The latest on the presidential horse race.

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Trump and Clinton Dominate South Carolina

The latest polls by ARG for South Carolina have revealed that Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton are leading their respective parties.

Which Democratic candidate would you vote for?

  • Hillary Clinton – 65%
  • Bernie Sanders – 27%

Which Republican candidate would you vote for?

  • Donald Trump – 35%
  • John Kasich – 15%
  • Marco Rubio – 14%
  • Ted Cruz – 12%
  • Jeb Bush – 10%

For Clinton, South Carolina is what New Hampshire was to Bernie Sanders. No one expects Sanders to win in South Carolina, and that will remain especially true if he continues to struggle to secure the African-American vote.

Clinton is the master at turning on her southern drawl to woo voters in areas with thick southern accents. For whatever reason, the African-American vote is in her grasp and she will likely pull out a large victory in South Carolina.

Sanders is desperately trying to win over African-American voters, but he is struggling to gain traction and South Carolina is more than likely a right off at this point. In theory, Sanders is a much more attractive candidate for the black community, but they continue to gravitate to Clinton, who has done virtually nothing for them in her entire political career.

For the Republicans, Trump is still the man to beat and he should score a decent victory in the state. Ted Cruz may be able to challenge Trump as he is tapping into the religiosity of voters and trying to win them over with his religious roots.

John Kasich is polling well after a decent showing in New Hampshire. However, it remains to be seen if he can continue to rise or if he is nothing but a flash in the pan.

Photo credit: The Gateway Pundit.

Americans Value Jobs over Global Warming

A recent poll by Rasmussen Reports has revealed that the majority of Americans see global warming as an important issue. However, they tend to view the economy and job creation as a more important topic.

How serious is global warming?

  • Very serious – 35%
  • Somewhat serious – 28%
  • Not very serious – 16%
  • Not at all serious – 17%
  • Not sure – 4%

What is global warming caused by?

  • Human activity – 44%
  • Long-term planetary trends – 39%
  • Something else – 7%
  • Not sure – 10%

What is more important?

  • Solving global warming – 27%
  • Creating jobs – 63%
  • Not sure – 10%

Are Americans being selfish by valuing the economy over global warming?

  • Yes – 29%
  • No – 53%
  • Not sure – 17%

At a time when the average American is struggling to make a living, it is not surprising to see the economy viewed as a more important topic by Americans. Most people know that global warming and climate change are important long-term issues, but when Americans are struggling to support their families, buy groceries, and plan for retirement, they quickly become unimportant. Solving global warming doesn’t immediately make an individual’s life easier and sadly it is easier for them to push major problems off into the future when they no longer affect them.

Photo credit: Grace University.

Voters Continue to Disagree with the Direction of the Country

Rasmussen Reports, 10/14 – 10/20

Direction of the Country, Ebola II

  • Right Direction – 26%
  • Wrong Direction – 66%
  • Undecided – 8%

Rasmussen Reports has released the latest results detailing the overall opinion on the direction that the United States is heading in. Overall, voters are angry and do not support the current path. 26 percent of voters believe that the country is on the right path, 66 percent do not, and 8 percent were undecided.

If an election were to occur today, voters would be split, at 41 percent, between the two parties.

Where are these abysmal numbers coming from? It is no secret that voters are fed up of the current government. President Obama is often criticized for not doing enough, or in some cases, doing too much, Congress suffers from the same criticisms, and the policies of the U.S. seem ineffective on all levels.

Ebola is the current hot issue and the majority of Americans feel that the government has failed so far in its response. Rasmussen Reports asked 1,000 voters various questions about the outbreak. 35 percent stated that the government has done a poor job, 30 percent fair, 22 percent good, and 9 percent excellent.

60 percent of voters want to see a ban on travel to countries deemed high risk for Ebola. Major right-wing critics slammed Obama for his refusal to close traffic to West Africa, a task that is not as easy as it sounds.

58 percent of voters were confident in the American medical system to handle Ebola, 41 percent were not.

The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention had a favorability rating of 54 percent amongst American voters, while 40 percent had an unfavorable opinion of it.

If Obama is interested in putting the country on the right track, Ebola is an easy way to reestablish trust with voters. The average American fears Ebola and doesn’t truly understand how it works. If he can create the illusion of security with voters, convincing them that Ebola has been contained, he will drastically improve his ratings.

Photo credit: Think Stock.

Majority of Americans Do Not Believe in Either the Democrats or the Republicans

Rasmussen Reports, 10/7 – 10/8

Voters Question Whether Either Major Party Has a Plan for the Future

Does the Democratic Party have a plan for where it wants to take the nation?

  • Yes – 38%
  • No – 34%
  • Undecided – 28%

Does the Republican Party have a plan for where it wants to take the nation?

  • Yes – 34%
  • No – 38%
  • Undecided – 28%

Rasmussen Reports released a poll that took a look at the American public’s views on the two major political parties in the United States. The poll asked 1,000 likely voters multiple questions regarding the Republicans and the Democrats.

The majority of American voters do not believe in either of the two major Congressional parties. When asked whether they believe neither party is the party of the American people, they responded as follows:

  • Yes – 53%
  • No – 28%
  • Undecided – 20%

53 percent of voters believe that both parties are bad and that they do not serve the interests of the American people. This demonstrates how toxic the current Congress has been and how little they have accomplished. The party split for this poll was 31 percent Republican, 35 percent Democrat, and 34 percent as a different party.

32 percent of the voters claimed that they always vote Republican, 36 percent said Democrat, 27 percent said they split their vote, and 6 percent were unsure.

58 percent of voters admitted to voting for an independent candidate in the past, while 37 percent said that they never have.

Can either of the parties recover their image? The Democrats stand a better chance due to the popularity of liberalism amongst modern Americans. However, if the Republicans can shed their reputation as outdated conservatives and modernize the concept of conservatism to adhere to a platform of liberalized social policies, with classical conservative fiscal policies, they stand a chance to gain a lot of momentum in a society that is unsure of itself.

Photo credit: EDF.

Clinton Edges out Republican Challengers in PPP Poll

Public Policy Polling, 30/9 Clinton vs. Republican Candidates

  • Clinton – 43%
  • Bush – 43%
  • Clinton – 45%
  • Christie – 41%
  • Clinton – 47%
  • Cruz – 39%
  • Clinton – 46%
  • Huckabee – 42%
  • Clinton – 47%
  • Paul – 42%

Public Policy Polling issued a poll at the end of September that collected data on potential elections involving the favored Democrat nomination, Hillary Clinton and the various Republican challengers that she could face in a presidential election. The results revealed that she would defeat almost every single candidate and that she would tie Jeb Bush. In an election against Jeb Bush, Clinton would tie him with 43 percent of the vote. If she were to face Chris Christie, she would achieve 45 percent of the vote, while he would only secure 41 percent. Clinton would tally 46 percent of the votes against Mike Huckabee and his 42 percent. Rand Paul would receive 42 percent of the votes to Clinton’s 47 percent. Ted Cruz would secure the least votes of all. Only 39 percent of voters would vote for him, the other 47 percent would choose Clinton.

In addition, 39 percent of the participants in this poll identified as conservative, 29 percent as liberal, and 33 percent as moderate. The party split was nearly even. 35 percent of the voters claimed to be Democrat, 36 percent Republican, and 29 percent independent. These numbers are interesting as the results in the poll favor the Democrats. Are Republicans upset with the direction of the party? Are voters beginning to see how outdated the party is? These are important questions to ask.

Clinton has enjoyed strong leads over most of her Republican challengers throughout many of the polls. Still, none of these numbers matter until we know which candidates are nominated to represent each of the parties. Stay tuned for future updates as the elections approach.

Photo credit: CBS News.

Majority of Americans Believe That Incumbents Shouldn’t Be Reelected

Rasmussen Reports, 25/9 – 26/9

U.S. Congress Ratings

  • Excellent – 2%
  • Good – 6%
  • Fair – 25%
  • Poor – 62%
  • Undecided – 4%

A new poll by Rasmussen Reports has confirmed how unpopular the current U.S. Congress is. The poll asked 1,000 likely voters about their opinions of the current Congress. An overwhelming majority expressed their dissatisfaction with Congress, a statistic that is not surprising. The votes revealed that 2 percent believe Congress is excellent, 6 percent say that it is good, 25 percent say that it is fair, 62 percent say that it is poor, and 4 percent were undecided.

In terms of representatives, 41 percent of voters believed that their individual representatives were the wrong person for the job, 29 percent said that they were the right candidate, and 36 percent were undecided. On top of that, 41 percent of the voters didn’t want to see their local representative reelected, while 29 percent did.

The poll also demonstrated the lack of trust that voters have for their representatives. 66 percent of the voters believe that their representatives pay little attention to their concerns, while 18 percent believe that they do care.

Overall, these numbers are not surprising considering how unpopular the current U.S. Congress is. They have accomplished very little and the petty squabbles between the two parties continue to intensify as both sides engage in the flawed system of partisan politics. With midterm elections only one month away, it will be interesting to see who is reelected. Will the upcoming election maintain an average voter turnout or has the current Congress created such a distrust that people would rather stay away from voting all together out of fear of electing another senseless and useless politician?

Photo credit: Hawaii Reporter.

Majority of Americans Believe the U.S. Is Heading in the Wrong Direction

Rasmussen Reports, 15/9 – 21/9

Direction of the Country

  • Right Direction – 25%
  • Wrong Direction – 65%
  • Undecided – 10%

Not surprisingly, most Americans do not believe in the current direction of the country. A newly released Rasmussen Reports poll asked 3,500 likely U.S. voters several questions related to the direction of the country, their views on Barack Obama, a generic Congressional ballot, and what issues they felt were most important. The results demonstrated that 65 percent of the voters believe the country is heading in the wrong direction, 25 percent say it is heading in the right direction, and 10 percent were undecided. The margin of error for this poll was 2 percent.

The demographics for the poll were as follows: 49 percent of the voters were male, and 51 percent were female, 30 percent were aged 18-39, 52 percent were 40-64, and 18 percent were over the age of 65, 76 percent were white, 10 percent were black, and 14 percent were a different ethnicity, and 31 percent identified as Republican, 35 percent as Democrat, and 34 percent identified with a different party.

Obama’s approval was slightly better than his average amongst other polls. 46 percent of the voters approve of Obama, while 53 percent disapproved of him. If a generic congressional ballot were to take place, both parties would receive 40 percent of the votes. These results show how split the country is and how much distrust voters have for the political establishment. Both parties are viewed as ineffective.

36 percent of the voters believe that the economy is the most important issue, 21 percent say national security, 17 percent say domestic issues, 11 percent say fiscal issues, 6 percent say cultural issues, and 9 percent were unsure. Yet, the major focus of the government is the situation in the Middle East. Average Americans are fed up of policing the world and are more interested in rebuilding the economy within the country itself.

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Obama’s Approval Ratings Remain Stationary Midway through September

Gallup / Rasmussen Reports, 9/13 – 9/15

President Obama Job Approval

  • Rasmussen Reports

o   Approve – 47%

o   Disapprove – 53%

  • Gallup

o   Approve – 41%

o   Disapprove – 55%

President Obama’s mid-September approval ratings have been released in the most recent Gallup and Rasmussen Reports polls. Gallup pegged Obama at a 41% approval rating and a 55% disapproval rating, while Rasmussen Reports recorded a 47% approval and 53% disapproval. The margin of error for both polls was 3%.

Obama continues to be an unpopular president. With elections looming, Obama has been relatively quiet as he is trying to cause as little damage as possible for his fellow party members. Congress continues to be inept, Republicans continue to oppose Democrats, and vice versa. The entire political system is a mess and Obama’s approval ratings are indicative of that.

The Middle East continues to be a dividing topic amongst all Americans. Supporters of intervention say that Obama isn’t doing enough, that his ramped up missile strikes are inadequate, and that the president is not committed to winning the war. On the other side, Obama is criticized for any form of intervention. These individuals feel that the president is overstepping his authority, stretching the country thin, and engaging them in a senseless conflict that will yield no results and that doesn’t benefit the average American citizen.

In the end, Obama is trapped in a paradox. If he does nothing, he loses, and if he does something, he loses. This concept applies to all policy. When he passed Obamacare with the intention of providing poor families with healthcare coverage, he angered the right-wing and other quasi-conservatives. When he intervened in the Middle East, conservatives claimed that he didn’t do enough and liberals hated the fact that the U.S. was committed to the region again. The immigration crisis angered conservatives who wanted the immigrant children tossed out of the country at all costs. Using this knowledge, Obama can never improve his approval ratings past the current range that they have been trapped in for the last few months.

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