The latest on the presidential horse race.

Tag Archives: Rasmussen Reports

Clinton and Trump Neck-and-Neck Nationally

The latest poll by Rasmussen Reports has revealed that a national election between Democratic frontrunner Hillary Clinton and the Republican favorite Donald Trump would be extremely close.

Which candidate would you vote for?

  • Hillary Clinton – 37%
  • Donald Trump – 36%

Clinton used to hold a very strong lead over Trump, often 10 points or more. The fact that Trump has closed the gap has to be concerning for Clinton’s campaign.

Trump is a wildcard candidate. You never know what you are going to get with him. On top of that, there is a very strong chance that he will manage to win the Republican nomination, something that most Republican critics never thought was possible. As a candidate, he has said some of the most disastrous things in election history, yet he always bounces back and continues to dominate in the polls.

Clinton is riding purely on her name and her overall support has remained steady, but stale. She hasn’t innovated the election cycle like Trump has, her policies are bland, and she is very cautious when it comes to taking sides. She has yet to defeat Bernie Sanders and he is putting up a strong fight against her and is expected to raise more donations in the fourth quarter.

While it is far too early to call a winner, the days of a guaranteed Clinton victory over Trump may be over and it may be time to consider Trump a legitimate candidate, craziness and all.

Photo credit: The Hill.

Obama’s Approval Ratings Hover Around 45%

The latest Gallup poll tallying President Barack Obama’s approval ratings is in. Obama achieved a pretty standard approval rating that was consistent with his overall average.

What is your opinion of the president?

  • Approve – 45%
  • Disapprove – 49%

A different poll by Fox News pegged Obama’s approval rating at 42 percent and his disapproval rating at 51 percent, while a poll by Rasmussen Reports had the totals at 47 percent and 52 percent respectively.

There is nothing unordinary about these totals and they suggest that the majority of Americans are indifferent to Obama. For the majority, they recognize that his time in office is nearly done and that it is time to start thinking about who they want to elect as the next president.

Obama’s presidency started on high hopes, saw the implementation of Obamacare, and saw the government protect Wall Street, despite their role in bringing the economy to its knees. Most Americans are eager to move on from Obama, not because he was a bad president, but more so because they are antsy to elect someone new and see if they can fix the country.

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Americans Value Jobs over Global Warming

A recent poll by Rasmussen Reports has revealed that the majority of Americans see global warming as an important issue. However, they tend to view the economy and job creation as a more important topic.

How serious is global warming?

  • Very serious – 35%
  • Somewhat serious – 28%
  • Not very serious – 16%
  • Not at all serious – 17%
  • Not sure – 4%

What is global warming caused by?

  • Human activity – 44%
  • Long-term planetary trends – 39%
  • Something else – 7%
  • Not sure – 10%

What is more important?

  • Solving global warming – 27%
  • Creating jobs – 63%
  • Not sure – 10%

Are Americans being selfish by valuing the economy over global warming?

  • Yes – 29%
  • No – 53%
  • Not sure – 17%

At a time when the average American is struggling to make a living, it is not surprising to see the economy viewed as a more important topic by Americans. Most people know that global warming and climate change are important long-term issues, but when Americans are struggling to support their families, buy groceries, and plan for retirement, they quickly become unimportant. Solving global warming doesn’t immediately make an individual’s life easier and sadly it is easier for them to push major problems off into the future when they no longer affect them.

Photo credit: Grace University.

Poll: Support Grows for State’s Rights Against the Federal Government and the Supreme Court

A recent Rasmussen Reports poll has revealed that an increasing number of pollsters are starting to believe that individual states should have the right to boycott U.S. Supreme Court decisions.

In a February poll the results sided with state governments and suggested that voters were more inclined to believe in their state’s ability to lead and protect their interests.

  • Which government does a better job?
    • State government – 28%
    • Local government – 27%
    • Not sure – 24%
    • Federal government – 21%
  • Does the federal government have too much/not enough influence over state governments?
    • Too much influence – 47%
    • Balanced – 27%
    • Not enough influence – 18%
    • Not sure – 8%
  • Should states have the right to opt out of federal government programs that they don’t agree with?
    • Yes – 54%
    • No – 33%
    • Not sure – 13%
  • Should states have the right to opt out of federally mandated programs if the federal government doesn’t help pay for them?
    • Yes – 61%
    • No – 24%
    • Not sure – 15%
  • Should states have the right to ignore federal court rulings if their elected officials disagree with them?
    • Yes – 24%
    • No – 58%
    • Not sure – 18%

Fast forward to an early July poll, a larger number of voters have concluded that individual states should have the right to ignore Supreme Court decisions. 33 percent of voters believed that a state should be able to ignore a Supreme Court decision, 52 percent said no, while 15 percent said yes.

A large portion of conservative voters are still angry with the recent Supreme Court ruling on same-sex marriage. The shift in numbers is to be expected and nothing out of the ordinary when a major decision is passed that is heavily divided on ideological lines.

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Campaign Promises: Voters Overwhelmingly Distrust the Politicians They Elect

Rasmussen Reports, 11/2 – 11/3

Campaign Promises

Rasmussen Reports has published a collection of questions analyzing voter opinion on the politicians they elect and the promises they make. Since today is Election Day, it is important to understand which promises we can expect a politician to keep and which ones are as good as gone once they are voted in.

Do most politicians keep their campaign promises?

  • Yes – 4%
  • No – 83%
  • Undecided – 13%

Modern history has revealed that the majority of politicians do not keep their election promises. They bait voters in with flashy proposals that are quickly tossed into the garbage can once they enter office. Talk is cheap and this is something politicians have mastered.

When politicians break campaign promises, it is usually because:

  • Deliberate false promises – 46%
  • Unforeseen events – 42%
  • Undecided – 12%

For every honest politician that exists, there are several that are not. 42 percent of voters believe that politicians break promises as a result of unforeseen events, but willful ignorance shouldn’t qualify as an unforeseen event and neither should promising impossible things. More than likely, the voters who were asked that question gave the politicians the benefit of the doubt when in reality, there should have been a larger majority voting for the deliberately offering false promises choice.

What is more important to you when you vote?

  • A candidates policies – 52%
  • Track record – 36%
  • Their party – 7%
  • Third party support from prominent people – 1%
  • Undecided – 4%

This is a pretty standard answer. One would hope that people vote a person in based on their policies, but a lot of voters still base their decisions on inherited colors.

In covering most candidates, is the media more interested in:

  • The truth – 12%
  • Creating controversy – 82%
  • Undecided – 7%

Controversy sells and the truth does not. The media is only interested in bringing in readers and reporting controversy achieves exactly that.

Photo credit: Rocket Lawyer.

Congressional Control: Voters Believe the Republicans Are Poised for Big Gains in This Year’s Elections

Rasmussen Reports, 10/29 – 10/30

Congressional Control

A new Rasmussen Reports poll gauged voter opinion on who they believe will control the House of Representatives and the U.S. Senate following this year’s elections.

How likely is that Democrats will win a majority in the House of Representatives this November?

  • Very likely – 12%
  • Somewhat likely – 22%
  • Not very likely – 26%
  • Not at all likely – 25%
  • Undecided – 14%

Even though most of the failures attributed to the current Congress can be blamed on the Republicans, both parties suffer from petty partisan politics that have led to a massive breakdown of relations in Congress and its inability to accomplish anything of value. It is not surprising that the majority of voters, 51 percent, believe that the Democrats will concede even more control of the House of Representatives to their opponents.

How likely is that Republicans will win a majority in the Senate this November?

  • Very likely – 22%
  • Somewhat likely – 40%
  • Not very likely – 20%
  • Not at all likely – 4%
  • Undecided – 15%

The results of this question are even less surprising. The Democrats currently control the U.S. Senate with 53 seats to the Republican’s 45. However, the lack of any meaningful legislation might convince voters to try a Republican Senate, even if it has no potential to benefit them at all. The average voter is fed up of the current political climate.

If Democrats win control of Congress, will there be a noticeable change in the lives of most Americans?

  • Yes – 51%
  • No – 32%
  • Undecided – 17%

Voters believe the Democrats are the better party, but they demonstrate a willingness to vote Republican, it’s paradoxical. Both parties have their specific platforms, but the Democrats tend to offer a neutral platform for the majority, while the Republicans focus on policies that benefit the minority of the population.

Congressional Ratings: 8 Percent of Voters Believe Congress Is Doing Good

Rasmussen Reports, 10/23 – 10/24

Congressional Ratings

Rasmussen Reports has just released a poll cataloging the catastrophe that is known as the 113th United States Congress. Voter opinion is at an all-time low as the current Congress continues to plummet deeper and deeper into the political abyss.

Rate the job Congress is doing

  • Excellent – 3%
  • Good – 5%
  • Fair – 27%
  • Poor – 62%
  • Undecided – 3%

In fact, voters have such a low opinion of Congress that only 8 percent of them believe that they are doing a good job. 62 percent believe they are performing poorly. This is a clear indication of the current political climate in the U.S. People don’t trust politics and they certainly don’t trust politicians to help them with their problems.

The poll asked voters if they believe that the current Congress passed any meaningful legislation, 69 percent said no, 11 percent yes, and 20 percent were undecided. It also asked what the role of Congress was. 55 percent responded that Congress should pass good legislation, 35 percent noted that its goal is to prevent legalization from becoming law, and 9 percent were undecided.

Why do 35 percent of voters believe that Congress exists to stop legislation from being passed? By its very nature, it is designed to pass new laws that are geared towards improving the country. Voters hate the “do nothing” Congress, but they believe that Congress shouldn’t pass laws, a true paradox.

The majority of voters, 80 percent, believe that politicians only care about party leaders and executives, while 10 percent believe that they care about the voters they represent.

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Voters Continue to Disagree with the Direction of the Country

Rasmussen Reports, 10/14 – 10/20

Direction of the Country, Ebola II

  • Right Direction – 26%
  • Wrong Direction – 66%
  • Undecided – 8%

Rasmussen Reports has released the latest results detailing the overall opinion on the direction that the United States is heading in. Overall, voters are angry and do not support the current path. 26 percent of voters believe that the country is on the right path, 66 percent do not, and 8 percent were undecided.

If an election were to occur today, voters would be split, at 41 percent, between the two parties.

Where are these abysmal numbers coming from? It is no secret that voters are fed up of the current government. President Obama is often criticized for not doing enough, or in some cases, doing too much, Congress suffers from the same criticisms, and the policies of the U.S. seem ineffective on all levels.

Ebola is the current hot issue and the majority of Americans feel that the government has failed so far in its response. Rasmussen Reports asked 1,000 voters various questions about the outbreak. 35 percent stated that the government has done a poor job, 30 percent fair, 22 percent good, and 9 percent excellent.

60 percent of voters want to see a ban on travel to countries deemed high risk for Ebola. Major right-wing critics slammed Obama for his refusal to close traffic to West Africa, a task that is not as easy as it sounds.

58 percent of voters were confident in the American medical system to handle Ebola, 41 percent were not.

The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention had a favorability rating of 54 percent amongst American voters, while 40 percent had an unfavorable opinion of it.

If Obama is interested in putting the country on the right track, Ebola is an easy way to reestablish trust with voters. The average American fears Ebola and doesn’t truly understand how it works. If he can create the illusion of security with voters, convincing them that Ebola has been contained, he will drastically improve his ratings.

Photo credit: Think Stock.

Wisconsin Governor Update: Walker (48%) vs. Burke (46%)

Rasmussen Reports, 15/9 – 16/9

Wisconsin Governor

  • Scott Walker – Republican – 48%
  • Mary Burke – Democrat – 46%
  • Other – 3%
  • Undecided – 3%

Rasmussen Reports has released an update for the Wisconsin Governor race and the results are close. The poll asked 750 likely voters who they would vote for if an election were to occur today. The margin of error for this poll was 4%. Currently, the Republican Scott Walker has 48% of the votes, while his Democrat challenger Mary Burke has 46%. 3% of voters would vote for another candidate and an additional 3% are undecided.

The demographics for this poll were standard. 49% of voters were male and 51% were female, 26% were aged 18-39, 52% were 40-64, and 22% were over the age of 65, 90% were white and 10% were non-white, and 33% identified as Republican, 36% as Democrat, and 31% as a different party.

Walker’s current approval ratings are 51% and his disapproval ratings are 46%. Burke’s approval ratings are slightly lower; she scored 47% and 43% respectively.  4% of the voters have never heard of Burke and only 1% of them have not heard of Walker. Yet, Walker has begun to slip in the polls. In the past, Wisconsin was a state that was leaning towards the Republican Party. That is not the case anymore. In the most recent poll, the state is now considered a toss-up and political scientists are unsure of whether Walker can still be deemed a favorite to win. A CBS News poll from August had Walker at a +4, an early September WeAskAmerica poll had Burke at a +4, and a mid-September Marquette University poll had Walker at a +3. This is a tight race, but really, it is Walker who has slipped the most. Months ago, Walker held a commanding +7 and a +16 lead.

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Obama’s Approval Ratings Remain Stationary Midway through September

Gallup / Rasmussen Reports, 9/13 – 9/15

President Obama Job Approval

  • Rasmussen Reports

o   Approve – 47%

o   Disapprove – 53%

  • Gallup

o   Approve – 41%

o   Disapprove – 55%

President Obama’s mid-September approval ratings have been released in the most recent Gallup and Rasmussen Reports polls. Gallup pegged Obama at a 41% approval rating and a 55% disapproval rating, while Rasmussen Reports recorded a 47% approval and 53% disapproval. The margin of error for both polls was 3%.

Obama continues to be an unpopular president. With elections looming, Obama has been relatively quiet as he is trying to cause as little damage as possible for his fellow party members. Congress continues to be inept, Republicans continue to oppose Democrats, and vice versa. The entire political system is a mess and Obama’s approval ratings are indicative of that.

The Middle East continues to be a dividing topic amongst all Americans. Supporters of intervention say that Obama isn’t doing enough, that his ramped up missile strikes are inadequate, and that the president is not committed to winning the war. On the other side, Obama is criticized for any form of intervention. These individuals feel that the president is overstepping his authority, stretching the country thin, and engaging them in a senseless conflict that will yield no results and that doesn’t benefit the average American citizen.

In the end, Obama is trapped in a paradox. If he does nothing, he loses, and if he does something, he loses. This concept applies to all policy. When he passed Obamacare with the intention of providing poor families with healthcare coverage, he angered the right-wing and other quasi-conservatives. When he intervened in the Middle East, conservatives claimed that he didn’t do enough and liberals hated the fact that the U.S. was committed to the region again. The immigration crisis angered conservatives who wanted the immigrant children tossed out of the country at all costs. Using this knowledge, Obama can never improve his approval ratings past the current range that they have been trapped in for the last few months.

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