The latest on the presidential horse race.

Tag Archives: Ted Cruz

Democrats Lead Ohio, Kasich’s Popularity Wanes

The latest poll for Ohio by PPP has provided some interesting data. According to the results, Hillary Clinton and Bernie Sanders are more popular candidates than Donald Trump and Ted Cruz and the state is getting fed up with Gov. John Kasich’s pitiful campaign.

Head-to-Head Matchups:

  • Hillary Clinton 45% – Donald Trump 42%
  • Hillary Clinton 44% – Ted Cruz – 35%

 

  • Bernie Sanders 45% – Donald Trump 41%
  • Bernie Sanders 44% – Ted Cruz 35%

One interesting revelation from this poll is how unpopular Kasich is becoming in his home state. According to the data, 38 percent of voters think he should stay in the race, while 49 percent want him to drop out. In comparison, 52 percent were supportive of his campaign in early March. If you adjust the poll to only account for Republican voters, the numbers are even worse, with 58 percent wanting him to give it up.

Why is this? The majority of voters believe that Kasich is neglecting his duties as Governor.

“Ohio voters were pretty supportive of John Kasich’s Presidential ambitions for a while,” said Dean Debnam, President of Public Policy Polling. “But now they’re ready for him to wrap it up as his prospects grow smaller and the bill for taxpayers related to his campaign gets larger and larger.”

As for the other Republican candidates, both Trump and Cruz continue to struggle against Clinton and Sanders. Why is this? Clinton is considered a safe pick that will maintain the status quo, while Sanders is the choice of those who want to see legitimate progressive change. In contrast, Cruz is the candidate that stands to promote the most change for the Republicans, but his notion of meaningful change is terrifying to most voters, whereas Trump stands to break up the status quo as well, but the majority of his grandiose policies would stand no chance at passing through Congress, the Senate, and for some of his more racist proposals, the Supreme Court.

Photo credit: 6 ABC.

Trump and Clinton Maintain Their National Leads

The latest national poll by IBD/TIPP has placed Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump in the lead of their respective parties.

Which Republican candidate would you vote for?

  • Donald Trump – 48%
  • Ted Cruz – 29%
  • John Kasich – 16%

Which Democratic candidate would you vote for?

  • Hillary Clinton – 49%
  • Bernie Sanders – 43%

The results in this poll are fairly typical. Clinton still leads the Democrats, but Bernie Sanders continues to be a more popular and genuine candidate. Unfortunately for Sanders, it is too late for him to overtake Clinton as he has already lost several important primaries. The Democrats will roll into the 2016 election under Clinton and it will be up to her to extend their control of the White House.

One of the major questions that remains is whether or not Trump will be able to beat Clinton in an election. The Trump we were originally treated to at the beginning of the primaries was far more radical and crazy, but as the election draws closer, he has started to settle down and is even acting somewhat presidential.

What about John Kasich and Ted Cruz? There isn’t much to say. Cruz threw in the towel when he decided to make Carly Fiorina his vice president. With California coming up, he completely threw away whatever small support he may have been able to muster up from fringe supporters in California. Fiorina isn’t a popular candidate and all of Silicon Valley hates her for her terrible tenure with HP. As for Kasich, he is a pointless candidate that doesn’t want to lose the spotlight.

Photo credit: CBC.

New National Poll, Still Clinton and Trump

Are you getting bored of hearing the same results every day? If so, tune out now, because the latest national poll by USA Today/Suffolk has once again went in Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump’s favor.

Which Democratic candidate would you vote for?

  • Hillary Clinton – 50%
  • Bernie Sanders – 45%

Which Republican candidate would you vote for?

  • Donald Trump – 45%
  • Ted Cruz – 29%
  • John Kasich – 17%

As hard as Bernie Sanders, Ted Cruz, and John Kasich try, they fail. Clinton has more or less secured the Democratic nomination, while the same can almost be said for Trump, who only had to fear the possibility of a contested convention.

Sanders is still campaigning hard, but his passion seems to be dwindling as he is forced to come to terms with his losing campaign. He fought hard and tried to take Clinton on, but he failed to diversify his campaign and got type-casted as a one policy candidate.

On the other hand, Clinton played this campaign really well, when compared to 2008. She effectively avoided getting caught in any traps, latched on to every key issue, and constantly painted herself as the victim and underdog.

As for Trump, his loudness continues to win out. The Republican Party is such a mess that Cruz and Kasich have been forced to team up to try and take Trump down. Still, if they split the party too badly, they will weaken whatever slim chance it has at competing in the general election. While the contested convention is a valid option, such a decision would cause the GOP to implode and would crush their chances at winning an election with a candidate more illegitimate than Jon Snow.

Photo credit: 6 ABC.

More of the Usual in Rhode Island

As the political races wind down, both Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton managed to stay ahead in the latest poll by Brown University for Rhode Island.

Which Republican candidate would you vote for?

  • Donald Trump – 38%
  • John Kasich – 25%
  • Ted Cruz – 14%

Which Democratic candidate would you vote for?

  • Hillary Clinton – 43%
  • Bernie Sanders – 34%

Another poll, the same results. Clinton and Trump are the candidates to beat at this point. All of Bernie Sanders, Ted Cruz, and John Kasich seem incapable of overcoming their opponents.

Clinton has performed well across the board after Sanders received a slight bump in momentum a few weeks back. She defeated her opponent by a respectable margin in New York and has been using that momentum to close out the nomination.

For Trump, he has learned to tone it down a little bit, at least by his standards. Despite struggling for a few weeks, Trump managed to maintain his lead and he has mathematically defeated Cruz. The only way that Trump will lose to Cruz is if the Republican Party contests the convention and finds some strange version of the rules to try and push him out. While this is possible, it seems highly unlikely and would more than likely kill the Republican Party in the general election.

Photo credit: CBS News.

Trump and Clinton Reign Supreme in Pennsylvania

The latest poll for Pennsylvania by Franklin & Marshall has placed both Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton at the top of their respective parties.

Which Democratic candidate would you vote for?

  • Hillary Clinton – 58%
  • Bernie Sanders – 31%

Which Republican candidate would you vote for?

  • Donald Trump – 40%
  • Ted Cruz – 26%
  • John Kasich – 24%

The two major remaining narratives are as follows: Can Bernie Sanders pull off a miracle and is Ted Cruz capable of contesting the convention?

In the case of Sanders, he has a monumental task ahead of him. He is behind in delegates, he lost New York, he has virtually no superdelegates, and his grassroots campaign seems to have stalled. This isn’t to downplay how successful his campaign has been, but rather, it should serve as an indication of how well-oiled Clinton’s campaign truly is.

Despite her immense political baggage, she has managed to keep it all together and is about to win the Democratic nomination. The Benghazi scandal and paid Wall Street speeches would have destroyed any other candidate, but she managed to pull it off.

On the other side of the fence, Trump continues to regain momentum after a few troublesome weeks. For a while, Cruz looked poise to overtake Trump, but he stumbled in New York hard, even losing a country to Ben Carson’s suspended campaign. If Trump can keep playing his game, he should be able to score a victory in Pennsylvania, leveraging his New York credentials to gain votes over the ultra-religious Cruz.

Photo credit: The Fiscal Times.

Trump and Clinton Lead the Latest NBC Poll

Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton came out on top of the latest NBC News/WSJ national poll.

Which Democratic candidate would you vote for?

  • Hillary Clinton – 50%
  • Bernie Sanders – 48%

Which Republican candidate would you vote for?

  • Donald Trump – 40%
  • Ted Cruz – 35%
  • John Kasich – 24%

As the primaries intensify, Trump and Clinton continue to watch their leads dwindle away. Both candidates will more than likely win their parties nomination, but it is not a forgone conclusion like it was once.

For the Republicans, Trump is feeling the heat of Ted Cruz, who continues to close the gap on him. On Tuesday, New Yorkers will vote in their state’s primary and it should help Trump pad his numbers. His presence in New York state will help him secure a decent amount of delegates and show voters that he is capable of winning important states. However, the next major test for Trump will take place in California, where he isn’t polling strongly.

For Clinton, she is still leading Sanders, but her normal delegate vote isn’t as high as it once was. While she has only 1,289 pledged delegates to Sander’s 1045, she is still clobbering him when it comes to superdelegates, where she has 469 to his 31. New York will be a major test for both candidates, and depending on either of their performances, it could be a major boost or the killing blow for either campaign.

Photo credit: E Online.

Trump and Clinton Hold the Lead in Maryland

The latest poll for Maryland by NBC 4/Marist, have reported favorable numbers for both Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton.

Which Republican candidate would you vote for?

  • Donald Trump – 47%
  • John Kasich – 27%
  • Ted Cruz – 19%

Which Democratic candidate would you vote for?

  • Hillary Clinton – 52%
  • Bernie Sanders – 42%

None of the results in these polls are overly surprising. Trump leads the Republicans, followed by a distant John Kasich, and an even more distant Ted Cruz. Trump should be able to win Maryland, but it remains to be seen if he can calm his campaign down and come out of the recent chaos as the consensus pick for the Republican Party. In the past, Trump was seen as a guarantee win, but after a tough few weeks in the media, the once indestructible Trump started to show signs of weakness.

Kasich isn’t a relevant candidate in any way and the only reason he is still in the running is to try and disrupt Trump’s nomination. Cruz could catch Trump, but more realistically, he is preventing his rival from collecting extra delegates, in hope that he can contest the convention and win the nomination on a technicality.

On the Democratic side of things, Clinton is still the popular choice and Bernie Sanders recent brush with negativity hurt his campaign and made him look petty. He also broke an important promise he made early on, that he would never turn to negativity in his campaign.

Sanders could still catch Clinton, but her superdelegate lead is still daunting and something that Sanders will need to overcome if he wants to snatch the Democratic nomination out from under her.

Photo credit: The Fiscal Times.

Trump Wins Four Polls in New York

The latest polls by Qunnipiac, NY1/Baruch, PPP, and Liberty Research have all ended up in Trump’s favor.

Quinnipiac

  • Donald Trump – 55%
  • John Kasich – 20%
  • Ted Cruz – 19%

NY1/Baruch

  • Donald Trump – 60%
  • John Kasich – 17%
  • Ted Cruz – 14%

PPP

  • Donald Trump – 51%
  • John Kasich – 25%
  • Ted Cruz – 20%

Liberty Research

  • Donald Trump – 52%
  • John Kasich – 23%
  • Ted Cruz – 19%

If you’re Ted Cruz, you are sweating at the prospect of the New York primary. He is not going to perform well in this primary because his campaign has zero appeal in this region of the United States. Modern Tea Party politics do not interest voters in the East Coast and his religiosity will not earn him any additional votes. On top of that, he is losing in the polls to John Kasich, who has only one a single primary, in his home state of Ohio.

Trump may be slipping in the national polls and had a rough two weeks in media, but New York is his domain and he should have no problem winning over voters and championing himself as a man who promotes “New York values.” A strong win in New York will greatly help Trump’s nomination bid. If he can follow this up with a split in California, Cruz will find it difficult to overtake Trump and will have to rely on a contested convention for a potential nomination.

Photo credit: Life News.

Democrats Dominate in New York Head-To-Head Polls

Regardless of who wins the Democratic nomination, the Democrats are in good shape heading into the general election. The latest round of New York head-to-head polls by Emerson were won unanimously by the Democrats.

Head-To-Head Polls

  • Bernie Sanders 51% – Donald Trump 38%
  • Bernie Sanders 56% – Ted Cruz 29%

 

  • Hillary Clinton 54% – Donald Trump 36%
  • Hillary Clinton 58% – Ted Cruz 30%
  • Hillary Clinton 48% – John Kasich 41%

The Republicans are in a lot of trouble. All three of their candidates are unfavorable and will probably get demolished in a general election. Currently, the nomination is being battled out between Donald Trump and Ted Cruz. It is difficult to say who will win, but statistically, it should be Trump. John Kasich shouldn’t even be considered a legitimate candidate and the only reason he is still campaigning is to try and disrupt Trump.

As for the Democrats, Hillary Clinton will probably win the nomination, barring unprecedented success in New York, California, and Pennsylvania by Bernie Sanders. Clinton is an unpopular candidate in her own right and comes with a lot of baggage. However, she isn’t nearly as unpopular as both Trump and Cruz and she does have an impressive political resume that she can use to win over undecided voters.

If the Democrats can keep looking normal, proposing progressive reforms that can win over centrists, and avoid devolving into a high school bullying contest, like the Republicans have, they should be able to clean up in a general election.

Photo credit: Times of Israel.

Trump and Clinton Favored in California

For weeks, the primary race for both the Republicans and Democrats was stale, but after a dramatic week for both Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump, the race is now heated and unpredictable. The latest California poll by Field has placed Trump and Clinton in the lead, but their once dominant leads have receded.

Which Democratic candidate would you vote for?

  • Hillary Clinton – 47%
  • Bernie Sanders – 41%

Which Republican candidate would you vote for?

  • Donald Trump – 39%
  • Ted Cruz – 32%
  • John Kasich – 18%

Weeks ago, it looked as if Hillary Clinton had wrapped up the Democratic nomination. However, Sanders has managed to win 7 of his last 8 primaries and his delegate count is creeping closer and closer to Clinton’s.

A strong performance in California, a state that Sanders should be popular in, could put him level with Clinton. A lot of delegates are up for grabs and it is imperative that Sanders perform well in this state.

For Clinton, she needs to flip Sander’s negativity against him. Regardless of where you stand on the drama between the two candidates, Sanders came off as petty and aggressive this week and Clinton’s campaign needs to use that against him to secure votes in the upcoming primaries. In the past, Sanders promised never to run a negative campaign, but this week, that changed and he broke that promise.

For the Republicans, Trump is starting to feel the pressure. Ted Cruz is rapidly approaching him and it appears as if he  may be able to challenge him for the Republican nomination. With the GOP establishment begrudgingly backing him, Cruz is poised to, at the very least, contest the Republican convention.

Photo credit: DC Whispers.