poll by Optimus has placed Donald Trump well ahead of his competition.

Which Republican candidate would you vote for?

  • Donald Trump – 50%
  • John Kasich – 24%
  • Ted Cruz – 16%

Trump should be able to run away with New York. He is from New York City, understands New York values, and is a businessman that has created a massive corporate empire. Even though Trump talks badly about Wall Street and other financial institutions, he is a part of that society and it is in his best interests to protect it at all costs.

Kasich may be able to appeal to the GOP establishment, but most major Republicans aren’t looking at him as a serious candidate. He has won a single primary, in his home state of Ohio, and he more than likely will not win a single one beyond that.

As for Ted Cruz, his campaign has zero appeal in New York. He has openly criticized the state in the past and his pro-religious game will not win him any votes in this centrist to leftist state. Cruz will have to continue focusing on fringe states if he wants to try and challenge Trump for the nomination in July. However, his recent and embarrassing engagement of Trump over the issue of his wife has made him look petty and is clearly not the behavior of a presidential candidate.

Photo credit: Red State.

Trump and Clinton Favored to Win New York

Early polls by Emerson for New York are heavily favoring Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton. Both candidates hold commanding leads over their competition in this important state.

Which Republican candidate would you vote for?

  • Donald Trump – 64%
  • Ted Cruz – 12%
  • John Kasich – 1%

Which Democratic candidate would you vote for?

  • Hillary Clinton – 71%
  • Bernie Sanders – 23%

A victory in New York for Trump would be huge and would signify that he deserves to be the Republican nominee. The other candidates have virtually no chance of beat Trump. Ted Cruz’s religious zealotry will earn him no votes in New York and voters will flock to Trump because he understands what the inhabitants of New York are about.

On the other side of the fence, Clinton is dominating Bernie Sanders. While Sanders ran a good campaign, he is out of momentum and has lost too many primaries to make a recovery this late in the game. His campaign message was sincere, but his insistence on singling out the Wall Street issue probably cost him some voters who were disinterested.

Clinton will ride the wave and win New York, playing up her time as Senator of the state, her gender, and how she survived 9/11 just like the other inhabitants of New York City. Now that she has more or less defeated Sanders, her campaign focus will shift and centrist Clinton will make a return from her short Sanders-inspired vacation.

Trump and Clinton Smash Their Opponents in New York

New York’s primary may be over a month away, but both Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton are already holding commanding leads in the state, according to the latest poll by Siena.

Which Democratic candidate would you vote for?

  • Hillary Clinton – 55%
  • Bernie Sanders – 34%

Which Republican candidate would you vote for?

  • Donald Trump – 45%
  • Marco Rubio – 18%
  • John Kasich – 18%
  • Ted Cruz – 11%

Clinton should easily walk away with New York. She served as a Senator for the state, has extensive ties with Wall Street, and knows how to appeal to New York voters. If she can play this advantage, it should be an easy win for her.

For Bernie Sanders, he has an uphill battle. His anti-Wall Street rhetoric will resonate with certain voters, but it will not appeal to the corporate climate in New York and it may prove difficult for him to penetrate this important state unless he can build a monumental grassroots movement before the primary takes place.

On the Republican side of things, Trump should easily win New York. The only other candidate that may be able to appeal to voters is Marco Rubio, but his campaign has been performing poorly for months and is all but dead at this point.

Ted Cruz has absolutely zero appeal in the state. He has openly insulted New Yorkers, dismissing them for their “New York values” and his religious zealotry will not win him any votes in an extremely liberal state.

Photo credit: Talking Points Memo.

2016: Christie Would Beat Cuomo But Be Smashed By Hillary in NY

Siena, 11/18, New York:

  • Christie: 47, Cuomo: 42
  • Christie: 40, Clinton: 56

In a shocking new poll that further suggests the strength of a potential Chris Christie candidacy in 2016, a Siena poll released on Monday shows that the Republican New Jersey governor would defeat Democratic New York Governor Andrew Cuomo by a margin of 47-42 in New York. On the other hand, New Yorkers still favor Hillary Clinton by a large margin over the Jersey moderate.

What’s striking about the poll is that voters overwhelmingly support Cuomo but favor Christie. The poll shows Cuomo drawing a 61 percent favorable rating and leading any potential 2016 gubernatorial challenger by a healthy 30+ point lead. Despite the favorablility, traditionally blue New Yorkers still prefer Christie.

The poll clearly shows that Chris Christie, an nontraditional Republican candidate, could change the entire electoral map in 2016. He wouldn’t be able to beat Hillary Clinton on her home turf but he could certainly draw far more support in states not as heavily Democratic as New York than Republican candidates in recent elections. Democrats have done well in moderate northeastern states like Ohio, Pennsylvania, Maine, New Hampshire, and Wisconsin but Christie could put all of those states in play, including his home state of New Jersey which has voted Democratic in every presidential election since Ronald Reagan.

Another striking point in the poll is how much more support Hillary Clinton draws than Cuomo, another fellow potential candidate with solid support. In a general election, Clinton would draw 14 percent more than Cuomo in a race against Christie, another stark reminder of Hillary’s strength on the national stage. Hillary currently leads all Democratic primary polls by at least 50 percent, coming in well ahead of Cuomo, Joe Biden, and Elizabeth Warren.

Two recent polls found Hillary leading Christie in a national matchup 44-34 and 49-36. Hillary even leads Christie in his home state of New Jersey by a small 48-44 margin. At the same time, while Clinton is the odds-on favorite to win the nomination, Republicans are wavering on Christie. According to NBC, only 32 percent of Republicans support Christie for the GOP nomination with 31 percent opposed and the others undecided.

(Image courtesy of Bob Jagendorf)