The latest on the presidential horse race.

Tag Archives: Wisconsin

Trouble Brewing for Trump and Clinton in Wisconsin

The latest Wisconsin poll by Emerson has placed both Ted Cruz and Bernie Sanders ahead of Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton.

Which Democratic candidate would you vote for?

  • Bernie Sanders – 51%
  • Hillary Clinton – 43%

Which Republican candidate would you vote for?

  • Ted Cruz – 40%
  • Donald Trump – 35%
  • John Kasich – 21%

The mainstream media called Sanders a dead candidate after he struggled early on in the primaries. However, he has managed to win 6 of his last 7 primaries and most of those wins have been by large margins. He is still behind in delegates, but the gap isn’t an impossible one to close and he appears to have all the momentum in his favor.

For Clinton, she still leads, but she has to know that her lead isn’t safe and could quickly evaporate if she continues to perform poorly in the upcoming primaries. A disappointing outcome in Wisconsin could accelerate her political downfall and could provide Sanders with enough fuel to start robbing her of her cherished superdelegates.

For the Republicans, Trump is still the king of the party, but over the last few weeks he has realized that his lead isn’t safe and that Cruz is a legitimate candidate that could beat him. A Cruz victory would require a lot of factors to go in his favor, yet if we’ve learned anything about this election, it’s that you should always expect the unexpected.

Photo credit: Time.

Clinton and Cruz Top Wisconsin

The latest Wisconsin poll by Loras College has placed Ted Cruz and Hillary Clinton in the lead of their respective parties.

Which Democratic candidate do you want to win?

  • Ted Cruz – 38%
  • Donald Trump – 31%
  • John Kasich – 18%

Which Republican candidate do you want to win?

  • Hillary Clinton – 47%
  • Bernie Sanders – 41%

Bernie Sanders lead in Wisconsin has evaporated. Earlier polls placed him ahead of Clinton. Still, polls are often flimsy and slight changes like this one shouldn’t be overly concerning for Sanders and his campaign. Heading into Tuesday’s primary, it is nearly impossible to predict who will win the state and it could go either way.

As for the Republicans, Donald Trump is struggling to gain momentum in Wisconsin. Much of this is due to the heavy scrutiny that he has faced in the recent weeks as the Republican Party works tirelessly to vilify him. Cruz is by no means a suitable replacement for Trump, as he is equally as crazy as his Republican counterpart, but he is the only other option this late into primary season and he will more than likely score a victory in Wisconsin.

John Kasich may win a few votes in Wisconsin, but he has zero chance of winning the state’ primary. His campaign has run out of steam and the only primary that he has been able to win is his home state of Ohio.

Cruz and Sanders Lead the Way in Wisconsin

The latest Wisconsin poll by Marquette has placed Ted Cruz and Bernie Sanders in the lead of their respective parties.

Which Democratic candidate would you vote for?

  • Bernie Sanders – 49%
  • Hillary Clinton – 45%

Which Republican candidate would you vote for?

  • Ted Cruz – 40%
  • Donald Trump – 30%
  • John Kasich – 21%

Donald Trump has had a rough week. He has been under fire from the media over every issue that he is involved in. In the past, Trump was able to deflect criticism and to laugh it off. But now, with the nomination process approaching its end, he can no longer shrug off his criticisms. Trump struggles as a candidate when he is challenged on deep policy.

Cruz on the other hand is a career politician and understands the political game. His ideas may be as equally radical as Trump, but he is capable of masking them and presenting them to voters in a more palatable way. Most experts still predict Trump should win the nomination, and in many ways, he should, but his recent struggles have provided Cruz with an opportunity and his campaign has very clearly identified that.

John Kasich is a pointless candidate. With only one primary victory under his belt this late in the game, he has no chance of securing the nomination and is hoping that he may be able to steal additional fame through a contested convention.

On the Democratic side of things, Sanders is fast catching Hillary Clinton and he may not be out of the picture any longer. A series of recent primary wins have left Clinton leading the delegate count, barely, and most of her remaining delegates are superdelegates.

Photo credit: Politics USA.

Trump Trails Cruz in Wisconsin

For the first time in a long while, Ted Cruz is leading Donald Trump in a poll. The latest Wisconsin poll by Free Beacon posted favorable results for the Texan senator.

Which Republican candidate would you vote for?

  • Ted Cruz – 36%
  • Donald Trump – 31%
  • John Kasich – 21%

Both Cruz and Trump continue to battle it out for the Republican nomination. Trump is still leading the delegate count, with 739 to Cruz’s 465.

The majority of the important primaries have went in Trump’s favor and Cruz has only managed wins in deeply religious or pariah states that other candidates had zero appeal in.

If Trump can adequately play up the Muslim card and milk the Brussels attack, he will all but secure the anti-Muslim vote and every other group of racist supporters that he has. The timing of the attack was perfect for Trump and will provide him with enough fuel to hammer the nomination process home, so long as he approaches the situation properly.

As for the results of this poll, Cruz’s lead is so slim that it cannot be called safe. If we have learned anything through this election cycle, it is that Trump is unpredictable and it is nearly impossible to predict his downfall.

Photo credit: Red State.

Wisconsin: Clinton Beats Sanders in a Close Poll

In the latest Wisconsin poll by WPR/St. Norbert, Hillary Clinton managed to defeat Bernie Sanders, but the results were very close and indicative that he is still a strong contender that could beat Clinton.

Which Democratic candidate would you vote for?

  • Hillary Clinton – 47%
  • Bernie Sanders – 42%

The Democratic race was always a two candidate battle with the potential to a three candidate race. Now with the other candidates dropping out and Joe Biden passing on running, it is down to a Sanders versus Clinton showdown.

Clinton is the popular choice, she polls moderately well across all demographics, she is a woman who likes to play the gender card, and she has a respectable political career. In addition, she performed well at the recent Benghazi hearing and her numbers continue to rise. Most Democratic supporters will vote for Clinton based on her name and her overall connections to the party.

Sanders is a dark horse who continues to rise the rankings. He is outspoken, labelled as a socialist, and wants to bring corporate America to its knees. He doesn’t have the name recognition that Clinton enjoys, but he is making a lot of noise with the working class and he continues to develop a strong following amongst the lower and working classes. If he can break off some of Clinton’s weaker supporters, he may be able to challenge her for the Democratic nomination.

Photo credit: Allernet.

2014 Governor Polls Update: Democrats Take Lead in Illinois, Colorado, Wisconsin, Maine, Michigan

CBS News/New York Times/YouGov, 9/20-10/1:

Colorado:

  • Hickenlooper (D): 49
  • Beauprez (R): 45

Wisconsin:

  • Burke (D): 49
  • Walker (R): 48

Illinois:

  • Quinn (D): 46
  • Rauner (R): 43

Michigan:

  • Schauer (D): 46
  • Snyder (R): 44

Maine:

  • Michaud (D): 39
  • LePage (R): 37
  • Cutler (I): 10

While much of the focus is on the midterm Senate elections, the real power lies in the many gubernatorial seats up for grabs in November. The latest CBS News/New York Times/YouGov poll dump has some good news for Democrats in some of the tightest gubernatorial races in the country.

In Colorado, where a Fox News poll showed the race completely tied earlier this month, CBS/NYT have Democratic incumbent John Hickenlooper leading Republican challenger Bob Beauprez by a margin of 49-45. A Rasmussen poll in late September also had Hickenlooper up by 4.

In Wisconsin, where incumbent Republican Scott Walker led a Rasmussen and Marquette University poll in September, NYT/CBS have Democratic challenger Mary Burke up by 1 percent. Walker has been unable to pull away by more than a few percentage points in the polls and while he has led most of the polls, Burke is certainly making it close.

In Illinois, where a WeAskAmerica poll had Republican Bruce Rauner up by 3 percent in mid-September, CBS/NYT have Democratic incumbent Pat Quinn up by 3 while a recent Rasmussen poll has the Governor up by 2.

In Michigan, where Republican incumbent Rick Snyder had led nine straight polls since early September, CBS/NYT have Democratic challenger Mark Schauer pulling ahead by 2 percent.

In Maine, where incumbent Republican Governor Paul LePage led a September Pan Atlantic SMS poll by 5 percent, CBS/NYT have Democratic challenger Mike Michaud leading by 2 percent with 39 percent of the vote, LePage is at 37, and independent Eliot Cutler is at 10.

Shock Poll: Mary Burke Takes 4-Point Lead Over Wisconsin Governor Scott Walker

WeAskAmerica, 9/3
Wisconsin Governor

  • Burke (D): 48
  • Walker (R): 44

Between last year and this July, incumbent Republican Governor Scott Walker had led every poll over Democratic challenger Mary Burke. Now, after a July Marquette University poll had Burke up by 1 point and an August poll had her leading by 2 points, a new WeAskAmerica poll shows Burke taking a 4-point lead over the incumbent governor.

The poll, conducted on September 3, sampling 1,170 likely voters with a margin of error of 3 percent, found Burke leading Walker by a margin of 48-44. Aside from the size of her leads, Burke has now seen a steady 47-49 percent of the vote in five straight polls.

Burke, a member of the Madison School Board, previously served as the state’s Secretary of Commerce under Walker’s predecessor, Jim Doyle.

A Harvard Business School graduate, Burke also previously worked as an executive at her father’s Trek Bicycle Corporation.

Meanwhile, Scott Walker is a governor whose tenure almost ended before it really started.

After being elected in 2010, Walker immediately introduced a controversial budget plan that essentially eliminated unions’ collective bargaining rights and cut over $1 billion from the state’s education budget and $500 million from the state’s Medicaid budget.

That sparked a campaign to recall Walker and the 46-year-old had to face off against Milwaukee Mayor Tom Barrett, whom he defeated two years prior, once again. Walker won the election with 53 percent of the vote to become the first governor to ever win a gubernatorial recall election.

Walker has been considered a potential candidate for the Republican presidential nomination but it appears that he’ll have his hands full just trying to hold on to his job two months from now.