The latest on the presidential horse race.

Tag Archives: Texas

Trump Dominates Clinton in the South

The two latest polls for Texas (Texas Tribune/YouGov) and Arkansas (Talk Business/Hendrix College) have placed Donald Trump well ahead of his Democratic opponent Hillary Clinton.

Which presidential candidate would you vote for?

Texas

  • Donald Trump – 41%
  • Hillary Clinton – 33%

Arkansas

  • Donald Trump – 47%
  • Hillary Clinton – 36%

These two polls signal the first time Trump has held a lead over Clinton in several weeks. Every since the disappearance of Bernie Sanders, Clinton has been dominating Trump in the polls, winning by small and large margins based on the polling state.

Trump is an enigmatic candidate that is hard to predict. In moderate states, he should get clobbered by Clinton, but he will easily win the deep south and any states that vote overwhelmingly Republican. However, Trump is despised by his own party and several longtime Republicans have made it clear that they will not vote for a Republican Party that is being led by Trump. Due to this, it becomes even harder to predict how he will perform in the upcoming election.

On the other side of the fence, Clinton should continue to build her supporter base. Sanders appears to be finished, and while he continues to hold out, his supporters will start to flock to Clinton. As the election approaches, Clinton is also making it clear that she will choose gun control as one of the issues her administration will focus on and she continues to dabble with the idea of selecting Sen. Elizabeth Warren as her runningmate. Time will tell if she chooses Warren, but an Ohio rally on the weekend saw Warren appear and talk on behalf of Clinton, suggesting that she may eventually become the pick.

Photo credit: Democracy Now.

Trump Takes Virginia, Georgia, Florida, and Michigan, Loses Texas

Thursday brought a slew of polls for the Republican Party, many of which frontrunner Donald Trump dominated in.

Trump came out on top in Virginia (Monmouth), Georgia (TEGNA/SurveyUSA), Florida (Quinnipiac), Michigan (FOX 2 Detroit/Mitchell), and tied Ted Cruz in Texas (TEGNA/SurveyUSA).

Virginia

  • Donald Trump – 41%
  • Marco Rubio – 27%
  • Ted Cruz – 14%
  • John Kasich – 7%

Georgia

  • Donald Trump – 45%
  • Marco Rubio – 19%
  • Ted Cruz – 16%
  • Ben Carson – 8%

Florida

  • Donald Trump – 44%
  • Marco Rubio – 28%
  • Ted Cruz – 12%

Texas

  • Ted Cruz – 32%
  • Donald Trump – 32%
  • Marco Rubio – 17%
  • John Kasich – 6%

Michigan

  • Donald Trump – 41%
  • Marco Rubio – 19%
  • Ted Cruz – 16%
  • John Kasich – 11%

If you are a Trump supporter, it’s time to get giddy. Not only is Trump dominating in every major poll, he is topping his opponents in their home states. On top of that, he is also winning important primaries and looks good heading into Super Tuesday. At this point, Trump is unstoppable and he will more than likely become the GOP nominee, barring a catastrophic disaster of unpredictable proportions.

Both Marco Rubio and Cruz are fighting hard to stay alive, but poll by poll their chances evaporate and supporters swell to Trump’s camp. Voters aren’t interested in the robotic establishment drone that is Rubio and they certainly aren’t interested in the tired old rhetoric of Cruz.

For most voters, Trump is a breath of fresh air and is committed to smashing the status quo that currently exists in the American political climate. He doesn’t care about political correctness, he openly hates on immigrants, threatens to deport them, has known white supremacists following him, uses course language, and embodies what Cruz called “New York values.”

To undecided supporters, Trump provides them with an opportunity to try something different and to vote in a candidate that no one can accurately predict what he will do when he gets in office.

Get ready America, a Trump led GOP is becoming an unavoidable reality.

Photo credit: Twitter.

Trump Ties Cruz in Texas

If Ted Cruz thought his campaign was doing well, the latest Texas poll by TEGNA/SurveyUSA has revealed that Donald Trump has tied him in his home state.

Which Republican candidate would you vote for?

  • Ted Cruz – 32%
  • Donald Trump – 32%
  • Marco Rubio – 17%
  • John Kasich – 6%
  • Ben Carson – 5%

Cruz couldn’t even beat Trump in his home state. He has been on a steady downtrend ever since he scored a victory in Iowa and his entire campaign relies heavily on the religious vote. Evangelicals make up a large demographic, but they don’t represent enough of the population to win an election.

Unless Cruz can start polling stronger and appealing to moderate Republicans outside of the fringe, his campaign will die out and he will quickly be replaced by Marco Rubio who is more in line with the GOP establishment.

Trump is still the candidate to beat. He is polling well across the board, he has the support of the average American, certain Democrats may vote for him out of disgust for the current political system, and he has a bombastic style that the blue collar class loves.

Rubio is still hanging in the polls. At this point, he seems to be the consensus second place candidate, but it is unlikely that he will be able to overtake Trump. Unless he outperforms Trump on Super Tuesday, his campaign is more than likely over.

Photo credit: Breitbart.

Carson and Clinton Steal the Show in Texas

The latest Texas poll by KTVT-CBS 11 has revealed that both Ben Carson and Hillary Clinton are in the lead of their respective parties.

Which Democratic candidate would you vote for?

  • Hillary Clinton – 59%
  • Bernie Sanders – 10%

Which Republican candidate would you vote for?

  • Ben Carson – 23%
  • Donald Trump – 22%
  • Ted Cruz – 14%
  • Jeb Bush – 13%

The results from this poll are far from surprising. Carson beat Donald Trump by one percent, well within the margin of error. Ted Cruz and Jeb Bush, both natives of Texas, rose above the likes of Carly Fiorina, Marco Rubio, and some of the other fringe candidates. Their sudden rise in Texas is nothing more than a statistical aberration that is purely based on their ties to the state.

The Republican Party nomination is a battle between Trump and Carson. The victor will likely be Trump as he is more moderate than Carson and far more likely to appeal to the larger Republican Demographic when compared to a more radical candidate like Carson who bases many of his decisions on religion.

For the Democrats, Clinton slaughtered Bernie Sanders in Texas. However, this shouldn’t cause Sanders supporters to worry. Sander’s socialist label is incompatible with Texan voters who still link socialism with communism. Sanders can still challenge Clinton for the Democratic nomination, but he will have to focus on staying true to his campaign platforms and exposing Clinton for her two-faced stance on many of the major issues.

Photo credit: Christian Post.