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2014 Governor Polls Update: Colorado, Arkansas, Florida, Georgia

Rasmussen: Colorado

  • Beauprez (R): 45
  • Hickenlooper (D): 44

TB Times/Bay News 9: Florida

  • Scott (R): 44
  • Crist (D): 38

WRBL/Ledger-Enquirer: Georgia

  • Deal (R): 44
  • Carter (D): 42

NBC News/Marist: Arkansas

  • Hutchinson (R): 48
  • Ross (D): 39

Election Day is approaching and many gubernatorial races around the country are in full gear with political ads dominating the airwaves. We’ve seen a handful of new polls released in the last week, let’s take a look at how some of the closest races in the country are shaping up.

In Georgia, where a recent poll found Democrat Jason Carter, the son of former President and Georgia Governor Jimmy Carter, leading incumbent Republican Governor Nathan Deal, the latest WRBL/Ledger-Enquirer poll (the largest poll out of Georgia yet, sampling 1,578 likely voters) finds Deal with a slim 2-point lead.

Several polls have shown Carter leading in July and August but Deal has led the vast majority of polls out of Georgia and remains a slight favorite to edge out Carter in November.

In Florida, where elections are always interesting, we have seen incumbent Republican Governor Rick Scott lead by 1-6 percent since July while just one poll has shown Charlie Crist in the lead by just 2 percent. Scott has now led five of the last six polls out of Florida, albeit by slight margins, and remains the favorite to win re-election.

Colorado is shaping up to be one of the closest races in the country as a new Rasmussen poll has Republican challenger Bob Beauprez leading incumbent Democratic Governor John Hickenlooper by 1 percent while a new NBC News/Marist poll has Hickenlooper up by 4 percent.

Since July, a Quinnipiac poll had Beauprez up by 1, a PPP poll had Hickenlooper up by 1, and a CBS News/New York Times poll had the race tied. Don’t expect to see a clear frontrunner out of Colorado until all the votes are counted.

In Arkansas, Republican candidate Asa Hutchinson leads a new NBC News/Marist poll by 9 percent, which wouldn’t be surprising if the latest Rasmussen poll didn’t have Democrat Mike Ross leading by 2 percent. Regardless, Hutchinson has led every poll expect the Rasmussen poll since April by at least 3 percent and as much as 8 percent so he remains a solid favorite to win the state.

Bad News For Democrats as Governor Races Swing Republican

With primaries in most states now over, most polls have turned to general election races with 33 senate and 36 governorships up for grabs this November. With President Obama’s approval ratings tanking, many of the races are starting to swing to the Republican side.

In Florida, after Survey USA and Quinnipiac polls both showed Democrat Charlie Crist leading the gubernatorial race by 5-6 points, a new CBS News/NY Times poll now shows Republican incumbent Rick Scott leading by 5 points and a new Rasmussen poll has Scott up by one.

In Illinois, CBS News/NY Times have Republican challenger Bruce Rauner leading incumbent Democrat Pat Quinn by 3 points while a Rasmussen poll shows Rauner leading by five.

In Michigan, after Republican Rick Snyder and Democrat Mark Schauer were tied in a PPP poll in June, CBS/NYT, Rasmussen, and EPIC-MRA now all have Snyder leading by 3 percent.

In Arkansas, where Democrat Mark Ross held a slim lead for most of the spring, Republican Asa Hutchinson now leads by 3-5 points, according to the CBS/NYT and Talk Business Polls.

In Wisconsin, incumbent Republican Governor Scott Walker has taken a slim 1 percent lead over Democratic challenger Mary Burke who had been tied with Walker since the spring.

In Colorado, incumbent Democrat John Hickenlooper held the lead over Republican Bob Beauprez since the beginning of polling season but the CBS News/NYT poll shows Beauprez in a tie with Hickenlooper while a Quinnipiac poll has the Republican up by one.

Arkansas is its own unique mess. A Landmark Communications poll has Democrat Jason Carter up by 7 while the CBS/NYT poll has Republican Nathan Deal leading by 9.

(Image courtesy of Gage Skidmore)